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Kastela vs Dakovo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 119-82
37-21 26-14 39-21 17-26
Position#2
Record20-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game66.4
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Dakovo
Croatia
Position#10
Record12-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.1
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 26· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kastela v Dakovo
18 Apr 2026
KAST119
DAKO82
08 Mar 2025
KAST108
DAKO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dakovo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-64
94
64
+30
98avg 84
H04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
94avg 84
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-38
95
38
+57
91avg 84
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
87-60
87
60
+27
84avg 84
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
135-62
135
62
+73
147avg 84
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
74-52
74
52
+22
73avg 84
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 84
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
59avg 84
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
90avg 84
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
100avg 84
A12/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
19-17
29-11
17-22
26-29
18-14
21-21
26-25
27-14
15-5
24-13
29-6
27-14
16-21
25-14
19-11
33-4
28-29
37-12
37-17
19-20
13-8
26-13
16-11
27-12
22-20
20-13
24-12
7-21
16-19
24-19
23-26
20-15
23-15
19-8
23-23
33-14
15-18
19-18
24-16
154.9Avg total
91.5Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.866.4153.1+20.480%
Season at home (12)89.164.3153.4+24.883%
Season away (13)84.668.2152.8+16.477%
Last 10 (10)91.563.4154.9+28.190%
Last 5 (5)82.664.2146.8+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)69.581.5151.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)87.467.2154.6+20.179%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
87avg 82
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
76avg 82
H08/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
93-111
93
111
-18
86avg 82
A14/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 82
H21/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
106-113
106
113
-7
104avg 82
A07/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
101avg 82
H14/03
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
96-78
96
78
+18
87avg 82
A21/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
102-84
102
84
+18
108avg 82
H28/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
51avg 82
A01/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 82
H12/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
15-22
21-24
25-28
21-25
16-12
25-22
21-27
23-28
19-32
24-19
27-32
28-26
21-25
24-24
16-28
30-18
29-29
23-31
24-35
31-23
23-31
20-16
17-21
17-26
27-24
25-12
27-16
31-23
17-25
29-19
25-17
14-16
19-12
11-17
17-20
18-26
22-9
19-20
25-24
181.5Avg total
90.3Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.084.1170.1+1.848%
Season at home (13)88.882.3171.2+6.569%
Season away (12)82.886.1168.9-3.225%
Last 10 (10)90.391.2181.5-0.940%
Last 5 (5)89.280.8170.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)85.584.5170.0+0.946%
vs Similar (11)79.382.5161.7-3.227%
vs Weaker (6)91.078.8169.8+12.283%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +9.1+9.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +10.2+10.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +9.1+9.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +10.2+10.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
KastelaDakovo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/04
Prva Liga
75.6Avg total
43.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.734.777.5+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.934.181.1+12.886%-
Last 30 away (16)39.135.274.3+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.332.375.6+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.471.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)28.539.568.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.834.478.1+9.479%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A14/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A07/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H14/03
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A21/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H28/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A01/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/04
Prva Liga
89.9Avg total
44.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.985.5-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.841.685.4+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)40.944.685.5-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.645.389.9-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.086.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.844.585.3-3.638%-
vs Similar (11)41.539.881.4+1.764%-
vs Weaker (6)48.245.293.3+3.033%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.121.6
63.3%
53.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.7
38.0%
32.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws13.110.2
77.9%
71.6%10.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.325.5
57.6%
53.0%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.3
34.0%
32.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.5
75.9%
71.6%14.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWLWWWWWWW
Dakovo
WLWWWLLLLL
#2
League position
#10
+33.4
Net rating
+0.8
107.9
Offensive rating
100.0
74.5
Defensive rating
99.3
60.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.0%
3-point %
34.0%
72.6%
Assist %
62.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 100.0Defence74.5 · 99.3Shooting60.2% · 55.2%3-point %38.0% · 34.0%Ball care14.5% · 16.2%Free throws0.19 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Kastela   ■ Dakovo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kastela wins
1
Dakovo wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Dakovo v Kastela79-76
08/03/25Kastela v Dakovo108-74
23/11/24Dakovo v Kastela80-99
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26ANovi Zagreb91-66
01/04/26HKK Zagreb85-61
28/03/26ASkrljevo70-85
21/03/26HCrikvenica93-57
15/03/26AMladost74-52
07/03/26HOsijek135-62
22/02/26AOmis87-60
14/02/26HAmfora95-38
07/02/26AJazine91-89
04/02/26HSonik Puntamika94-64
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HKK Zagreb84-79
01/04/26ACrikvenica61-65
28/03/26HOsijek102-84
21/03/26AAmfora96-78
14/03/26HSonik Puntamika103-98 OT
07/03/26AGorica106-113
21/02/26HNovi Zagreb89-103
14/02/26ASkrljevo93-111
08/02/26HMladost83-86
04/02/26AOmis86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %80%83%77%
Points / game86.889.184.6
Allowed / game66.464.368.2
Point differential+20.4+24.8+16.4
Avg total153.1153.4152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%67%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dakovo
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW48%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%69%25%
Points / game86.088.882.8
Allowed / game84.182.386.1
Point differential+1.8+6.5-3.2
Avg total170.1171.2168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2623388%96.076.0+20.0
2 Kastela2520580%86.866.4+20.4
3 Mladost2518772%81.273.9+7.3
4 Omis2517868%84.176.3+7.8
5 Gorica26151158%83.381.3+2.1
6 Jazine26141254%85.880.8+5.0
7 KK Zagreb25131252%79.678.4+1.2
8 Crikvenica26131350%75.877.7-1.9
9 Dakovo25121348%86.084.1+1.8
10 Marsonia25111444%75.275.5-0.2
11 Novi Zagreb26111542%76.277.3-1.2
12 Sonik Puntamika2671927%75.381.3-6.0
13 Amfora2542116%71.588.3-16.8
14 Osijek250250%63.5103.7-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela37263917119
Dakovo2114212682
← all games of the day
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