Baskonia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 66-86

22-21 12-20 16-25 16-20

Position#13

Record2-2

FormWWWLL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game75.2

Baskonia

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Position#15

Record2-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game72.5

Allowed / game69.0

EuroleagueRound 5

European cup2014

Meetings · Baskonia v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

65-87

-22

A04/10

ACB

Unicaja

79-88

-9

H11/10

ACB

Neptunas

#17

88-69

+19

H15/10

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

85-87

-2

A18/10

ACB

Olympiacos

57-63

-6

A24/10

Euroleague

Bilbao

86-74

+12

H26/10

ACB

Galatasaray

#23

91-90

H31/10

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

87-67

+20

H02/11

ACB

Valencia

#21

69-79

-10

A07/11

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

77-93

-16

A09/11

ACB

12-24

25-21

12-13

16-29

13-20

14-29

27-20

25-19

20-15

17-15

24-20

27-19

21-24

17-27

26-21

21-15

10-17

16-13

19-18

12-15

13-23

28-11

21-19

24-21

23-24

24-25

23-21

21-20

21-15

25-11

26-17

15-24

22-15

14-23

20-27

13-14

17-25

19-18

20-23

21-27

158.1Avg total

78.4Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	76.2	75.2	151.5	+1.0	50%
Season at home (2)	89.5	79.5	169.0	+10.0	100%
Season away (2)	63.0	71.0	134.0	-8.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	79.7	158.1	-1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	80.6	162.6	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	76.6	87.0	163.6	-10.4	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	77.0	74.1	151.1	+2.9	50%
vs Weaker (11)	88.9	81.0	169.9	+7.9	73%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

#11

88-64

+24

A07/10

ABA League

Petrol Olimpija

73-65

H11/10

ABA League

Galatasaray

#23

76-68

H16/10

Euroleague

Mega Bemax

#10

93-77

+16

H19/10

ABA League

Neptunas

#17

81-83

-2

A23/10

Euroleague

Zadar

79-63

+16

A26/10

ABA League

Valencia

#21

76-63

+13

H30/10

Euroleague

Buducnost

83-69

+14

H02/11

ABA League

Olympiacos

57-62

-5

H07/11

Euroleague

Szolnoki Olaj

89-65

+24

A09/11

ABA League

26-11

25-17

27-19

10-17

14-17

19-11

28-10

12-27

17-20

29-10

17-18

13-20

26-29

25-15

17-17

25-16

20-25

17-22

24-20

20-16

15-10

22-20

28-18

14-15

21-16

18-10

26-16

11-21

14-17

20-23

20-19

29-10

14-13

12-24

10-13

21-12

27-26

22-16

28-5

12-18

147.4Avg total

79.5Scored

67.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	72.5	69.0	141.5	+3.5	50%
Season at home (3)	69.7	64.3	134.0	+5.3	67%
Season away (1)	81.0	83.0	164.0	-2.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	67.9	147.4	+11.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	64.4	141.2	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	74.9	77.6	152.5	-2.8	38%
vs Weaker (22)	84.8	70.6	155.4	+14.2	82%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BaskoniaCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	22.1	39.6	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.9	20.2	37.1	-3.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.4	21.2	44.5	+2.2	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	18.7	41.8	+4.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.1	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	16.1	36.1	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	15.8	18.6	34.4	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.8	68%	-

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

37-45

-8

A04/10

ACB

Unicaja

27-49

-22

H11/10

ACB

Neptunas

#17

37-30

H15/10

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

38-51

-13

A18/10

ACB

Olympiacos

26-30

-4

A24/10

Euroleague

Bilbao

41-34

H26/10

ACB

Galatasaray

#23

47-49

-2

H31/10

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

46-26

+20

H02/11

ACB

Valencia

#21

36-38

-2

A07/11

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

36-43

-7

A09/11

ACB

76.6Avg total

37.1Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	39.5	77.6	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	41.7	79.2	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	39.5	76.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.0	79.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.0	42.8	78.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	35.6	39.1	74.7	-3.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.9	39.6	81.5	+2.3	55%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

#11

51-28

+23

A07/10

ABA League

Petrol Olimpija

33-28

H11/10

ABA League

Galatasaray

#23

46-30

+16

H16/10

Euroleague

Mega Bemax

#10

51-44

H19/10

ABA League

Neptunas

#17

37-47

-10

A23/10

Euroleague

Zadar

37-30

A26/10

ABA League

Valencia

#21

39-26

+13

H30/10

Euroleague

Buducnost

34-40

-6

H02/11

ABA League

Olympiacos

26-37

-11

H07/11

Euroleague

Szolnoki Olaj

49-42

A09/11

ABA League

75.5Avg total

40.3Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.5	76.8	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	35.6	73.4	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	37.5	80.7	+5.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	35.2	75.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.0	72.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	33.5	37.2	70.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	42.9	36.2	79.0	+6.7	68%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.7	40.2	+4.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.3	17.2	38.5	+4.1	90%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.7	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	14.9	36.1	+6.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	17.2	38.4	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	15.5	38.0	+7.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	14.2	36.6	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.1	15.9	38.0	+6.2	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.7	43.4	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	24.2	44.4	-4.1	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.6	21.7	45.4	+1.9	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.4	37.9	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.2	33.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.2	32.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.3	18.4	37.6	+0.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	40.2	83.3	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	38.4	83.6	+6.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	41.9	82.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.2	81.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.6	83.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.6	44.2	84.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.4	35.0	76.4	+6.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.0	41.4	88.4	+5.6	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	34.7	75.3	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	33.3	74.1	+7.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	36.3	76.7	+4.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	32.7	71.9	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	29.4	69.2	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.5	36.0	74.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	41.4	34.2	75.6	+7.1	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baskonia wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
12/12/13	Crvena zvezda v Baskonia	81-65
07/11/13	Baskonia v Crvena zvezda	63-73

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/14	A	Gran Canaria	77-93
07/11/14	A	Valencia	69-79
02/11/14	H	Manresa	87-67
31/10/14	H	Galatasaray	91-90
26/10/14	H	Bilbao	86-74
24/10/14	A	Olympiacos	57-63
18/10/14	A	MoraBanc Andorra	85-87
15/10/14	H	Neptunas	88-69
11/10/14	H	Unicaja	79-88
04/10/14	A	Barcelona	65-87

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/14	A	Szolnoki Olaj	89-65
07/11/14	H	Olympiacos	57-62
02/11/14	H	Buducnost	83-69
30/10/14	H	Valencia	76-63
26/10/14	A	Zadar	79-63
23/10/14	A	Neptunas	81-83
19/10/14	H	Mega Bemax	93-77
16/10/14	H	Galatasaray	76-68
11/10/14	H	Petrol Olimpija	73-65
07/10/14	A	Cibona	88-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia

Euroleague 2014

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWL	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	76.2	89.5	63.0
Allowed / game	75.2	79.5	71.0
Point differential	+1.0	+10.0	-8.0
Avg total	151.5	169.0	134.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2014

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWL	50%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	50%	67%	0%
Points / game	72.5	69.7	81.0
Allowed / game	69.0	64.3	83.0
Point differential	+3.5	+5.3	-2.0
Avg total	141.5	134.0	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	100%	95.8	80.8	+15.0
2	CSKA Moscow	4	4	0	100%	88.5	76.2	+12.2
3	Barcelona	4	4	0	100%	81.8	72.2	+9.5
4	Olympiacos	4	4	0	100%	70.2	65.8	+4.5
5	Panathinaikos	4	3	1	75%	85.0	73.5	+11.5
6	Zalgiris Kaunas	4	3	1	75%	77.5	69.0	+8.5
7	Anadolu Efes	4	3	1	75%	75.5	70.5	+5.0
8	Unicaja	4	3	1	75%	81.2	77.8	+3.5
9	Lyon-Villeurbanne	3	2	1	67%	79.7	76.7	+3.0
10	Fenerbahce	5	3	2	60%	82.4	81.4	+1.0
11	Strasbourg	2	1	1	50%	73.5	63.5	+10.0
12	Galatasaray	4	2	2	50%	80.8	74.8	+6.0
13	Crvena zvezda	4	2	2	50%	72.5	69.0	+3.5
14	Unics Kazan	8	4	4	50%	80.0	76.5	+3.5
15	Baskonia	4	2	2	50%	76.2	75.2	+1.0
16	Maccabi Tel Aviv	4	2	2	50%	82.2	81.8	+0.5
17	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	2	1	1	50%	82.5	83.0	-0.5
18	Neptunas	5	2	3	40%	79.0	87.0	-8.0
19	Nizhny Novgorod	5	2	3	40%	75.8	88.8	-13.0
20	Alba Berlin	4	1	3	25%	77.5	80.2	-2.8
21	Cedevita	4	1	3	25%	69.5	74.5	-5.0
22	Turow Zgorzelec	4	1	3	25%	77.2	84.8	-7.5
23	Limoges	4	1	3	25%	70.5	79.0	-8.5
24	Olimpia Milano	4	1	3	25%	70.2	79.8	-9.5
25	Valencia	5	1	4	20%	72.2	76.2	-4.0
26	Bayern	5	1	4	20%	80.0	84.2	-4.2
27	Zielona Gora	1	0	1	0%	86.0	90.0	-4.0
28	Oostende	1	0	1	0%	77.0	86.0	-9.0
29	Nymburk	1	0	1	0%	84.0	94.0	-10.0
30	Sassari	4	0	4	0%	79.2	92.5	-13.2
31	VEF Riga	1	0	1	0%	53.0	82.0	-29.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baskonia	22	12	16	16	66
Crvena zvezda	21	20	25	20	86

← all games of the day

Baskonia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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