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Crvena zvezda vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-64
15-7 23-25 28-12 22-20
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 2
Domestic2016
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Cedevita
03 Nov 2018
CZV94
CED79
14 Jan 2018
CZV82
CED66
11 Apr 2017
CZV84
CED73
10 Apr 2017
CZV81
CED66
03 Oct 2016
CZV88
CED64
15 Mar 2016
CZV97
CED88
11 Feb 2016
CZV94
CED74
04 Jan 2016
CZV79
CED80
26 Apr 2015
CZV69
CED65
25 Apr 2015
CZV68
CED59
16 Feb 2015
CZV78
CED63
10 Nov 2013
CZV73
CED59
13 Jan 2013
CZV90
CED65
21 Oct 2011
CZV90
CED91
11 Dec 2010
CZV82
CED77
30 Jan 2010
CZV83
CED63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Tamis Petrohemija
#8
W
94-57
94
57
+37
no box
A18/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#5
W
78-56
78
56
+22
no box
A22/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H24/05
Super League
Mega Bemax
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
H27/05
Super League
Mega Bemax
#3
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A29/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
84-53
84
53
+31
no box
H03/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
87-86
87
86
+1
no box
A05/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H07/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
A09/06
Super League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
91-69
91
69
+22
102avg 102
H30/09
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
25-18
24-11
22-16
11-16
25-13
20-11
22-16
16-22
18-17
24-12
14-16
21-18
22-12
13-12
21-24
14-13
23-25
18-17
19-9
21-15
21-12
22-12
20-14
21-25
16-29
25-18
25-14
13-5
16-22
18-26
25-22
18-22
23-17
15-9
14-17
27-20
22-10
20-16
22-23
145.7Avg total
79.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.965.8145.7+14.190%
Last 5 (5)80.869.6150.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.678.0150.6-5.429%
vs Similar (3)67.078.3145.3-11.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)83.868.8152.6+15.095%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCedevita
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A04/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
W
109-70
109
70
+39
no box
H08/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenik
#13
W
114-64
114
64
+50
no box
A11/05
Premijer liga
Split
#7
W
109-83
109
83
+26
no box
H14/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
115-59
115
59
+56
no box
H18/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
83-64
83
64
+19
no box
A22/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H29/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H03/06
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
100avg 100
H29/09
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
22-19
25-23
18-21
16-16
33-24
28-16
32-14
32-14
26-20
22-19
34-11
22-22
34-11
29-26
24-24
29-13
33-18
27-13
26-15
24-20
20-19
21-20
18-5
19-19
20-24
20-16
28-17
32-25
25-16
24-19
16-23
30-22
22-20
19-19
13-16
16-18
16-16
22-17
16-29
168.1Avg total
94.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.473.7168.1+20.780%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.677.0152.6-1.420%
vs Similar (4)77.079.0156.0-2.025%
vs Weaker (21)92.770.6163.3+22.090%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +5.0+5.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +5.0+5.0
Crvena zvezdaCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tamis Petrohemija
#8
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A18/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/05
Super League
Mega Bemax
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/05
Super League
Mega Bemax
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H03/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A05/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/06
Super League
Partizan
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/06
Super League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H30/09
ABA League
73.9Avg total
39.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.576.8+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.934.474.3+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.579.3-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.373.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.475.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.938.775.6-1.929%-
vs Similar (3)30.743.374.0-12.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.536.177.7+5.475%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H08/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenik
#13
W
58-34
58
34
+24
A11/05
Premijer liga
Split
#7
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H14/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
62-31
62
31
+31
H18/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A22/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H29/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H03/06
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H29/09
ABA League
85.6Avg total
48.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.036.680.6+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.236.483.6+10.871%-
Last 30 away (13)39.836.976.7+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)48.237.485.6+10.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.884.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.235.471.6+0.880%-
vs Similar (4)41.039.080.0+2.025%-
vs Weaker (21)46.436.582.9+10.076%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.030.0
69.8%
51.9%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.06.0
37.5%
34.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
73.3%13.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers7.020.0
285.7%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.04.0
22.2%
34.3%12.0
🏀 Free throws23.018.0
78.3%
73.3%18.0
They take 25.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 72% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLWWWWWWW
Cedevita
LWWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#3
+33.5
Net rating
-7.8
127.2
Offensive rating
136.0
93.7
Defensive rating
143.8
66.1%
Effective FG%
104.0%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
12.5%
Turnover %
28.4%
17.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.92
37.5%
3-point %
22.2%
58.3%
Assist %
62.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence127.2 · 136.0Defence93.7 · 143.8Shooting66.1% · 104.0%3-point %37.5% · 22.2%Ball care12.5% · 28.4%Off. rebounds17.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.92Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Crvena zvezda wins
4
Cedevita wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/16HMZT Skopje91-69
09/06/16APartizan70-65
07/06/16HPartizan72-75
05/06/16APartizan87-86
03/06/16HPartizan84-53
29/05/16AMega Bemax74-64
27/05/16HMega Bemax77-66
24/05/16HFMP Beograd72-67
22/05/16AKK Metalac78-56
18/05/16ATamis Petrohemija94-57
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/16HBuducnost70-80
03/06/16HCibona84-77
31/05/16ACibona97-83
29/05/16HCibona87-76
22/05/16AKvarner83-64
18/05/16HKvarner115-59
14/05/16HSplit109-83
11/05/16AGKK Sibenik114-64
08/05/16HZadar109-70
04/05/16ACibona76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Cedevita
ABA League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game70.070.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%91.069.0+22.0
2 KK Krka Novo mesto110100%81.064.0+17.0
3 Buducnost220100%92.579.5+13.0
4 Cibona110100%71.061.0+10.0
5 Mega Bemax110100%86.085.0+1.0
6 Partizan110100%58.057.0+1.0
7 Zadar21150%83.590.5-7.0
8 Mornar Bar1010%57.058.0-1.0
9 Petrol Olimpija1010%85.086.0-1.0
10 FMP Beograd1010%76.078.0-2.0
11 Cedevita1010%70.080.0-10.0
12 Igokea1010%61.071.0-10.0
13 Karpos1010%64.081.0-17.0
14 MZT Skopje1010%69.091.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda1523282288
Cedevita725122064
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