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Dakovo vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-88
20-20 22-23 19-21 18-24
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game70.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 6· Sportska Dvorana
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dakovo v Kastela
14 Nov 2026
DAKO79
KAST88
17 Jan 2026
DAKO79
KAST76
23 Nov 2024
DAKO80
KAST99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dakovo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
96-78
96
78
+18
87avg 81
A21/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
102-84
102
84
+18
108avg 81
H28/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
51avg 81
A01/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 81
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
82-119
82
119
-37
68avg 81
A18/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
H10/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
118-93
118
93
+25
no box
H24/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
no box
A31/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H07/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
27-24
25-12
27-16
31-23
17-25
29-19
25-17
14-16
19-12
11-17
17-20
18-26
22-9
19-20
25-24
21-37
14-26
21-39
26-17
20-21
22-24
26-22
9-16
18-23
19-21
27-17
24-20
36-25
25-25
36-17
21-26
17-17
24-13
18-24
16-21
21-17
23-17
19-23
23-20
172.3Avg total
87.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.084.6174.6+5.460%
Season at home (3)93.784.3178.0+9.367%
Season away (2)84.585.0169.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)87.584.8172.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)90.084.6174.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.590.6178.1-3.140%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.186.0166.1-5.918%
vs Weaker (9)93.180.4173.6+12.789%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
60avg 82
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
87-81
87
81
+6
86avg 82
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
58avg 82
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 82
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 82
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
no box
H25/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
A31/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
H08/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
16-25
13-18
16-15
31-21
19-20
22-18
15-22
19-17
22-24
8-26
19-24
15-29
18-16
7-21
21-31
23-39
29-18
13-31
17-13
12-23
16-16
18-19
21-14
17-22
18-12
19-16
14-21
17-14
21-16
11-19
16-17
19-18
25-18
19-23
19-11
16-24
19-15
23-22
16-12
151.6Avg total
71.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.270.4141.6+0.840%
Season at home (3)68.770.3139.0-1.733%
Season away (2)75.070.5145.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)71.979.7151.6-7.830%
Last 5 (5)71.270.4141.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.679.1150.7-7.629%
vs Weaker (20)86.764.7151.4+22.085%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
DakovoKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A21/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H28/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A01/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
35-63
35
63
-28
A18/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H10/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H24/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A31/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/11
Prva Liga
85.2Avg total
42.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.344.387.6-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.043.189.1+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.586.2-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.785.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.685.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.547.689.1-6.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.341.382.5+0.055%-
vs Weaker (9)47.944.392.2+3.644%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A31/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H08/11
Prva Liga
79.6Avg total
39.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.677.1+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.735.380.0+9.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.335.974.3+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.479.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.671.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.084.7-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.339.475.7-3.129%-
vs Weaker (20)44.032.576.5+11.490%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.426.1
57.5%
53.1%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
71.7%14.7
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.9 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.8
56.5%
53.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.0
36.0%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws10.46.9
66.3%
71.7%6.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dakovo
WLWWLLWLWW
Kastela
WWLLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#7
-2.3
Net rating
+1.7
98.7
Offensive rating
93.6
101.0
Defensive rating
91.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.16
31.8%
3-point %
36.0%
60.9%
Assist %
74.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 93.6Defence101.0 · 91.9Shooting54.1% · 55.2%3-point %31.8% · 36.0%Ball care15.8% · 18.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Dakovo   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dakovo wins
3
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Kastela v Dakovo119-82
17/01/26Dakovo v Kastela79-76
08/03/25Kastela v Dakovo108-74
23/11/24Dakovo v Kastela80-99
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HGorica86-77
31/10/26AHermes81-89 OT
24/10/26HSonik Puntamika118-93
17/10/26AOmis88-81
10/10/26HNovi Zagreb77-83
18/04/26AKastela82-119
12/04/26HKK Zagreb84-79
01/04/26ACrikvenica61-65
28/03/26HOsijek102-84
21/03/26AAmfora96-78
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HHermes74-73
31/10/26ASonik Puntamika82-70
25/10/26HOmis65-66
17/10/26ANovi Zagreb68-71
11/10/26HGKK Sibenka67-72
20/05/26HDinamo Zagreb82-101
16/05/26ADinamo Zagreb61-97
09/05/26ASkrljevo68-91
06/05/26HSkrljevo87-81
02/05/26ASkrljevo65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dakovo
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game90.093.784.5
Allowed / game84.684.385.0
Point differential+5.4+9.3-0.5
Avg total174.6178.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%50%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game71.268.775.0
Allowed / game70.470.370.5
Point differential+0.8-1.7+4.5
Avg total141.6139.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 GKK Sibenka660100%85.271.3+13.8
2 KK Zagreb54180%79.671.4+8.2
3 Jazine64267%84.078.0+6.0
4 Novi Zagreb64267%76.774.8+1.8
5 Dakovo53260%90.084.6+5.4
6 Hermes53260%74.272.6+1.6
7 Marsonia63350%75.575.8-0.3
8 Crikvenica63350%73.073.8-0.8
9 Sonik Puntamika63350%81.284.3-3.2
10 Kastela52340%71.270.4+0.8
11 Radnik Krizevci62433%77.275.5+1.7
12 Omis62433%71.575.8-4.3
13 Gorica61517%78.783.2-4.5
14 Mladost6060%66.790.2-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dakovo2022191879
Kastela2023212488
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