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Paris vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 102-92
28-18 23-28 28-12 23-34
Position#16
Record5-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game92.8
Paris 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record10-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Adidas Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Paris v Crvena zvezda
30 Dec 2026
PRS v CZV
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
PRS102
CZV92
04 Oct 2024
PRS77
CZV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
79avg 90
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
90avg 90
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
104-125
104
125
-21
85avg 90
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
99-69
99
69
+30
95avg 90
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
110-80
110
80
+30
107avg 90
H09/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
105-108
105
108
-3
95avg 90
H11/12
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
82avg 90
A13/12
LNB
Barcelona
#8
L
69-85
69
85
-16
56avg 90
H16/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 90
A18/12
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
107-84
107
84
+23
110avg 90
H21/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
13-29
21-13
23-31
25-33
33-32
16-15
29-29
29-35
17-23
24-33
34-34
36-20
12-19
21-17
30-13
21-15
32-23
24-16
33-26
29-28
27-20
17-32
32-28
26-22
15-25
24-31
25-19
13-30
16-22
23-16
17-17
21-24
29-25
24-21
16-25
29-23
26-25
24-15
28-21
190.8Avg total
96.6Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.992.8182.8-2.929%
Season at home (9)89.390.1179.4-0.833%
Season away (8)90.695.9186.5-5.225%
Last 10 (10)96.694.2190.8+2.430%
Last 5 (5)92.293.8186.0-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.896.8189.5-4.025%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.592.8181.4-4.323%
vs Weaker (12)100.881.2181.9+19.683%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
86-87
86
87
-1
85avg 81
A17/11
ABA League
Valencia
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
69avg 81
A21/11
Euroleague
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-82
98
82
+16
102avg 81
A23/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
W
91-80
91
80
+11
87avg 81
H26/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 81
H05/12
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#11
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 81
A08/12
ABA League
Partizan
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
67avg 81
A12/12
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
93-77
93
77
+16
82avg 81
H14/12
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
67avg 81
A16/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-89
90
89
+1
79avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
28-25
22-17
20-22
26-26
13-23
21-11
13-16
22-18
24-28
21-18
31-18
21-15
16-23
22-27
32-15
17-21
22-25
18-17
22-26
24-21
24-18
22-23
16-15
18-15
21-20
21-14
16-30
23-26
24-19
27-17
19-15
21-21
16-19
22-21
19-23
23-15
22-31
25-24
20-19
167.0Avg total
85.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.482.3167.7+3.159%
Season at home (10)86.678.8165.4+7.880%
Season away (7)83.787.3171.0-3.629%
Last 10 (10)85.082.0167.0+3.050%
Last 5 (5)84.681.2165.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.385.0166.3-3.750%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.985.0170.9+0.946%
vs Weaker (11)87.879.2167.0+8.673%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
ParisCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H09/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H11/12
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A13/12
LNB
Barcelona
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H16/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H21/12
LNB
97.1Avg total
48.1Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.646.793.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.247.894.0-1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)46.945.692.5+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)48.149.097.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.248.895.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.051.099.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.248.190.2-5.923%-
vs Weaker (12)49.942.292.2+7.775%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A17/11
ABA League
Valencia
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A21/11
Euroleague
Vienna Basket
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H26/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H05/12
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A08/12
ABA League
Partizan
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/12
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H14/12
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H19/12
Euroleague
85.3Avg total
42.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.285.9+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.841.484.1+1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)44.843.488.2+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.285.3-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.084.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.843.783.5-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.443.587.8+0.938%-
vs Weaker (11)44.840.084.8+4.864%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 96.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.8
51.9%
60.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.913.4
40.7%
35.9%40.2
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.3%
78.2%14.3
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.4
55.0%
60.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.2
35.1%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
78.2%17.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLLLLWWLLL
Crvena zvezda
WLWLWLWWLL
#16
League position
#9
+3.5
Net rating
+3.0
118.6
Offensive rating
112.8
115.2
Defensive rating
109.8
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.6%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.7%
3-point %
35.1%
53.2%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 112.8Defence115.2 · 109.8Shooting56.0% · 54.0%3-point %40.7% · 35.1%Ball care17.8% · 18.6%Off. rebounds37.4% · 34.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Paris   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paris wins
2
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Crvena zvezda v Paris85-69
04/10/24Paris v Crvena zvezda77-80
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HCholet107-84
18/12/25AReal Madrid90-95
16/12/25HBarcelona69-85
13/12/25ANancy90-97
11/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas105-108
09/12/25HLe Portel110-80
07/12/25HSaint Quentin99-69
04/12/25AMonaco104-125
02/12/25AMonaco103-109
25/11/25ADubai89-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HVirtus Bologna90-89
16/12/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv78-84
14/12/25HSpartak Subotica93-77
12/12/25APartizan76-79
08/12/25AKK Bosna86-77
05/12/25HBarcelona79-89
26/11/25HOlympiacos91-80
23/11/25AVienna Basket98-82
21/11/25AValencia73-76
17/11/25ACedevita Olimpija86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game89.989.390.6
Allowed / game92.890.195.9
Point differential-2.9-0.8-5.2
Avg total182.8179.4186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %59%80%29%
Points / game85.486.683.7
Allowed / game82.378.887.3
Point differential+3.1+7.8-3.6
Avg total167.7165.4171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1813572%88.582.8+5.7
2 Valencia1812667%89.685.2+4.3
3 Barcelona1812667%88.184.9+3.2
4 Panathinaikos1812667%88.785.5+3.2
5 Fenerbahce1711665%80.278.3+1.9
6 Monaco1710759%90.283.4+6.8
7 Crvena zvezda1710759%85.482.3+3.1
8 Real Madrid1710759%85.383.6+1.7
9 Olympiacos169756%87.984.0+3.9
10 Zalgiris Kaunas1810856%86.882.1+4.7
11 Olimpia Milano189950%84.885.0-0.2
12 Dubai189950%86.887.6-0.8
13 Virtus Bologna178947%81.682.2-0.6
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1771041%89.191.6-2.6
15 Anadolu Efes1761135%80.484.6-4.2
16 Partizan1761135%80.587.8-7.3
17 Baskonia1861233%87.691.1-3.5
18 Paris1751229%89.992.8-2.9
19 Bayern1851328%77.584.6-7.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1741324%77.086.8-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris28232823102
Crvena zvezda1828123492
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