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Dakovo vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-99
30-28 9-20 21-31 20-20
Position#12
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game68.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 7· Sportska Dvorana
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dakovo v Kastela
17 Jan 2026
DAKO79
KAST76
23 Nov 2024
DAKO80
KAST99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dakovo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Graficar
#2
L
83-108
83
108
-25
no box
H19/11
Croatian Cup
Rudes
#21
W
81-69
81
69
+12
no box
A28/11
Croatian Cup
Dubrovnik
#4
L
56-82
56
82
-26
no box
A02/12
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
54avg 69
H12/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 69
A19/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 69
H26/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
71-112
71
112
-41
55avg 69
A02/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
91avg 69
H10/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
64-80
64
80
-16
56avg 69
A17/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
22-23
21-35
18-22
–
–
–
–
11-15
14-18
10-32
21-17
17-28
13-25
15-29
25-15
22-15
18-20
22-16
18-16
27-17
12-18
22-22
22-28
20-27
16-36
17-29
18-20
33-27
24-32
18-11
15-30
18-19
19-22
15-19
12-20
164.2Avg total
75.3Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.390.2166.5-13.817%
Season at home (3)81.094.0175.0-13.00%
Season away (3)71.786.3158.0-14.733%
Last 10 (9)75.388.9164.2-13.622%
Last 5 (5)77.688.8166.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.392.7165.0-20.30%
vs Similar (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
61avg 72
H16/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 72
A23/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 72
H27/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
65-81
65
81
-16
56avg 72
A06/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
62avg 72
A12/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 72
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 72
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 72
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
88-64
88
64
+24
88avg 72
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
91avg 72
H16/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
17-15
20-21
18-18
29-17
18-16
19-17
18-22
28-19
16-19
17-24
24-17
24-17
17-22
9-29
15-13
9-16
13-17
21-20
22-19
13-11
12-14
24-14
19-25
5-17
26-23
26-18
19-24
18-17
18-20
20-15
19-13
18-11
21-9
24-23
25-21
18-8
17-18
20-17
28-20
148.5Avg total
75.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.868.3144.2+7.567%
Season at home (3)75.364.0139.3+11.3100%
Season away (3)76.372.7149.0+3.733%
Last 10 (10)75.972.6148.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)78.067.6145.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.875.2141.0-9.50%
vs Similar (8)70.672.4143.0-1.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.173.0157.1+11.189%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
DakovoKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Graficar
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H19/11
Croatian Cup
Dubrovnik
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A02/12
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H12/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A19/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
36-63
36
63
-27
A02/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H10/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/11
Prva Liga
84.8Avg total
38.5Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)38.546.284.8-7.825%-
Last 30 at home (4)42.549.592.0-7.025%-
Last 30 away (4)34.543.077.5-8.525%-
Last 10 (8)38.546.284.8-7.825%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.688.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.347.384.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (1)40.035.075.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H16/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A23/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
68.8Avg total
35.2Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.675.3+4.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.636.174.7+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.735.175.9+5.653%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.668.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.229.662.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.540.875.2-6.20%-
vs Similar (8)35.934.069.9+1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.535.277.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.3 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.2
52.5%
52.0%46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.2
27.8%
33.7%18.5
🏀 Free throws14.010.8
77.4%
70.4%10.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.9
51.8%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.5
32.8%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
70.4%12.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dakovo
LLLLWLLWL
Kastela
WWWLWLLWWL
#12
League position
#3
-17.6
Net rating
+4.4
97.5
Offensive rating
100.2
115.1
Defensive rating
95.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.8%
3-point %
32.8%
67.0%
Assist %
79.2%
22%
Form (last 9/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 100.2Defence115.1 · 95.8Shooting48.9% · 50.7%3-point %27.8% · 32.8%Ball care18.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds25.6% · 24.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 9/10)22% · 60%
■ Dakovo   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dakovo wins
0
Kastela wins
No previous meetings.
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AMarsonia64-80
10/11/24HJazine90-100
02/11/24ASkrljevo71-112
26/10/24HGorica83-85
19/10/24ABosco80-67
12/10/24HSamobor70-97
02/12/18ADubrovnik56-82
28/11/18ARudes81-69
19/11/17HGraficar83-108
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HOmis83-63
10/11/24AMarsonia88-64
02/11/24HSonik Puntamika75-65
27/10/24AJazine76-82
20/10/24HCrikvenica68-64
12/10/24ASkrljevo65-72
06/04/24AKK Zagreb65-81
27/03/24HMarsonia85-79
23/03/24APodstrana84-72
16/03/24HKvarner70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dakovo
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 7 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game76.381.071.7
Allowed / game90.294.086.3
Point differential-13.8-13.0-14.7
Avg total166.5175.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game75.875.376.3
Allowed / game68.364.072.7
Point differential+7.5+11.3+3.7
Avg total144.2139.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor770100%90.379.4+10.9
2 Mladost76186%83.176.6+6.6
3 Jazine65183%104.287.2+17.0
4 Skrljevo75271%86.676.1+10.4
5 Kastela64267%75.868.3+7.5
6 Marsonia74357%84.679.7+4.9
7 Gorica74357%82.487.9-5.4
8 Sonik Puntamika62433%66.765.5+1.2
9 KK Zagreb62433%72.778.0-5.3
10 Omis72529%69.774.1-4.4
11 Hermes72529%79.993.3-13.4
12 Bosco61517%80.085.8-5.8
13 Dakovo61517%76.390.2-13.8
14 Crikvenica71614%68.378.3-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dakovo309212080
Kastela2820312099
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