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CSKA Moscow vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-95 (OT)
23-13 18-23 18-22 16-17 4-20
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#3
Record8-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2016
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce
04 Nov 2021
CMO82
FEN91
23 Apr 2021
CMO78
FEN67
21 Apr 2021
CMO92
FEN76
22 Jan 2021
CMO83
FEN89
21 Mar 2019
CMO70
FEN68
17 Nov 2017
CMO93
FEN95
23 Dec 2016
CMO79
FEN95
27 Feb 2015
CMO75
FEN81
06 Dec 2013
CMO74
FEN78
25 Sep 2011
CMO73
FEN57
04 Mar 2009
CMO77
FEN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A21/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
112-84
112
84
+28
H25/11
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
105-78
105
78
+27
H27/11
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A01/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A04/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A08/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H11/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H16/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H18/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
24-12
23-14
21-24
17-27
32-19
34-23
29-15
28-21
29-18
26-21
22-18
17-16
24-14
20-28
29-30
21-10
20-26
16-26
17-21
21-23
15-15
30-16
13-10
23-8
25-9
17-19
17-15
24-11
20-31
27-23
21-11
29-22
30-24
17-20
19-13
16-31
26-15
16-13
22-17
164.3Avg total
89.6Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.181.4172.5+9.792%
Season at home (6)94.882.2177.0+12.7100%
Season away (7)87.980.7168.6+7.186%
Last 10 (10)89.674.7164.3+14.990%
Last 5 (5)85.669.2154.8+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)91.090.0181.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)90.978.1169.0+12.790%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A24/11
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H01/12
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H08/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#9
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
12-10
23-6
27-25
21-17
23-19
14-27
21-7
21-13
21-22
26-7
23-15
23-19
16-21
18-17
21-20
18-27
20-21
18-22
16-11
20-18
21-13
27-19
19-22
19-18
16-18
19-20
22-15
14-23
23-18
15-20
18-20
24-27
24-19
20-26
24-20
18-20
17-17
13-13
16-21
153.7Avg total
79.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.476.8153.2-0.462%
Season at home (7)77.073.6150.6+3.471%
Season away (6)75.780.5156.2-4.850%
Last 10 (10)79.973.8153.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)79.878.6158.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (8)77.980.6158.5-2.850%
vs Weaker (21)80.972.8153.7+8.081%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
CSKA MoscowFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H25/11
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H27/11
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H11/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H16/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H18/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/12
Euroleague
83.0Avg total
46.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.738.584.2+7.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.938.686.5+9.387%-
Last 30 away (15)43.538.481.9+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)46.037.083.0+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.837.883.6+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)49.038.087.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.638.584.1+7.176%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/11
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/12
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/12
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/12
Euroleague
76.8Avg total
38.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.376.3+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.835.975.7+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)37.939.277.1-1.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.976.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.277.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (8)36.240.276.5-4.038%-
vs Weaker (21)40.036.776.7+3.367%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.9
49.9%
50.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.710.2
44.9%
37.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.618.7
79.2%
75.6%18.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.8
52.1%
50.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.67.3
37.2%
37.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
75.6%12.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWLWWWW
Fenerbahce
LWLWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+11.9
Net rating
-2.6
116.7
Offensive rating
104.9
104.8
Defensive rating
107.5
56.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.9%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.9%
3-point %
37.2%
67.1%
Assist %
61.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 104.9Defence104.8 · 107.5Shooting56.2% · 53.4%3-point %44.9% · 37.2%Ball care17.6% · 18.9%Off. rebounds30.4% · 27.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
CSKA Moscow wins
3
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-76
18/12/16HKhimki M.95-79
16/12/16HBarcelona92-76
11/12/16HVEF Riga82-51
08/12/16AOlimpia Milano79-64
04/12/16ALokomotiv Kuban74-83
01/12/16ABamberg90-88
27/11/16HNizhny Novgorod105-78
25/11/16HBaskonia112-84
21/11/16ABC Kalev/Cramo87-68
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16HDarussafaka64-71
18/12/16AGaziantep102-98 OT
16/12/16APanathinaikos70-81
11/12/16HBanvit76-71
08/12/16HCrvena zvezda87-72
04/12/16ATofas72-81
01/12/16HReal Madrid78-77
27/11/16HBest Balikesir91-57
24/11/16AOlimpia Milano79-70
20/11/16ABuyukcekmece80-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game91.194.887.9
Allowed / game81.482.280.7
Point differential+9.7+12.7+7.1
Avg total172.5177.0168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game76.477.075.7
Allowed / game76.873.680.5
Point differential-0.4+3.4-4.8
Avg total153.2150.6156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1312192%91.181.4+9.7
2 Baskonia139469%79.676.9+2.7
3 Real Madrid149564%87.480.4+7.0
4 Olympiacos149564%79.175.1+4.1
5 Panathinaikos138562%79.875.6+4.2
6 Fenerbahce138562%76.476.8-0.4
7 Darussafaka137654%77.577.5+0.0
8 Anadolu Efes147750%84.785.5-0.8
9 Crvena zvezda146843%74.175.0-0.9
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv135838%79.282.5-3.3
11 Barcelona135838%70.274.3-4.2
12 Bamberg145936%80.781.5-0.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%81.483.2-1.9
14 Unics Kazan145936%80.082.2-2.2
15 Olimpia Milano134931%83.288.7-5.5
16 Galatasaray1441029%78.185.5-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
CSKA Moscow23181816479
Fenerbahce132322172095
← all games of the day
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