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CSM Targu Mures vs Valcea Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game82.0
RomaniaDivizia ARound 16· Sala Sporturilor Târgu Mure
Other2026-27
Meetings · CSM Targu Mures v Valcea
23 Jan 2027
CSM v VALC
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
CSM 102
VALC84
15 Mar 2025
CSM 77
VALC99
21 Oct 2023
CSM 72
VALC94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Mures win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A30/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H10/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
108-87
108
87
+21
H12/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
98-95
98
95
+3
A16/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
118-78
118
78
+40
H21/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H10/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A17/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H22/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
17-19
23-17
20-22
25-17
28-28
17-25
22-21
23-17
35-27
22-16
28-27
28-18
24-36
20-25
26-16
34-20
27-5
30-24
27-29
26-22
28-21
22-18
20-20
17-21
11-20
31-14
19-17
24-23
19-26
22-18
20-24
14-22
23-15
20-17
34-29
21-29
25-23
30-19
16-18
179.3Avg total
93.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.583.8170.2+2.875%
Season at home (2)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
Season away (2)84.577.5162.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.785.6179.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)88.483.2171.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.092.0177.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)97.895.6193.4+2.159%
vs Weaker (11)93.689.0182.6+4.664%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A30/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H10/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#10
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A22/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
21-19
14-21
17-15
29-20
27-10
20-24
21-21
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
22-14
15-23
17-20
29-34
20-23
22-26
27-12
12-19
172.8Avg total
89.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.582.0170.5+6.575%
Season at home (2)90.090.5180.5-0.550%
Season away (2)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.883.0172.8+6.880%
Last 5 (5)89.683.6173.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.688.9174.6-3.350%
vs Weaker (12)91.978.5170.4+13.4100%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
CSM Targu MuresValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A30/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H10/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H12/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A16/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
61-25
61
25
+36
H21/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#10
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H22/10
Divizia A
90.8Avg total
46.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.845.992.7+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.646.296.9+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)41.845.587.2-3.715%-
Last 10 (10)46.844.090.8+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.546.587.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)45.145.090.1+0.141%-
vs Weaker (11)50.647.297.8+3.545%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H10/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/10
Divizia A
88.5Avg total
47.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.489.3+0.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.444.789.1-0.327%-
Last 30 away (15)45.444.289.6+1.240%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.388.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.887.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.546.089.5-2.519%-
vs Weaker (12)47.441.989.3+5.558%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.6 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.2
56.9%
57.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.6
38.1%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.815.2
80.9%
73.3%15.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.6 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.3
58.7%
57.5%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.7
33.3%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
73.3%14.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Targu Mures
WWLWWWWWWL
Valcea
WLWWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#3
+10.1
Net rating
+8.0
108.2
Offensive rating
105.0
98.2
Defensive rating
97.1
57.0%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
10.9%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.1%
3-point %
33.3%
56.8%
Assist %
50.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 105.0Defence98.2 · 97.1Shooting57.0% · 55.7%3-point %38.1% · 33.3%Ball care10.9% · 10.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ CSM Targu Mures   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CSM Targu Mures wins
3
Valcea wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti92-89
17/10/26AValcea91-83
10/10/26HVoluntari85-91
04/10/26ASCM Timisoara78-72
23/05/26ACorona Brasov96-81
21/05/26HCorona Brasov118-78
16/05/26ACSM Targu Jiu98-95
12/05/26HCSM Targu Jiu108-87
10/05/26HCSM Targu Jiu92-91
30/04/26APetrolul Ploiesti79-89
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26ACorona Brasov81-80
17/10/26HCSM Targu Mures83-91
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95
10/05/26HPetrolul Ploiesti97-75
30/04/26ACSM Targu Jiu73-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game86.588.584.5
Allowed / game83.890.077.5
Point differential+2.8-1.5+7.0
Avg total170.2178.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game88.590.087.0
Allowed / game82.090.573.5
Point differential+6.5-0.5+13.5
Avg total170.5180.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Voluntari440100%94.585.2+9.2
2 CSM Oradea43175%91.081.5+9.5
3 Valcea43175%88.582.0+6.5
4 CSM Targu Mures43175%86.583.8+2.8
5 Dinamo Bucharest32167%88.778.3+10.3
6 SCM Craiova32167%101.797.3+4.3
7 Arges Pitesti42250%93.592.0+1.5
8 SCM Timisoara42250%88.289.5-1.2
9 CSU Sibiu42250%96.599.2-2.8
10 BC Steaua Bucuresti41325%86.288.2-2.0
11 Corona Brasov41325%84.288.2-4.0
12 Rapid Bucuresti41325%90.296.0-5.8
13 Petrolul Ploiesti41325%74.888.0-13.2
14 Municipal Galati4040%92.2103.8-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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