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Olimpia Milano vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-79
23-21 15-15 16-30 10-13
Position#16
Record4-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2016
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow
30 Sep 2021
MIL84
CMO74
30 May 2021
MIL83
CMO73
30 Dec 2020
MIL87
CMO91
08 Nov 2018
MIL85
CMO90
11 Jan 2018
MIL81
CMO107
08 Dec 2016
MIL64
CMO79
09 Apr 2015
MIL79
CMO88
24 Nov 2010
MIL71
CMO65
03 Dec 2008
MIL80
CMO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
100-97
100
97
+3
A06/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
105-92
105
92
+13
H10/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H13/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H15/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A17/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#7
W
104-70
104
70
+34
H27/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A01/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A04/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
27-25
16-20
27-26
25-24
30-25
24-18
26-25
24-20
18-19
28-22
16-16
27-17
22-18
23-21
16-20
19-14
13-23
14-17
24-29
24-17
15-21
12-15
25-19
17-21
19-23
27-14
7-21
21-18
31-22
27-16
25-14
24-35
19-22
26-16
10-27
17-16
27-15
23-18
25-25
169.0Avg total
87.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.590.5177.0-4.040%
Season at home (5)90.489.0179.4+1.460%
Season away (5)82.692.0174.6-9.420%
Last 10 (10)87.082.0169.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)84.279.0163.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.988.5174.4-2.638%
vs Similar (5)88.685.8174.4+2.880%
vs Weaker (16)85.274.5159.7+10.788%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#2
W
105-56
105
56
+49
H06/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#2
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H13/11
VTB United League
Darussafaka
#9
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A16/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H18/11
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A21/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
112-84
112
84
+28
H25/11
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
105-78
105
78
+27
H27/11
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A01/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A04/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
33-16
25-16
23-8
17-26
32-12
24-30
18-22
24-22
23-26
34-12
17-14
18-30
19-19
20-24
26-18
19-21
21-20
27-28
28-17
19-18
24-12
23-14
21-24
17-27
32-19
34-23
29-15
28-21
29-18
26-21
22-18
17-16
24-14
20-28
29-30
21-10
20-26
16-26
17-21
173.8Avg total
94.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)93.384.2177.5+9.190%
Season at home (5)95.483.4178.8+12.0100%
Season away (5)91.285.0176.2+6.280%
Last 10 (10)94.079.8173.8+14.280%
Last 5 (5)93.680.2173.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.389.0182.3+4.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.480.6173.0+11.789%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.3+4.3
Olimpia MilanoCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A06/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H10/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H15/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H27/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A01/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/12
Lega A
87.0Avg total
44.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.384.0+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.940.987.8+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.439.780.1+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.187.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.084.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.242.886.0+0.550%-
vs Similar (5)42.641.884.4+0.860%-
vs Weaker (16)43.837.981.7+5.975%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#2
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H06/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H11/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#13
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H13/11
VTB United League
Darussafaka
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A16/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/11
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H25/11
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H27/11
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/12
VTB United League
85.0Avg total
46.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.138.584.6+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.686.3+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)45.537.382.8+8.180%-
Last 10 (10)46.138.985.0+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.282.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)48.735.083.7+13.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.838.984.7+7.078%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.623.7
52.0%
50.7%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.37.3
39.9%
37.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.516.9
75.1%
75.6%16.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.0
53.4%
50.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.79.5
43.8%
37.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.319.8
81.5%
75.6%19.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLWWWW
CSKA Moscow
LWWWWWLWWW
#16
League position
#1
+6.2
Net rating
+11.8
110.6
Offensive rating
119.7
104.4
Defensive rating
107.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
57.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.9%
3-point %
43.8%
61.0%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 119.7Defence104.4 · 107.9Shooting54.2% · 57.6%3-point %39.9% · 43.8%Ball care18.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
3
CSKA Moscow wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16ATrento92-74
01/12/16AUnics Kazan79-100
27/11/16HPistoia104-70
24/11/16HFenerbahce70-79
20/11/16ACremona76-72
17/11/16ACrvena zvezda70-83
15/11/16HBaskonia88-76
13/11/16HSassari86-77
10/11/16HAnadolu Efes105-92
06/11/16ATorino100-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16ALokomotiv Kuban74-83
01/12/16ABamberg90-88
27/11/16HNizhny Novgorod105-78
25/11/16HBaskonia112-84
21/11/16ABC Kalev/Cramo87-68
18/11/16HZalgiris Kaunas95-86
16/11/16ADarussafaka83-91
13/11/16HParma Perm98-74
11/11/16HReal Madrid91-90
06/11/16HZenit Petersburg105-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game86.590.482.6
Allowed / game90.589.092.0
Point differential-4.0+1.4-9.4
Avg total177.0179.4174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game93.395.491.2
Allowed / game84.283.485.0
Point differential+9.1+12.0+6.2
Avg total177.5178.8176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow109190%93.384.2+9.1
2 Fenerbahce118373%78.176.9+1.2
3 Real Madrid107370%89.580.0+9.5
4 Olympiacos106460%79.177.0+2.1
5 Baskonia106460%80.579.5+1.0
6 Panathinaikos105550%78.578.3+0.2
7 Darussafaka105550%80.480.3+0.1
8 Anadolu Efes105550%87.487.8-0.4
9 Barcelona105550%70.673.7-3.1
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv115645%81.582.7-1.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas104640%80.982.2-1.3
12 Olimpia Milano104640%86.590.5-4.0
13 Crvena zvezda114736%73.477.2-3.8
14 Unics Kazan103730%80.983.1-2.2
15 Galatasaray103730%81.687.3-5.7
16 Bamberg113827%80.581.4-0.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2315161064
CSKA Moscow2115301379
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