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Nacional vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 75-63
14-16 16-13 23-11 22-23
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Nacional 🏆
vs
Flamengo
Position#7
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions League Americas· Estadio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Flamengo
18 Apr 2026
NACI94
FLAM65
08 Feb 2026
NACI89
FLAM79
14 Dec 2025
NACI75
FLAM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 83
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
98avg 83
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-61
80
61
+19
72avg 83
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
110-93
110
93
+17
101avg 83
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
104-70
104
70
+34
104avg 83
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
78avg 83
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 83
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
88-72
88
72
+16
74avg 83
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
109-90
109
90
+19
109avg 83
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 83
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
22-28
20-11
12-14
21-20
29-27
35-17
17-22
14-16
30-19
20-11
16-15
34-23
27-24
26-24
23-22
25-21
27-23
26-13
26-13
22-21
15-12
30-17
22-29
10-24
21-21
20-23
24-14
17-18
34-16
14-19
23-19
28-21
34-29
22-20
25-20
16-21
16-19
22-17
15-25
170.2Avg total
90.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.879.4170.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)86.081.0167.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.584.5150.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.780.1170.8+10.675%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
103-77
103
77
+26
100avg 82
A31/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
59avg 82
A03/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
88avg 82
A05/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
101-63
101
63
+38
112avg 82
H09/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 82
A12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 82
A15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
76avg 82
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 82
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 82
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
91-66
91
66
+25
90avg 82
H06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
24-11
22-19
35-24
14-11
17-16
14-14
24-26
28-24
17-14
29-21
14-8
24-16
24-14
24-17
29-16
32-6
17-19
22-13
15-34
21-15
23-19
25-29
13-17
27-18
15-23
24-19
17-25
25-17
20-22
18-19
21-14
22-22
16-22
15-21
14-18
24-9
23-18
20-19
24-20
158.6Avg total
85.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.473.2158.6+12.280%
Last 5 (5)81.477.2158.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.086.5169.5-3.550%
vs Similar (10)88.286.3174.5+1.940%
vs Weaker (18)86.673.6160.2+13.189%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
NacionalFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
89.9Avg total
47.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.641.887.4+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.738.984.6+6.872%-
Last 30 away (12)45.546.291.7-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)47.042.989.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.641.888.5+4.868%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A31/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H09/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
NBB
77.4Avg total
43.5Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.680.4+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.837.779.5+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)43.637.581.2+6.171%-
Last 10 (10)43.533.977.4+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.080.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.035.071.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (10)43.440.183.5+3.360%-
vs Weaker (18)43.336.579.8+6.872%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.7
53.1%
54.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.7
37.3%
32.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.214.3
67.5%
69.7%14.3
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.9
55.3%
54.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
32.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
69.7%15.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LWWLWWWWWW
Flamengo
WLWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#7
+14.1
Net rating
+15.3
112.0
Offensive rating
109.5
97.9
Defensive rating
94.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.3%
3-point %
34.6%
53.7%
Assist %
75.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 109.5Defence97.9 · 94.1Shooting54.2% · 53.7%3-point %37.3% · 34.6%Ball care16.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.5% · 23.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Nacional   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nacional wins
0
Flamengo wins
No previous meetings.
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25APenarol69-82
04/12/25ACordon109-90
20/11/25HUnion Atletica88-72
14/11/25AMalvin75-82
10/11/25HHebraica y Macabi89-79
07/11/25HUrunday104-70
03/11/25ABigua110-93
01/11/25HDefensor80-61
24/10/25AGoes102-86
21/10/25HAguada82-79
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HCaxias do Sul91-66
03/12/25APinheiros67-83
22/11/25HRio Claro84-72
20/11/25HBrasilia83-85
15/11/25APaulistano82-80
12/11/25AFranca86-72
09/11/25HPato101-63
05/11/25AOsasco88-67
03/11/25AMogi69-67
31/10/25ACorinthians Paulista103-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas220100%78.567.5+11.0
2 Instituto de Cordoba220100%86.581.5+5.0
3 Franca21150%87.086.0+1.0
4 Boca Juniors21150%74.575.5-1.0
5 U. De Concepcion2020%76.582.5-6.0
6 Aguada2020%72.582.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1416232275
Flamengo1613112363
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