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Croatia W vs Greece W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-73
23-22 26-16 27-20 22-15
Position#17
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game72.3
Croatia W 🏆
vs
Greece W
Position#16
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Sportska dvorana Baldekin
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Croatia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
L
57-85
57
85
-28
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
A06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
65-57
65
57
+8
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#24
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
H15/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
83-55
83
55
+28
no box
H18/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
15-20
16-18
9-18
19-16
15-16
11-15
20-23
31-14
26-15
6-15
18-13
21-23
27-18
18-21
25-18
18-18
16-25
16-21
12-14
19-19
29-20
19-16
25-10
26-11
13-8
16-19
10-19
17-21
19-19
28-10
12-23
23-29
19-13
25-21
10-26
19-17
25-15
19-15
20-8
145.8Avg total
74.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.772.3151.0+6.367%
Season at home (2)80.072.0152.0+8.050%
Season away (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.970.9145.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)78.667.8146.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.477.8146.2-9.331%
vs Similar (3)73.076.0149.0-3.033%
vs Weaker (11)82.865.1147.9+17.7100%
This opponent (Greece W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Greece WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Germany W
#11
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
56-45
56
45
+11
no box
H10/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A06/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
87-65
87
65
+22
90avg 64
H18/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
56-92
56
92
-36
44avg 64
A19/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
57avg 64
H21/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
101-84
101
84
+17
no box
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#24
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A18/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-20
18-19
23-21
23-20
10-8
9-7
14-10
21-15
16-19
14-20
15-27
16-20
10-17
13-11
25-19
19-19
27-13
18-12
23-21
17-21
20-23
10-20
9-28
21-17
14-26
24-19
13-21
21-17
19-19
10-28
23-12
23-23
36-16
22-20
20-25
27-24
24-26
21-21
25-12
150.3Avg total
74.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.381.0171.3+9.367%
Season at home (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
Season away (2)99.083.5182.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)74.875.5150.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)79.883.6163.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.374.0139.3-8.725%
vs Similar (9)71.966.7138.6+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.369.4150.8+11.967%
This opponent (Croatia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
Croatia WGreece W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Croatia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#24
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H18/11
European Championship Women
78.0Avg total
41.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.076.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.236.876.0+2.550%-
Last 30 away (14)39.837.377.1+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.678.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.476.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.439.574.9-4.131%-
vs Similar (3)38.338.076.3+0.333%-
vs Weaker (11)45.733.178.8+12.6100%-
This opponent (Greece W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Greece WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany W
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H18/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A19/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#24
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A18/11
European Championship Women
78.1Avg total
39.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.471.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.532.467.9+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)35.938.073.9-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.278.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.486.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.437.968.3-7.517%-
vs Similar (9)35.631.467.0+4.178%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.935.978.8+7.067%-
This opponent (Croatia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.813.8
39.7%
-27.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.8%
-34.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.3
67.8%
-13.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Greece Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece W: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.819.0
44.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.7
31.5%
-17.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.4%
-12.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/9 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia W
WLWWWLWWLL
Greece W
WWLLLWLLWL
#17
League position
#16
+10.9
Net rating
-5.0
99.9
Offensive rating
92.1
89.0
Defensive rating
97.0
47.6%
Effective FG%
45.2%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.5%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.8%
3-point %
31.5%
74.2%
Assist %
71.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Croatia W   ■ Greece W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Croatia W wins
0
Greece W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Greece W v Croatia W73-76
Croatia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HNorth Macedonia W83-55
15/11/25HDenmark W77-89
12/11/25AGreece W76-73
09/02/25HAustria W65-57
06/02/25ANetherlands W92-65
10/11/24ASpain W62-78
07/11/24AAustria W91-80
12/11/23HNetherlands W81-57
09/11/23HSpain W65-70
09/02/23ASerbia W57-85
Greece Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25ADenmark W97-83
15/11/25ANorth Macedonia W101-84
12/11/25HCroatia W73-76
21/06/25HTurkey W72-83
19/06/25AFrance W56-92
18/06/25HSwitzerland W87-65
09/02/25HGermany W64-67
06/02/25ACzech Republic W66-81
10/11/24HItaly W56-45
07/11/24AGermany W76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game78.780.076.0
Allowed / game72.372.073.0
Point differential+6.3+8.0+3.0
Avg total151.0152.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Greece W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game90.373.099.0
Allowed / game81.076.083.5
Point differential+9.3-3.0+15.5
Avg total171.3149.0182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W440100%101.852.5+49.2
2 Poland W440100%76.850.8+26.0
3 Serbia W330100%84.358.7+25.7
4 Austria W440100%81.565.2+16.2
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Israel W440100%90.578.2+12.2
7 Latvia W43175%80.859.8+21.0
8 Great Britain W32167%85.765.7+20.0
9 Luxembourg W32167%69.756.3+13.3
10 Greece W32167%90.381.0+9.3
11 Netherlands W32167%80.073.0+7.0
12 Croatia W32167%78.772.3+6.3
13 Denmark W42250%93.877.5+16.2
14 Montenegro W42250%77.565.0+12.5
15 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
16 Ukraine W42250%72.564.5+8.0
17 Slovakia W42250%67.060.0+7.0
18 Portugal W21150%75.573.5+2.0
19 Slovenia W42250%73.274.0-0.8
20 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
21 Romania W42250%61.874.0-12.2
22 Ireland W31233%77.776.3+1.3
23 Switzerland W31233%71.071.7-0.7
24 North Macedonia W41325%68.896.8-28.0
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Cyprus W4040%58.279.0-20.8
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%67.090.2-23.2
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Norway W4040%45.876.5-30.8
30 Estonia W3030%55.389.3-34.0
31 Azerbaijan W4040%46.0115.8-69.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia W2326272298
Greece W2216201573
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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