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CSM Targu Mures vs Valcea Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game83.7
CSM Targu Mures
Romania
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Valcea
Romania
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game78.2
RomaniaDivizia ARound 16· Sala Sporturilor Târgu Mure
Other2026-27
Meetings · CSM Targu Mures v Valcea
23 Jan 2027
CSM v VALC
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
CSM 102
VALC84
15 Mar 2025
CSM 77
VALC99
21 Oct 2023
CSM 72
VALC94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Mures win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 89
A16/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
118-78
118
78
+40
126avg 89
H21/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 89
A23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#12
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 89
A04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
81avg 89
H10/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
W
91-83
91
83
+8
90avg 89
A17/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 89
H22/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
110-81
110
81
+29
106avg 89
A31/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
W
105-80
105
80
+25
no box
H09/11
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
97-90
97
90
+7
no box
H14/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
24-36
20-25
26-16
34-20
27-5
30-24
27-29
26-22
28-21
22-18
20-20
17-21
11-20
31-14
19-17
24-23
19-26
22-18
20-24
14-22
23-15
20-17
34-29
21-29
25-23
30-19
16-18
27-18
21-18
35-18
27-27
31-16
22-26
20-22
32-16
16-21
32-16
24-31
25-22
181.0Avg total
97.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.083.7177.7+10.386%
Season at home (4)94.887.5182.2+7.275%
Season away (3)93.078.7171.7+14.3100%
Last 10 (10)97.084.0181.0+13.090%
Last 5 (5)99.084.6183.6+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)97.695.8193.4+1.854%
vs Weaker (16)94.187.1181.1+7.069%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
106avg 82
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 82
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 82
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 82
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
87avg 82
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
95avg 82
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 82
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
66avg 82
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
97-67
97
67
+30
101avg 82
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
H06/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
22-14
15-23
17-20
29-34
20-23
22-26
27-12
12-19
20-14
25-8
22-24
30-21
22-14
16-21
14-21
23-18
172.9Avg total
90.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.778.2165.8+9.583%
Season at home (4)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
Season away (2)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.082.9172.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)85.875.8161.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.989.7174.6-4.843%
vs Weaker (14)91.177.4168.4+13.7100%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
CSM Targu MuresValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A16/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
61-25
61
25
+36
H21/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#12
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H22/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A31/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H09/11
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H14/11
Divizia A
88.6Avg total
47.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.292.4+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.645.497.0+6.365%-
Last 30 away (13)41.345.086.3-3.715%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.688.6+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.887.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.044.082.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.245.291.4+0.938%-
vs Weaker (16)48.645.293.8+3.350%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/11
Divizia A
86.6Avg total
45.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.588.5+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.743.087.7+1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)45.544.089.5+1.543%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.986.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.146.490.6-2.321%-
vs Weaker (14)46.640.086.6+6.664%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.6
58.0%
56.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.4
39.9%
32.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.415.1
82.1%
75.1%15.1
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.7
59.6%
56.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
75.1%15.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Targu Mures
WWWWWLWWWW
Valcea
WWWLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+14.5
Net rating
+10.6
110.8
Offensive rating
106.4
96.3
Defensive rating
95.8
58.7%
Effective FG%
56.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
11.0%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.9%
3-point %
33.3%
57.4%
Assist %
52.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 106.4Defence96.3 · 95.8Shooting58.7% · 56.3%3-point %39.9% · 33.3%Ball care11.0% · 11.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ CSM Targu Mures   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CSM Targu Mures wins
3
Valcea wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Valcea v CSM Targu Mures83-91
02/04/26CSM Targu Mures v Valcea102-84
13/12/25Valcea v CSM Targu Mures105-110 OT
15/03/25CSM Targu Mures v Valcea77-99
11/11/24Valcea v CSM Targu Mures99-92
23/12/23Valcea v CSM Targu Mures73-85
21/10/23CSM Targu Mures v Valcea72-94
CSM Targu Mureslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCorona Brasov97-90
09/11/26HRapid Bucuresti105-80
31/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti110-81
22/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti92-89
17/10/26AValcea91-83
10/10/26HVoluntari85-91
04/10/26ASCM Timisoara78-72
23/05/26ACorona Brasov96-81
21/05/26HCorona Brasov118-78
16/05/26ACSM Targu Jiu98-95
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HArges Pitesti75-74
31/10/26HMunicipal Galati97-67
22/10/26ACorona Brasov81-80
17/10/26HCSM Targu Mures83-91
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game94.094.893.0
Allowed / game83.787.578.7
Point differential+10.3+7.2+14.3
Avg total177.7182.2171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game87.788.087.0
Allowed / game78.280.573.5
Point differential+9.5+7.5+13.5
Avg total165.8168.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Targu Mures76186%94.083.7+10.3
2 Voluntari76186%88.982.7+6.1
3 Valcea65183%87.778.2+9.5
4 Dinamo Bucharest54180%87.277.6+9.6
5 SCM Craiova43175%103.099.2+3.8
6 CSM Oradea64267%88.082.0+6.0
7 CSU Sibiu73443%94.693.6+1.0
8 Arges Pitesti62433%85.386.7-1.3
9 BC Steaua Bucuresti62433%88.791.0-2.3
10 Rapid Bucuresti62433%89.594.7-5.2
11 Corona Brasov72529%87.689.1-1.6
12 SCM Timisoara72529%80.087.1-7.1
13 Petrolul Ploiesti72529%78.091.4-13.4
14 Municipal Galati71614%88.798.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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