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Crvena zvezda vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#7
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· Beogradska arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2027
CZV v FEN
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
CZV79
FEN73
15 Jan 2025
CZV91
FEN96
14 Nov 2023
CZV87
FEN56
13 Apr 2023
CZV91
FEN89
27 Feb 2022
CZV74
FEN69
07 Jan 2021
CZV71
FEN73
22 Mar 2018
CZV63
FEN80
12 Jan 2017
CZV75
FEN73
08 Jan 2016
CZV65
FEN88
06 Nov 2015
CZV60
FEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#15
L
89-90
89
90
-1
72avg 83
A04/10
ABA League
Dubai
#8
W
77-58
77
58
+19
72avg 83
A08/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
105avg 83
H10/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-82
84
82
+2
83avg 83
A13/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
97-78
97
78
+19
86avg 83
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#12
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
70avg 83
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 83
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
100-78
100
78
+22
104avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
103avg 83
H29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
23-27
24-18
24-22
16-21
21-10
19-15
21-12
26-21
28-20
26-28
21-22
26-23
16-23
24-21
18-15
28-18
18-18
31-22
13-23
27-18
17-24
30-20
23-16
21-31
17-21
12-13
25-10
20-36
13-14
24-10
24-20
34-15
21-15
23-25
22-23
19-15
29-16
31-23
24-19
170.0Avg total
90.4Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.677.0162.6+8.667%
Season at home (6)87.878.0165.8+9.867%
Season away (3)81.075.0156.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)90.479.6170.0+10.880%
Last 5 (5)92.678.8171.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.092.5175.5-9.550%
vs Similar (12)88.688.4177.0+0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.180.7169.8+8.475%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#12
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 78
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
65avg 78
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#15
W
100-85
100
85
+15
99avg 78
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 78
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 78
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 78
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#9
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 78
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 78
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 78
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-26
23-11
17-29
24-27
17-19
14-21
19-25
23-16
32-23
22-27
23-19
27-14
23-29
28-13
21-24
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
162.6Avg total
82.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.976.6156.4+3.367%
Season at home (5)85.471.0156.4+14.4100%
Season away (4)73.083.5156.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)82.480.2162.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)78.479.2157.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.388.7159.0-18.30%
vs Similar (19)82.379.8162.1+2.463%
vs Weaker (8)90.574.4164.9+16.1100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
Crvena zvezdaFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#15
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/10
ABA League
Dubai
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H10/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A13/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#12
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H29/10
Euroleague
84.7Avg total
43.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.387.1+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.940.986.9+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.545.787.3-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.984.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.084.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.544.590.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (12)44.146.690.7-2.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.240.884.0+2.562%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#15
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#5
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
38.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.477.9+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.283.8+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.278.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.473.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.742.077.7-6.30%-
vs Similar (19)39.741.381.1-1.647%-
vs Weaker (8)46.535.682.1+10.988%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.822.4
60.9%
55.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.7
34.4%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
77.1%14.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.8
57.7%
55.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
77.1%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWWWWWL
Fenerbahce
LLWWLWWWLW
#3
League position
#7
+11.4
Net rating
+1.9
103.9
Offensive rating
96.7
92.6
Defensive rating
94.8
56.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
12.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.4%
3-point %
32.9%
69.2%
Assist %
61.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 96.7Defence92.6 · 94.8Shooting56.8% · 53.7%3-point %34.4% · 32.9%Ball care12.1% · 15.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Crvena zvezda wins
3
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HBayern103-73
27/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-78
24/10/26AIgokea81-80
22/10/26APartizan82-85 OT
18/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto97-78
16/10/26HParis90-81
13/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne84-82
10/10/26HBuducnost101-91
08/10/26ADubai77-58
04/10/26AFMP Beograd89-90
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
13/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas99-80
10/10/26ACayirova100-85
08/10/26APanathinaikos74-92
04/10/26HKorfez Basket85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.687.881.0
Allowed / game77.078.075.0
Point differential+8.6+9.8+6.0
Avg total162.6165.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%33%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game79.985.473.0
Allowed / game76.671.083.5
Point differential+3.3+14.4-10.5
Avg total156.4156.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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