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Croatia vs Luxembourg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-62
31-14 26-20 23-12 18-16
Position#7
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game66.1
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#38
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Marino Cvetkovic
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luxembourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#14
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
100-75
100
75
+25
106avg 80
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 80
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 80
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
77avg 80
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
89-49
89
49
+40
97avg 80
H19/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-14
35-9
14-25
20-16
13-13
20-19
20-22
17-22
17-20
25-13
17-26
21-21
24-21
22-25
23-18
21-20
22-25
22-22
21-27
18-24
30-19
25-16
27-16
18-21
19-13
19-24
23-29
13-21
19-17
15-11
17-7
23-19
27-17
21-20
13-18
24-5
32-12
14-16
19-16
156.3Avg total
82.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.766.1147.9+15.686%
Season at home (4)84.065.8149.8+18.275%
Season away (3)78.766.7145.3+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.773.6156.3+9.170%
Last 5 (5)83.268.2151.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.984.0158.9-9.111%
vs Similar (7)79.982.7162.6-2.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)77.965.7143.6+12.286%
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLuxembourg
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#56
W
99-89
99
89
+10
no box
A18/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H20/02
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
76-129
76
129
-53
no box
H14/08
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
H17/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
58-94
58
94
-36
no box
A18/08
World Cup
Albania
#39
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
H28/11
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
A30/06
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
23-23
20-24
24-19
23-29
20-28
26-14
15-15
12-21
16-26
26-20
20-16
21-33
21-30
9-40
25-26
19-23
27-25
7-13
21-19
19-24
11-19
14-28
14-23
26-27
20-21
28-20
15-24
25-15
15-29
18-14
12-15
21-26
27-15
21-14
17-20
15-12
16-19
15-21
21-26
165.6Avg total
77.7Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.079.5157.5-1.525%
Season at home (2)78.074.0152.0+4.050%
Season away (2)78.085.0163.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)77.787.9165.6-10.220%
Last 5 (5)74.082.4156.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.687.8161.4-14.16%
vs Similar (10)78.878.2157.0+0.650%
vs Weaker (4)96.574.5171.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
CroatiaLuxembourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H19/07
EuroBasket
77.2Avg total
41.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.174.6+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.532.072.5+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)36.540.276.7-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.535.777.2+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.633.678.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.340.976.2-5.622%-
vs Similar (7)38.641.379.9-2.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.630.471.0+10.186%-
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LuxembourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#56
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A18/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H20/02
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A13/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
42-63
42
63
-21
H14/08
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/08
World Cup
Albania
#39
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H28/11
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A30/06
EuroBasket
87.7Avg total
40.9Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.281.0-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.544.084.5-3.550%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.076.9+0.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.946.887.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.480.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.443.480.8-5.925%-
vs Similar (10)41.739.681.3+2.160%-
vs Weaker (4)44.236.580.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.1
53.1%
50.6%34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.3
35.9%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.719.0
76.9%
71.4%19.0
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luxembourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luxembourg: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
50.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.5
29.4%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
71.4%14.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/4 games with a box score before 22 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WWWLWLWLWW
Luxembourg
LWLLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#38
+21.9
Net rating
-1.3
109.9
Offensive rating
104.1
88.0
Defensive rating
105.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
29.4%
74.6%
Assist %
68.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 104.1Defence88.0 · 105.4Shooting53.4% · 50.0%3-point %35.9% · 29.4%Ball care20.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 20.6%Free throws0.43 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Croatia   ■ Luxembourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
0
Luxembourg wins
No previous meetings.
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/23HIreland89-49
26/02/23HAustria84-74
23/02/23ASwitzerland64-56
13/11/22HPoland79-87
10/11/22AAustria100-75
11/09/22AFinland86-94
08/09/22HUkraine90-85
06/09/22AItaly76-81
05/09/22HEstonia73-70
03/09/22AGreat Britain86-65
Luxembourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/22ARomania67-78
27/02/22HAlbania86-75
28/11/21HRomania70-73
25/11/21AAlbania89-92
18/08/21ASweden58-94
17/08/21HPortugal74-80
14/08/21HSweden76-129
13/08/21APortugal74-83
20/02/21HIceland84-86
18/02/21AKosovo99-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game81.784.078.7
Allowed / game66.165.866.7
Point differential+15.6+18.2+12.0
Avg total147.9149.8145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Luxembourg
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.078.078.0
Allowed / game79.574.085.0
Point differential-1.5+4.0-7.0
Avg total157.5152.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia76186%81.766.1+15.6
2 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
3 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
4 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
5 Bulgaria86275%80.072.6+7.4
6 Slovakia75271%72.671.6+1.0
7 Romania127558%73.271.9+1.2
8 Denmark115645%73.870.7+3.1
9 Norway115645%70.674.0-3.4
10 Switzerland146843%66.570.1-3.6
11 Kosovo52340%78.881.6-2.8
12 Austria135838%74.676.9-2.3
13 Ireland72529%71.985.3-13.4
14 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
15 Albania51420%79.287.8-8.6
16 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia3126231898
Luxembourg1420121662
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