CSKA Sofia will host Shumen in the NBL on 7 November 2026, a game the model predicts will see a high total of 178.9 points, driven by Shumen's strong offensive output of 93.8 points per game and CSKA's defensive struggles, allowing 99.5 points per game. CSKA enters the contest with a 1-3 record, scoring 75.8 points per game and conceding 99.5, while Shumen boasts a 3-1 record, averaging 93.8 points and allowing 90.5; Shumen's recent form is highlighted by a 97-70 win over Yambol and a 90-85 victory over Levski, whereas CSKA has suffered three straight defeats, including a 65-94 loss to Balkan. In their five meetings, CSKA has won four times, but Shumen's last encounter on 3 February 2024 ended 86-82 in Shumen's favour. The Pythia model names CSKA Sofia as the favourite with a 70% chance of winning, projecting a 92-87 scoreline; the home team's 5.5-point line gives an 83% probability of covering, while the over on the 171.5 line carries a 66% chance, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on whether CSKA can reverse its recent slump and keep the margin within the spread.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 75.8 | 99.5 | 175.2 | -23.8 | 25% |
| Season at home (2) | 81.0 | 95.0 | 176.0 | -14.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 70.5 | 104.0 | 174.5 | -33.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.8 | 95.5 | 174.3 | -16.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.4 | 98.4 | 173.8 | -23.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 74.9 | 90.8 | 165.7 | -15.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (9) | 78.3 | 83.9 | 162.2 | -5.6 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 94.6 | 88.1 | 182.8 | +6.5 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 93.8 | 90.5 | 184.2 | +3.2 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 92.0 | 77.0 | 169.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 95.5 | 104.0 | 199.5 | -8.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.2 | 95.1 | 180.3 | -9.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.4 | 93.2 | 185.6 | -0.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (24) | 81.7 | 95.4 | 177.1 | -13.8 | 8% |
| vs Similar (3) | 77.0 | 82.0 | 159.0 | -5.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 91.3 | 79.7 | 171.0 | +11.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.7 | 44.2 | 85.9 | -2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.8 | 42.9 | 87.6 | +1.9 | 57% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.0 | 45.4 | 84.4 | -6.4 | 25% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.2 | 45.9 | 86.1 | -5.7 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.2 | 50.2 | 85.4 | -15.0 | 0% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 39.0 | 44.5 | 83.5 | -5.5 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Similar (9) | 40.6 | 44.0 | 84.6 | -3.4 | 33% | 44% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 48.4 | 45.2 | 93.6 | +3.1 | 62% | 88% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.6 | 45.0 | 85.6 | -4.4 | 33% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 42.2 | 43.5 | 85.7 | -1.4 | 41% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 38.5 | 46.9 | 85.5 | -8.4 | 23% | 46% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.0 | 40.9 | 83.9 | +2.1 | 70% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.2 | 40.4 | 86.6 | +5.8 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (24) | 39.6 | 46.8 | 86.4 | -7.2 | 21% | 58% |
| vs Similar (3) | 42.0 | 38.0 | 80.0 | +4.0 | 67% | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 47.0 | 37.7 | 84.7 | +9.3 | 100% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia +2.5 | 75.5% | 2.45 | 2.45 | - | - | - | - | +39.3pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia +4 | 80.0% | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | - | - | - | +38.9pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia +5 | 82.5% | 2.06 | 2.09 | 2.03 | - | - | - | +38.1pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia +4.5 | 80.5% | 2.11 | 2.17 | 2.05 | - | - | - | +37.8pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia +5.5 | 82.9% | 1.89 | 2.01 | 1.96 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.83 | +36.7pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia +6 | 84.8% | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.91 | - | - | +36.5pp | Push |
| CSKA Sofia +3 | 77.3% | 2.20 | 2.20 | - | - | - | - | +36.2pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia +3.5 | 77.9% | 2.19 | 2.24 | 2.13 | - | - | - | +35.1pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia +6.5 | 85.1% | 1.82 | 1.86 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.83 | +34.7pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +7 | 86.8% | 1.78 | 1.79 | 1.78 | 1.78 | - | - | +34.4pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 86.5 | 71.6% | 2.33 | 2.50 | 2.15 | - | - | - | +32.6pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +7.5 | 87.0% | 1.69 | 1.73 | 1.71 | 1.70 | 1.64 | - | +32.4pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +8 | 88.5% | 1.66 | 1.67 | 1.65 | - | - | - | +32.3pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 84 | 80.1% | 1.82 | 1.86 | 1.78 | - | - | - | +31.4pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +8.5 | 88.7% | 1.59 | 1.63 | 1.60 | 1.54 | - | - | +30.7pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 83 | 82.8% | 1.70 | 1.74 | 1.66 | - | - | - | +30.7pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +9 | 90.1% | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.56 | - | - | - | +30.6pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 83.5 | 80.6% | 1.81 | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.80 | +30.5pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 82.5 | 83.2% | 1.61 | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | +29.6pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 85 | 77.2% | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.86 | - | - | - | +29.5pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +9.5 | 90.3% | 1.50 | 1.54 | 1.45 | - | - | - | +29.3pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 84.5 | 77.8% | 1.85 | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.84 | +28.8pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 81.5 | 85.5% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +28.6pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 80.5 | 87.6% | 1.52 | 1.58 | 1.45 | - | - | - | +28.4pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +10.5 | 91.6% | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +26.9pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 79.5 | 89.5% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +26.1pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 78.5 | 91.2% | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +25.4pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 85.5 | 74.8% | 1.88 | 1.98 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.83 | - | +25.2pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +11.5 | 92.8% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +24.9pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 86 | 74.0% | 1.74 | 1.74 | - | - | - | - | +24.6pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 77.5 | 92.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +23.0pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 76.5 | 93.9% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +22.9pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia +15.5 | 96.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +20.0pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia over 74.5 | 95.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +19.7pp | Won |
| Shumen under 92 | 71.2% | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | - | - | +18.3pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia over 73.5 | 96.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +17.8pp | Won |
| Over 169.5 | 70.8% | 1.61 | 1.70 | 1.53 | - | - | - | +16.4pp | Won |
| Over 166.5 | 76.8% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +15.6pp | Won |
| Over 161.5 | 85.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +13.7pp | Won |
| Shumen under 92.5 | 72.1% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Lost |
| CSKA Sofia +20.5 | 98.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Won |
| Shumen under 94.5 | 78.0% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Lost |
| Over 156.5 | 91.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Shumen under 93.5 | 75.2% | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Lost |
| Shumen under 95.5 | 80.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Shumen under 97.5 | 85.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 95.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 97.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Shumen over 68.5 | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | - |
| Shumen over 69.5 | 95.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Shumen over 71.5 | 92.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Shumen over 73.5 | 89.6% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Shumen over 78.5 | 77.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Shumen over 75.5 | 85.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| Shumen over 77.5 | 80.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
| Under 196.5 | 85.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -3.8pp | Won |
| Shumen +19.5 | 88.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.9pp | Won |
| Shumen over 79.5 | 74.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia under 102.5 | 84.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -7.4pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 78.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -8.1pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia under 100.5 | 78.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -11.3pp | Won |
| Shumen +14.5 | 77.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -11.4pp | Won |
| CSKA Sofia under 98.5 | 72.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -15.9pp | Won |
| Over 170 | 70.2% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.3 | 18.7 | 55.5% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.1 | 6.4 | 29.8% | 19.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.0 | 14.9 | 71.2% | 14.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.5 | 21.4 | 55.5% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.8 | 6.6 | 29.8% | 19.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.7 | 17.0 | 71.2% | 17.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03/02/24 | Shumen v CSKA Sofia | 86-82 |
| 29/11/23 | CSKA Sofia v Shumen | 90-72 |
| 11/03/23 | Shumen v CSKA Sofia | 77-102 |
| 28/12/22 | CSKA Sofia v Shumen | 79-58 |
| 13/10/22 | Shumen v CSKA Sofia | 68-70 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Balkan | 65-94 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Cherno More | 62-95 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Rilski Sportist | 76-114 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Polytechnica | 100-95 |
| 03/05/24 | A | Balkan | 74-94 |
| 01/05/24 | H | Balkan | 82-77 |
| 29/04/24 | A | Balkan | 76-91 |
| 22/04/24 | H | Cherno More | 105-99 |
| 19/04/24 | A | Spartak Pleven | 70-102 |
| 13/04/24 | H | Chernomorets | 78-94 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Yambol | 97-70 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Levski | 90-85 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Botev 2012 | 87-84 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Minyor | 101-123 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Cherno More | 87-104 |
| 20/04/26 | A | Minyor | 96-113 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Balkan | 65-84 |
| 09/04/26 | A | Spartak Pleven | 55-102 |
| 04/04/26 | A | Levski | 74-81 |
| 30/03/26 | A | Academic Plovdiv | 100-105 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLL | 25% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 75.8 | 81.0 | 70.5 |
| Allowed / game | 99.5 | 95.0 | 104.0 |
| Point differential | -23.8 | -14.0 | -33.5 |
| Avg total | 175.2 | 176.0 | 174.5 |
| Over 173.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWW | 75% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 93.8 | 92.0 | 95.5 |
| Allowed / game | 90.5 | 77.0 | 104.0 |
| Point differential | +3.2 | +15.0 | -8.5 |
| Avg total | 184.2 | 169.0 | 199.5 |
| Over 173.75 | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 92.5 | 71.8 | +20.8 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 109.8 | 95.0 | +14.8 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 69.8 | +17.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 92.0 | 76.2 | +15.8 | |
| 5 | Botev Academic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.8 | 80.0 | +9.8 |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 80.2 | +8.8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.2 | 76.8 | +8.5 | |
| 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 93.8 | 90.5 | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 96.0 | 89.0 | +7.0 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 75.8 | 99.5 | -23.8 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 77.2 | 93.8 | -16.5 | |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 76.2 | 93.2 | -17.0 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 67.0 | 91.0 | -24.0 | |
| 14 | Polytechnica | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 72.2 | 97.0 | -24.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 25 | 20 | 23 | 89 | |
| 23 | 26 | 26 | 20 | 95 |
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