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Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record5-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game117.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Cleveland Cavaliers
23 Jan 2027
DAL v CLE
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
DAL105
CLE138
03 Jan 2025
DAL122
CLE134
27 Dec 2023
DAL110
CLE113
14 Dec 2022
DAL90
CLE105
29 Nov 2021
DAL96
CLE114
07 May 2021
DAL110
CLE90
22 Nov 2019
DAL143
CLE101
16 Mar 2019
DAL121
CLE116
11 Nov 2017
DAL104
CLE111
30 Jan 2017
DAL104
CLE97
12 Jan 2016
DAL107
CLE110
10 Mar 2015
DAL94
CLE127
03 Feb 2014
DAL124
CLE107
15 Mar 2013
DAL96
CLE86
07 Feb 2011
DAL99
CLE96
11 Oct 2010
DAL79
CLE85
20 Dec 2009
DAL102
CLE95
17 Oct 2009
DAL93
CLE82
03 Nov 2008
DAL81
CLE100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
117-135
117
135
-18
74avg 100
H09/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
132-115
132
115
+17
105avg 100
A11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
L
97-101
97
101
-4
50avg 100
H15/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
111-135
111
135
-24
88avg 100
H17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-128
110
128
-18
97avg 100
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
121-105
121
105
+16
119avg 100
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
106-122
106
122
-16
79avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 100
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
120-96
120
96
+24
114avg 100
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 100
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
26-38
35-34
37-36
28-27
30-24
37-34
37-30
18-24
27-32
18-19
34-26
34-39
20-34
24-29
33-33
26-32
12-38
38-30
34-28
44-27
33-16
21-33
23-29
31-32
29-36
29-24
17-30
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
230.0Avg total
114.3Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.3115.7230.0-1.450%
Season at home (6)111.2116.7227.8-5.533%
Season away (4)119.0114.2233.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)114.3115.7230.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)115.2108.6223.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)115.9127.6243.4-11.719%
vs Similar ◀ (9)114.4110.7225.1+3.867%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
93-130
93
130
-37
82avg 108
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
113-124
113
124
-11
87avg 108
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
119-105
119
105
+14
98avg 108
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
116-132
116
132
-16
74avg 108
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
106-114
106
114
-8
88avg 108
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-121
125
121
+4
117avg 108
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
103avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#17
W
121-111
121
111
+10
101avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
111-114
111
114
-3
91avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
136-111
136
111
+25
120avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-38
23-30
22-30
22-32
29-32
33-39
34-28
17-25
32-28
29-22
29-25
29-30
28-35
24-37
31-36
33-24
35-18
34-27
21-37
16-32
35-30
33-24
28-26
29-41
24-31
26-29
36-26
27-27
34-42
25-27
33-23
29-19
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
24-25
48-21
37-30
27-35
235.4Avg total
116.7Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)119.3117.4236.8+1.956%
Season at home (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Season away (4)117.2117.8235.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)116.7118.7235.4-2.050%
Last 5 (5)124.0116.4240.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)106.1112.6218.7-6.533%
vs Similar ◀ (15)113.8114.1227.9-0.353%
vs Weaker (3)130.3116.3246.7+14.0100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
Dallas MavericksCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H09/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H15/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
38-70
38
70
-32
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
77-43
77
43
+34
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
112.7Avg total
53.9Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.061.0117.9-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.262.6120.8-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)55.959.6115.4-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)53.958.8112.7-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.6114.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)55.463.1118.5-7.824%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)60.755.9116.6+4.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#17
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A01/11
NBA
116.7Avg total
58.6Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.156.0111.1-0.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.958.6116.4-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)52.053.0105.0-1.029%-
Last 10 (10)58.658.1116.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.0113.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)52.856.3109.2-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.356.5110.9-2.227%-
vs Weaker (3)68.351.7120.0+16.7100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.6
57.3%
54.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.813.7
35.3%
34.8%41.1
🏀 Free throws24.119.2
79.7%
76.3%19.2
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.3
54.6%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.412.7
33.1%
34.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.5
75.3%
76.3%19.5
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLWLLLWL
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWWWLLWLL
#18
League position
#10
-1.6
Net rating
-8.6
104.8
Offensive rating
101.0
106.4
Defensive rating
109.6
55.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
11.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.3%
3-point %
33.1%
64.1%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 101.0Defence106.4 · 109.6Shooting55.4% · 52.4%3-point %35.3% · 33.1%Ball care15.1% · 15.0%Off. rebounds22.4% · 11.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109
25/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs106-122
23/10/26AIndiana Pacers121-105
22/10/26AHouston Rockets110-128
17/10/26HAtlanta Hawks111-135
15/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans97-101
11/10/26AHouston Rockets132-115
09/10/26HHouston Rockets117-135
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks136-111
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
28/10/26HWashington Wizards121-111
26/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-125 OT
24/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-121
22/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-114
13/10/26AOrlando Magic116-132
11/10/26HOrlando Magic119-105
08/10/26HBoston Celtics113-124
26/05/26HNew York Knicks93-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%33%75%
Points / game114.3111.2119.0
Allowed / game115.7116.7114.2
Point differential-1.4-5.5+4.8
Avg total230.0227.8233.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game119.3121.0117.2
Allowed / game117.4117.2117.8
Point differential+1.9+3.8-0.5
Avg total236.8238.2235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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