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Crvena zvezda vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-73
29-18 28-16 15-16 12-23
Position#1
Record28-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game67.2
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Cedevita
Position#3
Record22-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Final
Domestic2016
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Cedevita
03 Nov 2018
CZV94
CED79
14 Jan 2018
CZV82
CED66
11 Apr 2017
CZV84
CED73
10 Apr 2017
CZV81
CED66
03 Oct 2016
CZV88
CED64
15 Mar 2016
CZV97
CED88
11 Feb 2016
CZV94
CED74
04 Jan 2016
CZV79
CED80
26 Apr 2015
CZV69
CED65
25 Apr 2015
CZV68
CED59
16 Feb 2015
CZV78
CED63
10 Nov 2013
CZV73
CED59
13 Jan 2013
CZV90
CED65
21 Oct 2011
CZV90
CED91
11 Dec 2010
CZV82
CED77
30 Jan 2010
CZV83
CED63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#4
W
82-66
82
66
+16
94avg 98
H13/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
78-71
78
71
+7
97avg 98
A16/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
82-67
82
67
+15
109avg 98
H19/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
64-66 OT
64
66
-2
no box
H22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
54-67
54
67
-13
64avg 98
A24/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
L
57-63
57
63
-6
73avg 98
A28/03
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
101avg 98
H31/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
82-59
82
59
+23
97avg 98
H04/04
ABA League
Darussafaka
#9
L
62-78
62
78
-16
77avg 98
A07/04
Euroleague
Cedevita
#3
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
H10/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
23-23
16-14
16-7
25-10
18-21
17-19
18-21
21-17
22-14
19-18
20-18
9-17
8-13
26-12
15-16
18-17
11-15
14-20
11-15
13-13
10-20
14-9
20-21
10-14
30-17
17-18
26-16
21-15
14-14
32-22
15-8
14-25
18-18
17-12
13-23
16-27
29-17
21-10
15-12
139.3Avg total
72.5Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.367.2151.5+17.093%
Season at home (16)85.566.1151.6+19.4100%
Season away (14)82.968.5151.4+14.486%
Last 10 (10)72.566.8139.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)73.066.2139.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.0100.0174.0-26.00%
vs Similar (8)70.070.6140.6-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.065.9144.9+13.189%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCedevita
Date
Competition
Gorica
#11
W
92-70
92
70
+22
no box
H08/03
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#9
W
104-92
104
92
+12
135avg 118
H11/03
ABA League
Zagreb
#8
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A13/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
111avg 118
H18/03
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
H20/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
99avg 118
A25/03
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
103-85
103
85
+18
no box
A27/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
118avg 118
H02/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
A04/04
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A10/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-11
24-16
24-21
20-24
29-21
31-29
24-18
20-16
21-29
24-13
26-10
25-17
29-18
16-24
13-17
28-15
19-13
25-18
10-20
13-20
21-19
17-17
22-18
35-28
30-16
25-13
13-28
20-14
27-22
22-27
18-15
20-16
15-20
22-18
12-17
27-16
17-29
10-21
12-15
161.1Avg total
85.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.780.6168.3+7.273%
Season at home (15)90.578.3168.8+12.380%
Season away (15)84.982.9167.8+2.167%
Last 10 (10)85.076.1161.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)79.677.8157.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)62.076.0138.0-14.00%
vs Similar (5)79.273.2152.4+6.080%
vs Weaker (22)88.077.0165.0+11.077%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
Crvena zvezdaCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H13/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A16/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
17-30
17
30
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A24/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A28/03
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H31/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/04
ABA League
Darussafaka
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A07/04
Euroleague
Cedevita
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/04
ABA League
70.6Avg total
35.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.277.3+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.533.875.4+7.782%-
Last 30 away (13)40.539.479.8+1.146%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.970.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.071.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.060.5105.5-15.50%-
vs Similar (8)36.235.471.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.835.176.9+6.879%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H08/03
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H11/03
ABA League
Zagreb
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A13/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H18/03
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H20/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/03
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A27/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H02/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/04
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A10/04
ABA League
84.6Avg total
46.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.580.9+6.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.535.179.6+9.587%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.982.2+2.533%-
Last 10 (10)46.038.684.6+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.085.0+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.040.079.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (5)42.836.279.0+6.680%-
vs Weaker (22)43.637.881.4+5.859%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.2
49.1%
51.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.5
32.5%
34.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.4
78.8%
73.3%13.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.4
37.0%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
73.3%17.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLWWLLLWWW
Cedevita
LLWWLWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+3.5
Net rating
+6.3
101.0
Offensive rating
108.2
97.5
Defensive rating
101.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.5%
3-point %
37.0%
62.3%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 108.2Defence97.5 · 101.8Shooting48.9% · 54.1%3-point %32.5% · 37.0%Ball care17.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds26.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Crvena zvezda wins
3
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
10/04/17Crvena zvezda v Cedevita81-66
25/12/16Cedevita v Crvena zvezda91-95
03/10/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita88-64
08/04/16Cedevita v Crvena zvezda83-62
22/03/16Cedevita v Crvena zvezda65-73
15/03/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita97-88 OT
11/02/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita94-74
04/01/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita79-80
11/10/15Cedevita v Crvena zvezda74-72
30/04/15Cedevita v Crvena zvezda79-89
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/17HCedevita81-66
07/04/17ADarussafaka62-78
04/04/17HBuducnost82-59
31/03/17HUnics Kazan83-65
28/03/17ABuducnost57-63
24/03/17ABarcelona54-67
22/03/17HOlympiacos64-66 OT
19/03/17HBuducnost82-67
16/03/17AOlimpia Milano78-71
13/03/17HBuducnost82-66
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/17ACrvena zvezda66-81
04/04/17ACibona69-71
02/04/17HPartizan87-78
27/03/17AZabok103-85
25/03/17APartizan73-74
20/03/17HJolly Sibenik82-66
18/03/17HPartizan83-76
13/03/17AZagreb91-68
11/03/17HFMP Beograd104-92
08/03/17HGorica92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game84.385.582.9
Allowed / game67.266.168.5
Point differential+17.0+19.4+14.4
Avg total151.5151.6151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%94%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Cedevita
ABA League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game87.790.584.9
Allowed / game80.678.382.9
Point differential+7.2+12.3+2.1
Avg total168.3168.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda3028293%84.367.2+17.0
2 Cedevita3022873%87.780.6+7.2
3 Partizan2920969%79.675.6+4.1
4 Buducnost29191066%80.275.5+4.7
5 Igokea26131350%75.077.6-2.6
6 Mega Bemax26111542%82.282.5-0.3
7 Cibona26111542%80.881.6-0.8
8 Mornar Bar26101638%77.077.3-0.3
9 FMP Beograd26101638%78.781.5-2.7
10 Petrol Olimpija26101638%79.582.4-3.0
11 Karpos26101638%75.080.6-5.6
12 Zadar2691735%78.686.8-8.2
13 MZT Skopje2681831%76.782.2-5.5
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2681831%72.781.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2928151284
Cedevita1816162373
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