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Panathinaikos vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-70
23-14 18-23 20-15 20-18
Position#5
Record6-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12
European cup2016
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Fenerbahce
08 Oct 2026
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04 Feb 2025
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10 Jan 2023
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07 Oct 2021
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22 Oct 2020
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07 Dec 2018
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27 Oct 2017
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20 Apr 2017
PAO75
FEN80
18 Apr 2017
PAO58
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16 Dec 2016
PAO81
FEN70
25 Feb 2016
PAO76
FEN71
30 Oct 2014
PAO91
FEN73
20 Mar 2014
PAO76
FEN67
07 Dec 2012
PAO69
FEN55
09 Feb 2012
PAO72
FEN62
24 Sep 2011
PAO85
FEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H13/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H18/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A21/11
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H25/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H28/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#11
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A05/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H09/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H11/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
19-20
24-17
16-15
23-21
27-32
18-19
16-15
23-23
16-24
24-14
14-18
17-14
19-14
15-17
20-14
21-16
25-18
18-26
22-20
24-14
30-16
18-13
24-16
19-19
12-17
9-21
17-15
25-10
23-22
16-12
20-16
20-13
19-18
25-14
21-13
22-20
17-19
17-17
21-12
148.4Avg total
79.7Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.176.5155.5+2.655%
Season at home (6)80.871.2152.0+9.783%
Season away (5)77.082.8159.8-5.820%
Last 10 (10)79.768.7148.4+11.070%
Last 5 (5)79.863.4143.2+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.584.0164.5-3.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.681.5159.2-3.936%
vs Weaker (16)80.965.1146.0+15.888%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A15/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H17/11
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A24/11
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H01/12
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H08/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-19
21-7
30-28
17-15
22-28
21-23
17-21
17-25
26-17
21-19
24-19
18-19
12-10
23-6
27-25
21-17
23-19
14-27
21-7
21-13
21-22
26-7
23-15
23-19
16-21
18-17
21-20
18-27
20-21
18-22
16-11
20-18
21-13
27-19
19-22
19-18
16-18
19-20
22-15
154.9Avg total
82.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.176.9155.0+1.273%
Season at home (6)79.274.0153.2+5.283%
Season away (5)76.880.4157.2-3.660%
Last 10 (10)82.072.9154.9+9.180%
Last 5 (5)80.871.6152.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.782.7165.4+0.071%
vs Weaker (22)78.372.3150.6+6.073%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
PanathinaikosFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/11
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H25/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H28/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H09/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H11/12
Basket League
78.5Avg total
42.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.276.1+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.233.475.5+8.871%-
Last 30 away (13)39.137.776.8+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.378.5+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.675.8+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.084.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.738.277.9+1.555%-
vs Weaker (16)41.531.873.3+9.769%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H17/11
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/11
Euroleague
Best Balikesir
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/12
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.1Avg total
39.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.175.2+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.935.875.6+4.171%-
Last 30 away (13)35.838.874.7-3.046%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.977.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.077.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.439.776.1-3.357%-
vs Weaker (22)38.636.775.4+1.959%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.0
53.1%
50.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.6
36.2%
37.3%25.7
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.5%
75.6%13.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
50.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.3
41.1%
37.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.013.5
79.4%
75.6%13.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWLWWWLLW
Fenerbahce
WWLWWWWWLW
#5
League position
#3
+4.6
Net rating
+1.9
109.2
Offensive rating
108.2
104.7
Defensive rating
106.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.2%
3-point %
41.1%
53.2%
Assist %
65.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 108.2Defence104.7 · 106.3Shooting53.6% · 54.8%3-point %36.2% · 41.1%Ball care14.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.0% · 26.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Panathinaikos wins
4
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16HAEK Athens77-68
09/12/16HGalatasaray85-58
05/12/16ALavrio84-60
02/12/16ABarcelona57-72
28/11/16HApollon Patras96-59
25/11/16HDarussafaka86-80
21/11/16AAris71-59
18/11/16HOlympiacos77-79
16/11/16AReal Madrid84-87
13/11/16HKolossos Rhodes80-65
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16HBanvit76-71
08/12/16HCrvena zvezda87-72
04/12/16ATofas72-81
01/12/16HReal Madrid78-77
27/11/16HBest Balikesir91-57
24/11/16AOlimpia Milano79-70
20/11/16ABuyukcekmece80-60
17/11/16HAnadolu Efes88-80
15/11/16AMaccabi Tel Aviv77-87
13/11/16HGalatasaray92-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game79.180.877.0
Allowed / game76.571.282.8
Point differential+2.6+9.7-5.8
Avg total155.5152.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %18%17%20%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game78.179.276.8
Allowed / game76.974.080.4
Point differential+1.2+5.2-3.6
Avg total155.0153.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1211192%92.081.8+10.2
2 Fenerbahce118373%78.176.9+1.2
3 Real Madrid128467%88.281.0+7.2
4 Olympiacos128467%80.675.3+5.2
5 Baskonia128467%80.878.2+2.7
6 Panathinaikos116555%79.176.5+2.6
7 Darussafaka126650%78.178.7-0.6
8 Anadolu Efes126650%85.886.4-0.7
9 Crvena zvezda125742%74.275.6-1.4
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv125742%79.582.8-3.2
11 Barcelona125742%70.875.1-4.2
12 Bamberg124833%81.381.5-0.2
13 Zalgiris Kaunas124833%81.283.8-2.6
14 Olimpia Milano124833%84.188.9-4.8
15 Galatasaray124833%79.886.5-6.8
16 Unics Kazan123925%79.984.2-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2318202081
Fenerbahce1423151870
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