Dandenong vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jun 2016

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 104-93 (OT)

25-20 17-22 25-18 16-23 21-10

Position#7

Record6-7

FormLWWLW

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game85.2

Dandenong 🏆

Ballarat

Position#10

Record7-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game92.2

Allowed / game88.5

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Dandenong v Ballarat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ballarat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

80-93

-13

H23/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

92-78

+14

A24/04

SEABL

Geelong

87-85

H30/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

72-90

-18

A06/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

77-85

-8

A07/05

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

92-94

-2

A14/05

SEABL

Canberra

96-84

+12

H15/05

SEABL

Bendigo

91-87

A22/05

SEABL

Canberra

93-97

-4

A28/05

SEABL

Nunawading

85-73

+12

A04/06

SEABL

16-19

15-25

19-29

30-20

23-30

20-23

26-13

23-12

14-19

33-31

23-19

17-16

15-31

19-24

15-17

23-18

15-31

14-22

22-11

26-21

19-27

15-18

32-30

26-19

18-26

23-18

29-19

26-21

26-28

19-18

27-27

19-14

17-23

21-27

26-24

29-23

16-17

28-25

16-12

25-19

173.1Avg total

86.5Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	85.3	85.2	170.5	+0.1	46%
Season at home (6)	84.5	84.0	168.5	+0.5	50%
Season away (7)	86.0	86.3	172.3	-0.3	43%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	86.6	173.1	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	87.0	178.4	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	83.3	88.2	171.5	-4.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	84.9	83.4	168.4	+1.5	62%
vs Weaker (8)	86.6	81.2	167.9	+5.4	62%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

97-79

+18

A08/04

SEABL

Canberra

105-100

105

100

A09/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

87-90

-3

H16/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

92-95

-3

A23/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

80-94

-14

H01/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

103-82

103

+21

A08/05

SEABL

Dandenong

94-92

H14/05

SEABL

Nunawading

96-88

H21/05

SEABL

Frankston

#14

99-76

+23

H29/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

93-85

H04/06

SEABL

18-12

26-25

28-19

25-23

27-18

29-27

28-29

21-26

27-24

18-30

25-16

17-20

21-17

25-27

17-25

29-26

23-32

20-18

18-22

19-22

23-19

30-27

23-21

27-15

27-19

18-15

30-32

19-26

34-26

22-8

14-31

26-23

27-18

32-12

17-24

23-22

32-17

22-23

18-25

21-20

182.7Avg total

94.6Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	92.2	88.5	180.7	+3.6	64%
Season at home (7)	88.1	88.3	176.4	-0.1	57%
Season away (4)	99.2	89.0	188.2	+10.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	94.6	88.1	182.7	+6.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	97.0	84.6	181.6	+12.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.0	89.7	167.7	-11.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	87.8	88.4	176.2	-0.6	46%
vs Weaker (14)	90.7	83.0	173.7	+7.7	71%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DandenongBallarat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	23.5	44.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	24.3	45.5	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	25.1	43.0	-7.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.2	43.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	24.2	44.8	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	20.2	46.1	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	19.8	48.4	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	23.8	24.4	48.2	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.9	19.4	42.4	+3.5	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.1	41.4	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	24.2	44.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	22.2	41.5	-3.0	12%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	21.1	44.1	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	22.2	44.4	-0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.0	41.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	24.0	43.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.4	69%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.9	22.2	47.1	+2.6	71%	-

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

31-44

-13

H23/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

43-53

-10

A24/04

SEABL

Geelong

47-50

-3

H30/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

34-55

-21

A06/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

29-53

-24

A07/05

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

34-45

-11

A14/05

SEABL

Canberra

41-44

-3

H15/05

SEABL

Bendigo

45-46

-1

A22/05

SEABL

Canberra

38-50

-12

A28/05

SEABL

Nunawading

44-42

A04/06

SEABL

86.8Avg total

38.6Scored

48.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	44.6	85.8	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	43.6	84.6	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	45.4	86.9	-4.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	48.2	86.8	-9.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	45.4	85.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.0	48.3	89.3	-7.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.0	43.1	85.1	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.9	44.9	84.8	-5.0	38%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

44-37

A08/04

SEABL

Canberra

56-45

+11

A09/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

45-54

-9

H16/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

46-44

A23/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

43-50

-7

H01/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

53-46

A08/05

SEABL

Dandenong

45-34

+11

H14/05

SEABL

Nunawading

56-34

+22

H21/05

SEABL

Frankston

#14

59-30

+29

H29/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

54-40

+14

H04/06

SEABL

91.5Avg total

50.1Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	43.2	89.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.4	43.7	91.1	+3.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	42.7	86.6	+1.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.1	41.4	91.5	+8.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	36.8	90.2	+16.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.0	43.7	84.7	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	44.7	44.8	89.5	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	47.8	41.6	89.4	+6.1	71%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.1	43.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	22.4	48.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	16.6	38.1	+4.9	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	23.9	43.8	-3.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	19.3	41.6	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	24.4	46.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	26.6	47.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.1	23.7	44.8	-2.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.8	40.3	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	18.3	42.7	+6.1	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.2	44.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.9	18.2	42.1	+5.6	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.4	22.1	43.6	-0.7	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	38.3	81.6	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.2	39.2	82.4	+4.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.3	37.6	80.9	+5.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	38.4	86.3	+9.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	41.6	92.6	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.3	37.5	78.8	+3.8	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.9	40.4	83.3	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	45.4	34.9	80.2	+10.5	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	42.6	84.5	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	44.4	85.1	-3.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	40.5	83.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	46.7	91.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	47.8	91.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	46.0	83.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.1	43.1	85.2	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.9	41.4	84.3	+1.6	36%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dandenong wins

Ballarat wins

Date	Game	Score
14/05/16	Ballarat v Dandenong	94-92
22/08/15	Dandenong v Ballarat	91-85
02/08/15	Dandenong v Ballarat	80-97
23/05/15	Ballarat v Dandenong	90-101

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/06/16	A	Nunawading	85-73
28/05/16	A	Canberra	93-97
22/05/16	A	Bendigo	91-87
15/05/16	H	Canberra	96-84
14/05/16	A	Ballarat	92-94
07/05/16	A	NW Tasmania	77-85
06/05/16	A	Hobart Chargers	72-90
30/04/16	H	Geelong	87-85
24/04/16	A	Frankston	92-78
23/04/16	H	Mt Gambier	80-93

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/06/16	H	Hobart Chargers	93-85
29/05/16	H	Frankston	99-76
21/05/16	H	Nunawading	96-88
14/05/16	H	Dandenong	94-92
08/05/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	103-82
01/05/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	80-94
23/04/16	A	NW Tasmania	92-95
16/04/16	H	Southern Sabres	87-90
09/04/16	A	Canberra	105-100
08/04/16	A	BA CoE	97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	46%
Home	LWLWW	50%
Away	LLWLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	46%	50%	43%
Points / game	85.3	84.5	86.0
Allowed / game	85.2	84.0	86.3
Point differential	+0.1	+0.5	-0.3
Avg total	170.5	168.5	172.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	33%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ballarat

SEABL 2016

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	64%
Home	LWWWW	57%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	64%	57%	75%
Points / game	92.2	88.1	99.2
Allowed / game	88.5	88.3	89.0
Point differential	+3.6	-0.1	+10.2
Avg total	180.7	176.4	188.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	14%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	14	11	3	79%	84.7	70.7	+14.0
2	Hobart Chargers	13	10	3	77%	87.8	74.8	+13.1
3	Geelong	13	9	4	69%	85.6	79.1	+6.5
4	Ballarat	11	7	4	64%	92.2	88.5	+3.6
5	Mt Gambier	13	8	5	62%	88.1	78.5	+9.6
6	Brisbane Spartans	14	8	6	57%	85.7	83.4	+2.3
7	NW Tasmania	13	7	6	54%	84.5	87.2	-2.8
8	Nunawading	14	7	7	50%	86.9	82.7	+4.1
9	Albury	14	7	7	50%	87.2	84.8	+2.4
10	Canberra	14	7	7	50%	79.9	83.1	-3.2
11	Kilsyth	12	6	6	50%	75.1	80.1	-5.0
12	Dandenong	13	6	7	46%	85.3	85.2	+0.1
13	Southern Sabres	12	4	8	33%	78.1	87.6	-9.5
14	Frankston	13	3	10	23%	72.8	82.6	-9.8
15	Melbourne Tigers	13	2	11	15%	68.7	83.5	-14.8
16	BA CoE	8	0	8	0%	71.5	92.2	-20.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Dandenong	25	17	25	16	21	104
Ballarat	20	22	18	23	10	93

← all games of the day

Dandenong vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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