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Dakovo vs Marsonia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 12· Sportska Dvorana
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dakovo v Marsonia
09 Jan 2027
DAKO v MARS
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
DAKO87
MARS69
02 Mar 2025
DAKO93
MARS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dakovo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
102-84
102
84
+18
108avg 84
H28/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
51avg 84
A01/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 84
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
82-119
82
119
-37
68avg 84
A18/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
H10/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
118-93
118
93
+25
no box
H24/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
no box
A31/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H07/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
17-25
29-19
25-17
14-16
19-12
11-17
17-20
18-26
22-9
19-20
25-24
21-37
14-26
21-39
26-17
20-21
22-24
26-22
9-16
18-23
19-21
27-17
24-20
36-25
25-25
36-17
21-26
17-17
24-13
18-24
16-21
21-17
23-17
19-23
23-20
20-20
22-23
19-21
18-24
171.6Avg total
85.8Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.285.2173.3+3.050%
Season at home (4)90.085.2175.2+4.850%
Season away (2)84.585.0169.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)85.885.8171.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)90.485.6176.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)89.191.6180.7-2.444%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.086.2166.2-6.217%
vs Weaker (9)93.180.4173.6+12.789%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H29/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 71
A01/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
85avg 71
H12/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
97avg 71
A19/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
A11/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H17/10
Prva Liga
Radnik Krizevci
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
A24/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#2
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
A08/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
18-16
24-13
16-21
20-19
17-18
19-17
14-15
23-23
26-27
12-14
27-15
33-12
19-16
18-18
12-21
16-15
23-15
11-9
15-20
19-28
23-31
14-23
18-15
18-18
17-22
30-20
24-18
16-24
16-18
15-15
16-17
28-20
19-19
22-17
19-14
25-22
142.2Avg total
74.3Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.575.8151.3-0.350%
Season at home (2)77.578.0155.5-0.550%
Season away (4)74.574.8149.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)74.367.9142.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)77.677.0154.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.082.0151.0-13.09%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.976.9158.8+5.055%
vs Weaker (8)78.962.2141.1+16.6100%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
DakovoMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H28/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A01/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
35-63
35
63
-28
A18/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H10/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H24/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A31/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H14/11
Prva Liga
84.3Avg total
42.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.187.4-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.843.188.8+2.750%-
Last 30 away (14)40.645.285.9-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.084.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.285.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.647.388.9-5.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.341.482.8-0.150%-
vs Weaker (9)47.944.392.2+3.644%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A01/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H12/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#9
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H17/10
Prva Liga
Radnik Krizevci
#11
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A24/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A08/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A14/11
Prva Liga
74.6Avg total
38.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.737.674.3-0.948%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.136.674.8+1.557%-
Last 30 away (15)35.438.573.9-3.140%-
Last 10 (9)38.136.474.6+1.767%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.939.571.4-7.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.538.475.8-0.955%-
vs Weaker (7)43.133.676.7+9.671%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.426.1
57.5%
53.1%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
71.7%14.7
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.2
52.2%
53.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.5
29.0%
32.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
71.7%14.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dakovo
LWLWWLLWLW
Marsonia
WWWLLLWWWW
#6
League position
#8
-2.3
Net rating
+0.9
98.7
Offensive rating
87.9
101.0
Defensive rating
87.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.8%
3-point %
29.0%
60.9%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 87.9Defence101.0 · 87.0Shooting54.1% · 48.9%3-point %31.8% · 29.0%Ball care15.8% · 17.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Dakovo   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dakovo wins
2
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Marsonia v Dakovo82-65
11/10/25Dakovo v Marsonia87-69
02/03/25Dakovo v Marsonia93-75
17/11/24Marsonia v Dakovo80-64
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKastela79-88
07/11/26HGorica86-77
31/10/26AHermes81-89 OT
24/10/26HSonik Puntamika118-93
17/10/26AOmis88-81
10/10/26HNovi Zagreb77-83
18/04/26AKastela82-119
12/04/26HKK Zagreb84-79
01/04/26ACrikvenica61-65
28/03/26HOsijek102-84
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGorica85-72
08/11/26AMladost75-70
31/10/26HJazine87-84
24/10/26ARadnik Krizevci73-87
17/10/26HCrikvenica68-72
11/10/26AKK Zagreb65-70
19/04/26AKK Zagreb98-68
12/04/26HCrikvenica94-87 OT
01/04/26AOsijek78-69
29/03/26HAmfora20-0

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dakovo
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.290.084.5
Allowed / game85.285.285.0
Point differential+3.0+4.8-0.5
Avg total173.3175.2169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%50%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.577.574.5
Allowed / game75.878.074.8
Point differential-0.3-0.5-0.2
Avg total151.3155.5149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 GKK Sibenka660100%85.271.3+13.8
2 Jazine64267%84.078.0+6.0
3 KK Zagreb64267%77.271.2+6.0
4 Hermes64267%73.571.3+2.2
5 Novi Zagreb64267%76.774.8+1.8
6 Dakovo63350%88.285.2+3.0
7 Kastela63350%74.071.8+2.2
8 Marsonia63350%75.575.8-0.3
9 Crikvenica63350%73.073.8-0.8
10 Sonik Puntamika63350%81.284.3-3.2
11 Radnik Krizevci62433%77.275.5+1.7
12 Omis62433%71.575.8-4.3
13 Gorica61517%78.783.2-4.5
14 Mladost6060%66.790.2-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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