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Crvena zvezda vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-81
28-18 18-18 31-22 13-23
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#12
Record1-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game91.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6· Beogradska arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Paris
16 Oct 2026
CZV90
PRS81
07 Apr 2026
CZV94
PRS81
10 Jan 2025
CZV85
PRS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
95-86
95
86
+9
96avg 85
H15/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
87avg 85
A18/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 85
H21/05
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 85
H24/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 85
H29/09
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 85
H01/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#16
L
89-90
89
90
-1
72avg 85
A04/10
ABA League
Dubai
#9
W
77-58
77
58
+19
72avg 85
A08/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
105avg 85
H10/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
83avg 85
A13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
22-31
17-24
29-16
19-25
27-27
13-26
35-22
16-28
17-21
20-18
25-22
21-28
24-15
12-16
20-24
18-28
17-17
24-22
21-14
19-21
18-15
19-17
21-19
18-23
23-27
24-18
24-22
16-21
21-10
19-15
21-12
26-21
28-20
26-28
21-22
26-23
16-23
24-21
18-15
168.4Avg total
85.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.075.2154.2+3.860%
Season at home (3)78.078.7156.7-0.733%
Season away (2)80.570.0150.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.283.2168.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)85.678.6164.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.799.7185.3-14.033%
vs Similar (16)85.886.5172.3-0.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.481.7171.1+7.682%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
76avg 86
A21/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
82avg 86
H23/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
61avg 86
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 86
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
79-92
79
92
-13
73avg 86
H29/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
W
82-78
82
78
+4
74avg 86
H01/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#3
W
103-101
103
101
+2
99avg 86
A04/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
96-98
96
98
-2
80avg 86
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
97avg 86
H11/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
94-96
94
96
-2
86avg 86
H14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
17-27
22-29
29-13
24-27
28-28
29-18
11-28
17-31
14-11
13-27
28-22
21-15
14-17
16-24
27-17
18-15
22-29
23-23
16-25
17-19
24-19
20-15
21-25
17-21
29-20
25-33
32-27
21-14
22-32
34-28
19-24
29-20
32-18
20-25
17-21
26-26
12-20
27-18
29-32
178.8Avg total
87.8Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.691.0175.6-6.420%
Season at home (4)87.891.0178.8-3.225%
Season away (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)87.891.0178.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)94.691.4186.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.086.5164.5-8.525%
vs Similar (12)96.893.7190.5+3.250%
vs Weaker (14)92.684.2176.9+8.479%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
Crvena zvezdaParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H21/05
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H24/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H29/09
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#16
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/10
ABA League
Dubai
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H10/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A13/10
Euroleague
85.8Avg total
41.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.344.687.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.187.1+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.746.188.8-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.985.8-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.883.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.750.795.3-6.033%-
vs Similar (16)43.645.989.6-2.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.541.083.5+1.555%-
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H23/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H11/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
42.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.846.993.7-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.146.194.2+2.035%-
Last 30 away (13)45.047.992.9-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.685.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.244.283.5-5.025%-
vs Similar (12)49.248.497.6+0.833%-
vs Weaker (14)46.946.493.2+0.543%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.6
53.8%
55.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.515.6
72.6%
77.1%15.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.8
54.9%
55.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.9
33.2%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.112.9
75.4%
77.1%12.9
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWLLLLW
Paris
LWLWWLWLLL
#6
League position
#12
+2.4
Net rating
-3.6
96.9
Offensive rating
96.3
94.5
Defensive rating
100.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.3%
3-point %
33.2%
69.1%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 96.3Defence94.5 · 100.0Shooting52.2% · 52.5%3-point %33.3% · 33.2%Ball care13.8% · 14.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
07/04/26Crvena zvezda v Paris94-81
23/12/25Paris v Crvena zvezda102-92
10/01/25Crvena zvezda v Paris85-69
04/10/24Paris v Crvena zvezda77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne84-82
10/10/26HBuducnost101-91
08/10/26ADubai77-58
04/10/26AFMP Beograd89-90
01/10/26HAnadolu Efes77-72
29/09/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv80-81
24/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas77-83
21/05/26HPartizan78-89
18/05/26APartizan94-100
15/05/26HCedevita Olimpija95-86
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-96
11/10/26HStrasbourg98-84
07/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne96-98
04/10/26ALe Mans103-101
01/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-78
29/09/26HPartizan79-92
27/09/26ANancy78-73
24/09/26APanathinaikos72-91
23/06/26HMonaco92-101
21/06/26AMonaco84-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game79.078.080.5
Allowed / game75.278.770.0
Point differential+3.8-0.7+10.5
Avg total154.2156.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%25%0%
Points / game84.687.872.0
Allowed / game91.091.091.0
Point differential-6.4-3.2-19.0
Avg total175.6178.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos550100%89.469.4+20.0
2 Fenerbahce65183%83.574.5+9.0
3 Olympiacos54180%96.887.8+9.0
4 Valencia64267%98.391.5+6.8
5 Dubai64267%81.782.2-0.5
6 Crvena zvezda53260%79.075.2+3.8
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv53260%89.887.8+2.0
8 Barcelona53260%88.486.6+1.8
9 Virtus Bologna53260%87.888.0-0.2
10 Real Madrid63350%92.388.5+3.8
11 Besiktas63350%92.392.5-0.2
12 Partizan63350%77.778.5-0.8
13 Anadolu Efes62433%82.085.0-3.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas62433%81.786.2-4.5
15 Bayern62433%86.892.0-5.2
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%84.890.0-5.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne62433%87.895.3-7.5
18 Paris51420%84.691.0-6.4
19 Baskonia51420%85.295.6-10.4
20 Olimpia Milano61517%84.093.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2818311390
Paris1818222381
← all games of the day
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