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Dakovo vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-76
20-19 22-23 15-18 22-16
Position#10
Record6-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game68.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dakovo v Kastela
17 Jan 2026
DAKO79
KAST76
23 Nov 2024
DAKO80
KAST99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dakovo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
W
103-87
103
87
+16
107avg 74
H25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 74
A31/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 74
H08/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 74
A16/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 74
H22/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 74
A29/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
85-66
85
66
+19
88avg 74
H06/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 74
A13/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
69avg 74
H20/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
93-99
93
99
-6
87avg 74
A10/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
21-24
25-21
25-14
11-26
18-24
17-25
35-14
12-20
30-15
26-24
24-23
17-23
25-14
19-19
19-16
18-24
14-21
20-15
22-28
19-12
18-26
13-22
16-9
29-20
21-18
25-11
10-17
20-26
36-17
12-16
26-19
22-12
20-24
18-24
11-13
20-25
18-34
28-17
27-23
164.2Avg total
83.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.279.5162.8+3.850%
Season at home (6)85.377.5162.8+7.867%
Season away (6)81.281.5162.7-0.333%
Last 10 (10)83.980.3164.2+3.650%
Last 5 (5)81.877.0158.8+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.784.7164.3-5.033%
vs Similar (9)74.377.8152.1-3.433%
vs Weaker (3)81.771.0152.7+10.767%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
75-45
75
45
+30
75avg 81
A26/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
96-65
96
65
+31
98avg 81
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 81
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
58avg 81
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
111-61
111
61
+50
116avg 81
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 81
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 81
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
55avg 81
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
65-70
65
70
-5
55avg 81
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
99-62
99
62
+37
102avg 81
H10/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
13-9
27-7
21-10
26-17
28-16
24-17
18-15
26-18
22-17
17-19
30-16
18-19
23-15
8-16
24-15
26-12
27-12
26-8
32-29
19-22
28-20
15-16
11-22
21-16
26-20
26-20
19-16
17-22
17-17
22-20
13-19
10-20
23-12
17-20
15-18
25-11
28-20
19-18
27-13
151.6Avg total
84.8Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.568.2152.8+16.275%
Season at home (6)81.270.3151.5+10.867%
Season away (6)87.866.2154.0+21.783%
Last 10 (10)84.866.8151.6+18.070%
Last 5 (5)79.672.4152.0+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (3)78.080.7158.7-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.672.9158.5+12.773%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +7.7+7.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +7.7+7.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
DakovoKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A31/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H22/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H06/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A13/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H20/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A10/01
Prva Liga
85.4Avg total
42.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.282.1-2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.282.6+2.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.844.081.8-6.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.385.4-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.887.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.144.483.6-5.344%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.777.6+0.267%-
vs Weaker (3)47.739.787.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A26/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H10/01
Prva Liga
77.1Avg total
43.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.880.0+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.937.882.6+7.171%-
Last 30 away (16)39.937.877.7+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.733.477.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.078.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.046.383.3-9.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.736.780.4+7.069%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.6
51.6%
53.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
32.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.5
74.9%
71.6%12.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.118.2
56.7%
53.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.1
36.6%
32.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws14.411.4
79.2%
71.6%11.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dakovo
LLWWLLWWLW
Kastela
WLLWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#2
+4.6
Net rating
+23.9
106.3
Offensive rating
113.7
101.8
Defensive rating
89.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.1%
3-point %
36.6%
68.5%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 113.7Defence101.8 · 89.8Shooting51.4% · 55.8%3-point %34.1% · 36.6%Ball care17.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 31.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Dakovo   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dakovo wins
2
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Kastela v Dakovo108-74
23/11/24Dakovo v Kastela80-99
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AKK Zagreb93-99
20/12/25HCrikvenica71-73
13/12/25AOsijek94-78
06/12/25HAmfora85-66
29/11/25ASonik Puntamika66-69
22/11/25HGorica74-88
16/11/25ANovi Zagreb80-72
08/11/25HSkrljevo92-82
31/10/25AMladost81-89
25/10/25HOmis103-87
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HNovi Zagreb99-62
20/12/25AKK Zagreb65-70
13/12/25HSkrljevo69-78
06/12/25ACrikvenica92-72
29/11/25HMladost73-80
22/11/25AOsijek111-61
15/11/25HOmis73-65
09/11/25AAmfora95-70
02/11/25HJazine96-65
26/10/25ASonik Puntamika75-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dakovo
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game83.285.381.2
Allowed / game79.577.581.5
Point differential+3.8+7.8-0.3
Avg total162.8162.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW75%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%67%83%
Points / game84.581.287.8
Allowed / game68.270.366.2
Point differential+16.2+10.8+21.7
Avg total152.8151.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%33%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mladost1210283%78.869.2+9.7
2 Skrljevo1310377%93.475.3+18.1
3 Kastela129375%84.568.2+16.2
4 KK Zagreb129375%78.176.7+1.4
5 Omis138562%83.375.6+7.7
6 Gorica127558%81.976.8+5.1
7 Jazine127558%79.477.0+2.4
8 Dakovo126650%83.279.5+3.8
9 Crikvenica126650%76.677.0-0.4
10 Marsonia124833%76.376.5-0.2
11 Novi Zagreb124833%71.075.8-4.8
12 Amfora123925%78.288.7-10.4
13 Sonik Puntamika1331023%68.576.4-7.9
14 Osijek130130%64.8103.7-38.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dakovo2022152279
Kastela1923181676
← all games of the day
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