Dandenong vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2017

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 79-95

11-26 25-15 25-28 18-26

Position#2

Record5-3

FormWLWWL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game76.2

Dandenong

Ballarat 🏆

Position#5

Record4-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game85.5

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Dandenong v Ballarat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

87-81

H14/08

SEABL

Nunawading

82-100

100

-18

H21/08

SEABL

Bendigo

57-89

-32

A25/03

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

83-69

+14

H02/04

SEABL

Geelong

75-62

+13

A07/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

80-77

H08/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

79-86

-7

A21/04

SEABL

Frankston

#12

87-74

+13

A24/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

78-60

+18

H29/04

SEABL

Nunawading

82-93

-11

A30/04

SEABL

20-28

23-11

20-26

24-16

24-20

25-28

14-23

19-29

14-21

14-22

17-28

12-18

23-25

18-17

22-7

20-20

23-13

21-10

14-20

17-19

18-16

18-24

24-15

20-22

19-23

16-19

20-19

24-25

29-17

17-23

26-14

15-20

15-10

19-22

20-17

24-11

23-18

20-26

19-21

20-28

158.1Avg total

79.0Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	77.6	76.2	153.9	+1.4	62%
Season at home (3)	80.3	68.7	149.0	+11.7	100%
Season away (5)	76.0	80.8	156.8	-4.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	79.1	158.1	-0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	78.0	159.2	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	84.3	88.9	173.1	-4.6	43%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	85.4	86.1	171.5	-0.8	50%
vs Weaker (15)	86.3	80.3	166.6	+5.9	67%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

79-91

-12

A29/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

118-87

118

+31

H31/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

89-90

-1

H06/08

SEABL

Canberra

105-86

105

+19

H14/08

SEABL

Geelong

76-100

100

-24

A31/03

SEABL

Frankston

#12

99-94

H06/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

69-63

A08/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

79-91

-12

H22/04

SEABL

Bendigo

87-73

+14

H29/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

102-92

102

+10

H06/05

SEABL

18-26

22-22

20-22

19-21

30-30

36-23

29-11

23-23

23-21

25-29

19-21

22-19

36-21

12-24

25-23

32-18

20-23

17-32

16-18

23-27

31-27

23-26

19-24

26-17

22-18

19-20

14-13

14-12

14-33

22-13

22-29

21-16

26-26

21-21

18-13

22-13

27-27

18-24

26-6

31-35

177.0Avg total

90.3Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.3	85.5	170.8	-0.2	67%
Season at home (4)	91.8	87.5	179.2	+4.2	75%
Season away (2)	72.5	81.5	154.0	-9.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	86.7	177.0	+3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	82.6	169.8	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.3	90.1	171.4	-8.9	14%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	89.6	95.9	185.5	-6.2	38%
vs Weaker (15)	96.2	87.3	183.5	+8.9	73%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DandenongBallarat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	23.4	43.9	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.9	25.0	44.9	-5.1	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.9	19.8	40.6	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	22.5	43.2	-1.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.3	24.3	49.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	21.1	43.9	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	25.2	49.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	26.2	50.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	24.9	24.9	49.8	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	26.3	21.8	48.1	+4.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	21.2	43.2	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.1	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.1	45.2	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	24.9	47.6	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.4	44.9	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.7	23.9	44.6	-3.1	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.1	21.6	42.8	-0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.3	23.5	46.8	-0.1	40%	-

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

43-39

H14/08

SEABL

Nunawading

49-48

H21/08

SEABL

Bendigo

28-43

-15

A25/03

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

41-42

-1

H02/04

SEABL

Geelong

44-23

+21

A07/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

36-40

-4

H08/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

35-42

-7

A21/04

SEABL

Frankston

#12

46-40

A24/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

34-32

H29/04

SEABL

Nunawading

43-44

-1

A30/04

SEABL

79.2Avg total

39.9Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.4	84.7	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.7	42.1	84.8	+0.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.2	44.5	84.6	-4.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.3	79.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	39.6	78.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.9	46.7	87.6	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.8	40.4	83.1	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.7	43.5	84.2	-2.9	47%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

40-48

-8

A29/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

66-53

+13

H31/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

48-50

-2

H06/08

SEABL

Canberra

48-45

H14/08

SEABL

Geelong

37-55

-18

A31/03

SEABL

Frankston

#12

54-53

H06/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

41-38

A08/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

36-46

-10

H22/04

SEABL

Bendigo

47-47

H29/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

45-51

-6

H06/05

SEABL

94.8Avg total

46.2Scored

48.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.3	45.9	92.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.0	45.8	92.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.5	46.0	91.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	48.6	94.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	47.0	91.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.4	46.4	85.9	-7.0	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	46.0	46.5	92.5	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	49.7	45.3	94.9	+4.4	67%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	17.6	38.7	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	21.1	41.6	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.6	17.7	40.3	+4.9	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.1	43.4	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.8	43.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.7	23.4	44.1	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.0	19.1	42.1	+3.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.5	22.4	45.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.1	43.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.9	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.8	22.4	44.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.5	21.8	46.3	+2.7	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	40.1	83.7	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	38.9	81.5	+3.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.4	41.0	85.4	+3.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	39.8	78.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	43.4	42.1	85.6	+1.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.0	44.5	84.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.6	36.8	82.4	+8.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	43.7	88.0	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.3	42.4	86.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.4	45.1	89.5	-0.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	38.1	82.2	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.6	78.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.9	43.7	85.6	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.4	46.8	89.1	-4.4	12%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.5	42.0	88.5	+4.5	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dandenong wins

Ballarat wins

Date	Game	Score
05/06/16	Dandenong v Ballarat	104-93 OT
14/05/16	Ballarat v Dandenong	94-92
22/08/15	Dandenong v Ballarat	91-85
02/08/15	Dandenong v Ballarat	80-97
23/05/15	Ballarat v Dandenong	90-101

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/17	A	Nunawading	82-93
29/04/17	H	BA CoE	78-60
24/04/17	A	Frankston	87-74
21/04/17	A	Mt Gambier	79-86
08/04/17	H	Canberra	80-77
07/04/17	A	Geelong	75-62
02/04/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	83-69
25/03/17	A	Bendigo	57-89
21/08/16	H	Nunawading	82-100
14/08/16	H	BA CoE	87-81

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/17	H	Albury	102-92
29/04/17	H	Bendigo	87-73
22/04/17	H	Mt Gambier	79-91
08/04/17	A	Kilsyth	69-63
06/04/17	H	Frankston	99-94
31/03/17	A	Geelong	76-100
14/08/16	H	Canberra	105-86
06/08/16	H	Mt Gambier	89-90
31/07/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	118-87
29/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	62%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	62%	100%	40%
Points / game	77.6	80.3	76.0
Allowed / game	76.2	68.7	80.8
Point differential	+1.4	+11.7	-4.8
Avg total	153.9	149.0	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ballarat

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	67%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	67%	75%	50%
Points / game	85.3	91.8	72.5
Allowed / game	85.5	87.5	81.5
Point differential	-0.2	+4.2	-9.0
Avg total	170.8	179.2	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	7	7	0	100%	92.9	80.4	+12.4
2	Nunawading	8	8	0	100%	90.2	78.0	+12.2
3	Hobart Chargers	6	4	2	67%	98.2	77.5	+20.7
4	Ballarat	6	4	2	67%	85.3	85.5	-0.2
5	Geelong	8	5	3	62%	85.2	75.4	+9.9
6	Dandenong	8	5	3	62%	77.6	76.2	+1.4
7	Kilsyth	8	4	4	50%	77.0	76.9	+0.1
8	Bendigo	9	4	5	44%	81.0	79.6	+1.4
9	Albury	7	3	4	43%	93.1	93.9	-0.7
10	Melbourne Tigers	7	3	4	43%	79.9	86.9	-7.0
11	Southern Sabres	8	3	5	38%	76.4	82.1	-5.8
12	NW Tasmania	8	2	6	25%	74.6	86.2	-11.6
13	BA CoE	5	1	4	20%	74.4	89.2	-14.8
14	Frankston	7	1	6	14%	79.1	88.4	-9.3
15	Canberra	6	0	6	0%	74.7	88.0	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Dandenong	11	25	25	18	79
Ballarat	26	15	28	26	95

← all games of the day

Dandenong vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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