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Flamengo vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-63
24-16 24-14 24-17 29-16
Position#4
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game76.0
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2025-26
Meetings · Flamengo v Pato
09 Nov 2025
FLAM101
PATO63
28 Feb 2025
FLAM91
PATO81
15 Oct 2023
FLAM84
PATO71
08 Jan 2023
FLAM89
PATO75
03 Nov 2021
FLAM94
PATO62
22 Nov 2020
FLAM105
PATO70
12 Nov 2019
FLAM76
PATO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
G League United
#3
L
91-93
91
93
-2
79avg 83
A18/09
Intercontinental Cup
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
71avg 83
A19/09
Intercontinental Cup
Al Ahli Tripoli
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 83
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bauru
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
96avg 83
A18/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
66avg 83
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
102-73
102
73
+29
101avg 83
H23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 83
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
103-77
103
77
+26
100avg 83
A31/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
59avg 83
A03/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
88avg 83
A05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
13-19
27-29
35-26
20-13
8-18
25-19
20-23
22-26
22-13
21-25
17-27
32-24
28-15
20-32
22-15
19-16
16-17
23-17
22-20
19-25
22-18
33-13
28-17
20-19
24-19
19-11
25-23
22-23
24-11
22-19
35-24
14-11
17-16
14-14
24-26
28-24
17-14
29-21
14-8
166.7Avg total
88.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.373.1163.4+17.1100%
Season at home (2)91.071.5162.5+19.5100%
Season away (5)90.073.8163.8+16.2100%
Last 10 (10)88.977.8166.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)90.071.2161.2+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.086.5169.5-3.550%
vs Similar (8)92.190.0182.1+2.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.374.0160.2+12.390%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 72
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 72
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 72
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 72
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
43avg 72
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
75avg 72
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 72
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 72
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 72
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 72
A07/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
17-23
30-16
17-15
18-29
31-22
18-18
24-27
11-23
20-25
19-17
15-19
24-31
27-24
11-20
20-26
18-16
12-15
14-23
19-16
19-26
32-22
24-26
13-18
17-27
22-8
14-20
22-21
18-20
16-25
13-12
22-14
22-19
11-20
20-8
17-18
16-20
14-26
16-16
29-20
158.1Avg total
76.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.376.0149.3-2.717%
Season at home (2)72.073.5145.5-1.50%
Season away (4)74.077.2151.2-3.225%
Last 10 (10)76.781.4158.1-4.720%
Last 5 (5)75.477.2152.6-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.586.4164.9-7.90%
vs Similar (14)81.679.6161.2+2.157%
vs Weaker (4)80.088.0168.0-8.025%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
FlamengoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
G League United
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/09
Intercontinental Cup
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A19/09
Intercontinental Cup
Al Ahli Tripoli
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bauru
#10
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A18/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A31/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/11
NBB
76.3Avg total
40.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.381.4+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.937.878.7+3.254%-
Last 30 away (17)44.838.783.5+6.176%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.076.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.035.071.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (8)45.143.288.4+1.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.036.679.7+6.470%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/11
NBB
83.4Avg total
39.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.382.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.640.680.2-1.038%-
Last 30 away (17)41.243.584.8-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.680.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.442.281.7-2.833%-
vs Similar (14)40.540.480.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker (4)44.048.892.8-4.850%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.2
54.7%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.812.7
36.5%
32.5%38.1
🏀 Free throws18.512.8
69.2%
72.8%12.8
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.9
50.7%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.1
30.0%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws13.610.4
76.5%
72.8%10.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWWWWWLWL
Pato
LWLLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#17
+12.3
Net rating
-7.1
111.7
Offensive rating
101.1
99.4
Defensive rating
108.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
48.2%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.5%
3-point %
30.0%
64.7%
Assist %
51.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 101.1Defence99.4 · 108.2Shooting54.7% · 48.2%3-point %36.5% · 30.0%Ball care15.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Flamengo   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Flamengo wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
28/02/25Flamengo v Pato91-81
03/12/24Pato v Flamengo103-110 OT
13/01/24Pato v Flamengo97-91 OT
15/10/23Flamengo v Pato84-71
08/01/23Flamengo v Pato89-75
22/10/22Pato v Flamengo64-91
03/02/22Pato v Flamengo87-93
03/11/21Flamengo v Pato94-62
12/02/21Pato v Flamengo61-85
22/11/20Flamengo v Pato105-70
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25AOsasco88-67
03/11/25AMogi69-67
31/10/25ACorinthians Paulista103-77
29/10/25ASao Jose88-72
23/10/25HCearense102-73
21/10/25HUnifacisa80-70
18/10/25ABauru102-86
21/09/25AAl Ahli Tripoli82-91
19/09/25AIllawarra Hawks84-82 OT
18/09/25AG League United91-93
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25ABotafogo75-82
04/11/25AVasco70-65
29/10/25HCruzeiro69-71
27/10/25HMinas75-76
23/10/25AUniao Corinthians88-92
21/10/25ACaxias do Sul63-70
01/05/25AFranca82-101
29/04/25AFranca65-84
24/04/25HFranca91-96
18/04/25ASao Jose89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.391.090.0
Allowed / game73.171.573.8
Point differential+17.1+19.5+16.2
Avg total163.4162.5163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game73.372.074.0
Allowed / game76.073.577.2
Point differential-2.7-1.5-3.2
Avg total149.3145.5151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo770100%90.373.1+17.1
2 Minas770100%86.376.1+10.1
3 Franca75271%84.673.9+10.7
4 Corinthians Paulista75271%87.678.1+9.4
5 Pinheiros75271%79.773.6+6.1
6 Brasilia64267%84.768.8+15.8
7 Mogi64267%80.266.2+14.0
8 Uniao Corinthians53260%76.878.6-1.8
9 Sao Jose63350%75.373.2+2.2
10 Paulistano63350%72.872.8+0.0
11 Unifacisa63350%77.080.3-3.3
12 Caxias do Sul63350%70.778.0-7.3
13 Bauru73443%71.073.1-2.1
14 Cearense52340%79.688.6-9.0
15 Botafogo72529%71.982.0-10.1
16 Cruzeiro72529%73.683.9-10.3
17 Pato61517%73.376.0-2.7
18 Osasco61517%74.891.0-16.2
19 Rio Claro71614%78.493.7-15.3
20 Vasco7070%68.178.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo24242429101
Pato1614171663
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