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Paris vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 94-96
26-26 12-20 27-18 29-32
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#15
Record2-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game86.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Adidas Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Paris v Virtus Bologna
14 Oct 2026
PRS94
VIR96
09 Oct 2025
PRS90
VIR79
28 Nov 2024
PRS81
VIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
W
88-77
88
77
+11
86avg 86
A19/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
76avg 86
A21/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
82avg 86
H23/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
61avg 86
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 86
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
79-92
79
92
-13
73avg 86
H29/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
74avg 86
H01/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#3
W
103-101
103
101
+2
99avg 86
A04/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
96-98
96
98
-2
80avg 86
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
97avg 86
H11/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
23-18
18-17
30-16
16-27
17-27
22-29
29-13
24-27
28-28
29-18
11-28
17-31
14-11
13-27
28-22
21-15
14-17
16-24
27-17
18-15
22-29
23-23
16-25
17-19
24-19
20-15
21-25
17-21
29-20
25-33
32-27
21-14
22-32
34-28
19-24
29-20
32-18
20-25
17-21
176.3Avg total
87.2Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.289.8172.0-7.525%
Season at home (3)85.789.3175.0-3.733%
Season away (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)87.289.1176.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)91.690.6182.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.086.5164.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)97.692.5190.1+5.158%
vs Weaker (14)92.684.2176.9+8.479%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 81
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 81
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
78avg 81
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 81
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 81
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 81
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 81
H01/10
Euroleague
Maxima Roma
#4
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 81
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
86avg 81
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
86avg 81
A11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
33-26
20-12
16-25
28-16
17-24
14-19
26-30
23-24
19-13
27-20
14-33
17-23
21-16
17-20
13-19
26-21
21-18
21-19
22-11
20-30
21-17
26-19
18-21
33-30
16-20
26-20
21-24
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
173.8Avg total
89.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.886.5172.2-0.850%
Season at home (1)96.094.0190.0+2.0100%
Season away (3)82.384.0166.3-1.733%
Last 10 (10)89.084.8173.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)93.288.6181.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.093.8177.8-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.090.8174.8-6.833%
vs Weaker (20)88.883.7172.4+5.160%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
ParisVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H23/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A24/09
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/09
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/09
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H11/10
LNB
85.6Avg total
42.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.346.994.2+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.846.194.9+2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)45.647.993.4-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.485.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.487.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.244.283.5-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.448.598.9+1.942%-
vs Weaker (14)46.946.493.2+0.543%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/10
Euroleague
Maxima Roma
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#17
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
Lega A
88.8Avg total
45.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.688.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.043.791.7+4.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.685.3-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)45.843.088.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.549.592.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.046.091.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker (20)45.241.887.0+3.565%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.6
56.1%
55.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.2
32.0%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
75.9%
77.1%14.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.2
59.8%
55.2%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.9
77.9%
77.1%16.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLWWLWLLLW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWLWLLLW
#12
League position
#15
-2.2
Net rating
+5.1
96.4
Offensive rating
101.3
98.6
Defensive rating
96.2
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.0%
3-point %
31.7%
60.4%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 101.3Defence98.6 · 96.2Shooting52.3% · 54.8%3-point %32.0% · 31.7%Ball care15.7% · 14.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Paris   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Paris wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
31/03/26Virtus Bologna v Paris82-103
09/10/25Paris v Virtus Bologna90-79
07/02/25Virtus Bologna v Paris77-83
28/11/24Paris v Virtus Bologna81-78
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HStrasbourg98-84
07/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne96-98
04/10/26ALe Mans103-101
01/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-78
29/09/26HPartizan79-92
27/09/26ANancy78-73
24/09/26APanathinaikos72-91
23/06/26HMonaco92-101
21/06/26AMonaco84-96
19/06/26AMonaco88-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AVenezia93-86
08/10/26ABayern94-87
04/10/26HMaxima Roma98-89
01/10/26HOlympiacos96-94
29/09/26AOlimpia Milano85-87
27/09/26AVarese90-69
25/09/26AFenerbahce68-78
06/06/26AVenezia83-90
04/06/26AVenezia85-89
01/06/26HVenezia98-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game82.285.772.0
Allowed / game89.889.391.0
Point differential-7.5-3.7-19.0
Avg total172.0175.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game85.896.082.3
Allowed / game86.594.084.0
Point differential-0.8+2.0-1.7
Avg total172.2190.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos550100%89.469.4+20.0
2 Fenerbahce54180%85.476.4+9.0
3 Olympiacos54180%96.887.8+9.0
4 Valencia54180%100.491.6+8.8
5 Crvena zvezda53260%79.075.2+3.8
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv53260%89.887.8+2.0
7 Barcelona53260%88.486.6+1.8
8 Partizan53260%80.279.4+0.8
9 Dubai53260%77.879.2-1.4
10 Virtus Bologna42250%85.886.5-0.8
11 Real Madrid52340%88.687.8+0.8
12 Besiktas52340%91.893.6-1.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas52340%84.086.4-2.4
14 Bayern52340%86.891.4-4.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne52340%87.092.2-5.2
16 Paris41325%82.289.8-7.5
17 Anadolu Efes51420%81.488.0-6.6
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv51420%83.690.4-6.8
19 Olimpia Milano51420%81.491.6-10.2
20 Baskonia51420%85.295.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2612272994
Virtus Bologna2620183296
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