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Cremona vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 85-80
19-18 25-21 21-19 20-22
Position#3
Record19-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game69.6
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#5
Record20-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game66.1
ItalySerie A2Round 2
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cremona v Pistoia
13 Oct 2024
CRE65
PIS66
10 Mar 2024
CRE67
PIS74
08 Apr 2023
CRE85
PIS80
11 Apr 2020
CRE v PIS
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
CRE90
PIS80
15 Oct 2017
CRE92
PIS77
03 Oct 2016
CRE87
PIS67
23 Nov 2015
CRE82
PIS66
08 Feb 2015
CRE75
PIS81
23 Feb 2014
CRE81
PIS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#19
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H15/01
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A22/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A05/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H12/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A19/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H26/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A05/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
H19/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A02/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
24-23
19-22
18-20
25-18
30-19
19-16
10-15
9-17
21-18
17-9
24-31
20-14
21-13
20-20
21-16
22-23
26-16
17-13
21-21
17-23
18-9
20-12
12-15
27-19
19-19
31-9
13-16
22-13
23-16
15-11
18-24
21-22
19-19
10-15
22-16
18-12
21-20
4-18
21-10
147.9Avg total
78.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.669.6148.2+9.176%
Season at home (12)84.271.8156.0+12.383%
Season away (13)73.567.5141.0+6.169%
Last 10 (10)78.869.1147.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)77.267.0144.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.085.3158.3-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.174.9149.0-0.743%
vs Weaker (20)81.570.2151.8+11.385%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H22/01
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A29/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
85-56
85
56
+29
A05/02
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H12/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A19/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A05/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
H19/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A26/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H02/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
31-18
27-17
13-16
20-19
26-18
22-19
26-23
19-17
18-12
32-10
16-17
31-13
24-26
17-17
20-18
12-24
22-21
17-16
11-18
19-20
22-6
22-15
13-18
16-18
14-22
23-19
19-13
16-14
16-10
12-19
14-25
17-26
29-28
23-13
8-7
19-23
20-11
12-16
9-15
149.7Avg total
78.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.066.1142.0+9.974%
Season at home (14)75.262.4137.6+12.886%
Season away (13)76.870.0146.8+6.862%
Last 10 (10)78.870.9149.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)71.468.8140.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.569.8137.2-2.238%
vs Weaker (22)78.165.6143.7+12.586%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
CremonaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#19
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H15/01
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A22/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H29/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A05/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H12/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H26/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A05/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A02/04
Serie A2
76.6Avg total
42.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.675.3+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.635.077.6+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)37.136.273.3+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)42.134.576.6+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.475.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.745.383.0-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.336.671.9-1.329%-
vs Weaker (20)41.533.975.3+7.675%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H22/01
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A29/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A05/02
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H12/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A05/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A26/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H02/04
Serie A2
79.0Avg total
41.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.872.8+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.931.271.1+8.888%-
Last 30 away (14)37.936.874.7+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.279.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.673.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.033.469.4+2.662%-
vs Weaker (22)40.134.074.0+6.168%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.3
45.9%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.811.2
75.7%
73.9%11.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.9%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLWWWWWLWW
Pistoia
LWLWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#5
-14.2
Net rating
-9.3
98.5
Offensive rating
107.0
112.7
Defensive rating
116.3
47.7%
Effective FG%
45.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
28.1%
54.8%
Assist %
49.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 107.0Defence112.7 · 116.3Shooting47.7% · 45.7%3-point %33.6% · 28.1%Ball care16.9% · 15.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 34.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Cremona   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cremona wins
4
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
15/12/19Pistoia v Cremona84-71
10/03/19Cremona v Pistoia90-80
11/11/18Pistoia v Cremona73-90
04/02/18Pistoia v Cremona76-65
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
22/01/17Pistoia v Cremona64-59
03/10/16Cremona v Pistoia87-67
13/03/16Pistoia v Cremona72-79
23/11/15Cremona v Pistoia82-66
08/02/15Cremona v Pistoia75-81
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23AForli64-60
19/03/23HTreviglio87-89 OT
05/03/23ATrapani78-64
26/02/23HStella Azzurra90-63
19/02/23AMonferrato67-59
12/02/23HUrania Milano86-73
05/02/23AJuVi Cremona82-63
29/01/23HBasket Torino71-75
22/01/23ANPC Rieti84-68
15/01/23HLatina79-77
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HCantu60-65
26/03/23ARimini77-74
22/03/23HCento58-68
19/03/23HFortitudo Bologna86-78 OT
05/03/23AChieti Basket76-59
19/02/23AChiusi62-79
12/02/23HUdine92-74
05/02/23ASan Severo85-56
29/01/23AMantova94-79
22/01/23HPallacanestro Nardo98-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWLWWL83%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %76%83%69%
Points / game78.684.273.5
Allowed / game69.671.867.5
Point differential+9.1+12.3+6.1
Avg total148.2156.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%58%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %12%17%8%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeWWWLL86%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%86%62%
Points / game76.075.276.8
Allowed / game66.162.470.0
Point differential+9.9+12.8+6.8
Avg total142.0137.6146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Cantu2521484%80.369.0+11.3
3 Forli2721678%76.069.6+6.4
4 Cremona2519676%78.669.6+9.1
5 Treviglio2519676%79.071.9+7.1
6 Pistoia2720774%76.066.1+9.9
7 Basket Torino2517868%83.480.7+2.7
8 Cento2315865%76.771.4+5.3
9 Udine27171063%76.174.1+2.1
10 Urania Milano25141156%78.180.0-1.9
11 Agrigento25131252%81.078.5+2.4
12 Cividale27141352%71.170.5+0.6
13 Rimini27131448%77.076.8+0.2
14 Assigeco Piacenza25121348%79.577.7+1.8
15 Fortitudo Bologna26121446%77.575.8+1.7
16 Pallacanestro Nardo27121544%82.383.8-1.4
17 San Severo27111641%70.576.3-5.8
18 Latina25101540%74.578.0-3.5
19 Trapani25101540%69.276.6-7.5
20 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
21 Chiusi26101638%71.974.0-2.0
22 Mantova26101638%74.376.8-2.5
23 Ravenna2791833%73.678.5-4.9
24 Monferrato2581732%74.578.0-3.4
25 Chieti Basket2781930%72.176.0-3.9
26 Stella Azzurra2571828%74.980.9-6.0
27 JuVi Cremona2571828%73.679.9-6.2
28 NPC Rieti2561924%67.274.6-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1925212085
Pistoia1821192280
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