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Fenerbahce vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 76-85
26-18 9-16 22-23 19-28
Position#7
Record10-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#16
Record6-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Crvena zvezda
03 Dec 2026
FEN v CZV
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
FEN81
CZV86
15 Oct 2024
FEN57
CZV76
02 Jan 2024
FEN76
CZV85
10 Nov 2022
FEN93
CZV79
01 Oct 2021
FEN61
CZV57
02 Oct 2020
FEN77
CZV63
19 Dec 2017
FEN82
CZV56
08 Dec 2016
FEN87
CZV72
04 Mar 2016
FEN72
CZV65
11 Dec 2015
FEN79
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 78
A06/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
81-89
81
89
-8
71avg 78
A08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 78
A11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 78
H15/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#9
W
99-71
99
71
+28
104avg 78
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 78
H20/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 78
A22/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#13
W
98-56
98
56
+42
101avg 78
A25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 78
A28/12
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 78
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
19-28
18-19
24-23
19-16
31-22
14-25
17-26
21-24
23-25
15-20
21-12
24-21
22-24
22-12
18-17
26-18
20-10
25-20
28-23
22-26
15-22
19-14
24-16
24-26
27-21
21-12
19-23
29-14
22-15
25-12
22-15
29-29
18-23
22-16
20-16
25-19
19-29
29-23
24-19
166.5Avg total
88.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.181.2163.4+0.959%
Season at home (7)87.780.7168.4+7.0100%
Season away (10)78.281.6159.8-3.430%
Last 10 (10)88.078.5166.5+9.570%
Last 5 (5)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.099.0199.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (9)82.279.6161.8+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.376.7161.9+8.665%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
85avg 81
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 81
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 81
A11/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 81
H14/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
87avg 81
A17/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-72
58
72
-14
49avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 81
A21/12
Euroleague
Split
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 81
H24/12
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
56avg 81
A28/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
80-48
80
48
+32
76avg 81
H30/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-31
25-16
16-13
18-26
25-26
19-15
23-20
22-27
26-13
20-30
30-18
25-22
26-20
20-11
14-18
21-21
25-20
17-24
28-12
20-20
14-25
11-16
13-11
20-20
31-22
28-23
19-27
21-16
26-18
24-17
18-16
17-20
14-18
19-23
15-21
31-13
16-16
17-15
16-4
159.9Avg total
83.0Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.880.6161.4+0.235%
Season at home (8)80.274.8155.0+5.562%
Season away (9)81.385.8167.1-4.411%
Last 10 (10)83.076.9159.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)78.072.2150.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.274.5147.8-1.225%
vs Similar (12)82.485.5167.9-3.125%
vs Weaker (14)89.470.9160.3+18.6100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
FenerbahceCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H20/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A22/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A28/12
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.5Avg total
45.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.082.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.239.282.4+3.962%-
Last 30 away (17)42.040.582.5+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.287.5+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.044.890.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)45.440.485.9+5.078%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.539.581.0+1.950%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A11/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A21/12
Euroleague
Split
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/12
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H30/12
ABA League
85.7Avg total
43.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.982.3+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.435.981.3+9.679%-
Last 30 away (16)41.641.683.1+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.985.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.538.577.0+0.025%-
vs Similar (12)40.443.884.2-3.333%-
vs Weaker (14)47.334.982.1+12.4100%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.8
56.7%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.9
41.6%
36.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.212.5
82.2%
77.4%12.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.9
54.8%
53.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.2
35.2%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.913.8
81.7%
77.4%13.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWLLL
Crvena zvezda
WLWWLWWWLL
#7
League position
#16
+12.7
Net rating
+8.4
120.8
Offensive rating
113.8
108.2
Defensive rating
105.4
59.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.6%
3-point %
35.2%
64.7%
Assist %
67.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 113.8Defence108.2 · 105.4Shooting59.1% · 53.9%3-point %41.6% · 35.2%Ball care16.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds32.3% · 34.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HBursaspor97-90
28/12/23AAnadolu Efes89-84
25/12/23ADarussafaka98-56
22/12/23AAlba Berlin91-82
20/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-78
17/12/23HTurk Telekom99-71
15/12/23HMonaco86-74
11/12/23AAnadolu Efes80-81
08/12/23ABarcelona81-89
06/12/23ABaskonia79-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HIgokea80-48
28/12/23APanathinaikos65-82
24/12/23HSplit89-67
21/12/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv98-92
19/12/23HReal Madrid58-72
17/12/23AStudentski Centar91-77
14/12/23HAlba Berlin85-71
11/12/23AMega Basket98-88
08/12/23ABaskonia85-87
06/12/23AValencia81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %59%100%30%
Points / game82.187.778.2
Allowed / game81.280.781.6
Point differential+0.9+7.0-3.4
Avg total163.4168.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %12%29%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL35%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%62%11%
Points / game80.880.281.3
Allowed / game80.674.885.8
Point differential+0.2+5.5-4.4
Avg total161.4155.0167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)-0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%87.574.5+12.9
2 Virtus Bologna1712571%82.480.4+2.1
3 Barcelona1711665%82.579.1+3.4
4 Panathinaikos1710759%82.179.5+2.6
5 Monaco1710759%81.379.2+2.1
6 Fenerbahce1710759%82.181.2+0.9
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv1710759%86.586.7-0.2
8 Olympiacos179853%77.473.9+3.5
9 Partizan179853%85.284.2+1.0
10 Valencia179853%74.674.5+0.2
11 Baskonia179853%82.182.6-0.5
12 Bayern178947%79.681.5-1.9
13 Olimpia Milano1771041%79.177.2+1.9
14 Anadolu Efes1771041%81.287.1-5.8
15 Crvena zvezda1761135%80.880.6+0.2
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1751229%78.581.2-2.6
17 Alba Berlin1731418%75.986.2-10.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1721512%78.487.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce269221976
Crvena zvezda1816232885
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