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Geelong vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Aug 2015
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 83-65
15-22 21-14 20-9 27-20
Position#3
Record14-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.3
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#11
Record10-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.4
AustraliaSEABLRound 18
Other2015
Meetings · Geelong v Kilsyth
27 Apr 2019
GEEL78
KILS95
09 Jul 2017
GEEL79
KILS62
08 Apr 2016
GEEL87
KILS60
14 Aug 2015
GEEL83
KILS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kilsyth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H20/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H27/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H05/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A08/07
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H11/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A18/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H25/07
SEABL
BA CoE
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H02/08
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/08
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
L
81-93 OT
81
93
-12
A09/08
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
17-29
17-25
24-15
31-15
19-18
20-23
24-7
13-19
27-20
21-14
25-23
33-23
20-23
22-18
18-13
23-15
18-17
20-28
8-16
22-25
22-18
18-13
22-21
23-22
19-15
23-19
13-24
19-14
27-21
21-17
22-20
18-19
17-15
25-15
9-19
24-16
15-19
21-21
15-19
159.2Avg total
81.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.080.3164.3+3.764%
Season at home (11)85.780.9166.6+4.864%
Season away (11)82.379.6161.9+2.664%
Last 10 (10)81.677.6159.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)80.278.0158.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.081.0152.0-10.050%
vs Similar (10)84.082.3166.3+1.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.678.1164.7+8.590%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H13/06
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A20/06
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H27/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H05/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H11/07
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A18/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A25/07
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H01/08
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#10
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A07/08
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A08/08
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
19-17
20-16
19-32
20-14
13-18
23-20
16-19
22-24
20-23
17-22
22-19
18-13
15-18
18-16
15-17
23-13
15-16
12-19
17-12
23-28
17-25
18-16
20-15
16-27
17-22
22-17
16-23
22-17
13-18
20-18
15-17
12-19
13-11
17-15
21-8
21-17
24-19
25-24
19-18
149.3Avg total
73.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.477.4154.8+0.045%
Season at home (11)78.677.0155.6+1.645%
Season away (11)76.277.8154.0-1.645%
Last 10 (10)73.875.5149.3-1.750%
Last 5 (5)75.476.6152.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.982.3161.1-3.429%
vs Similar (12)74.874.2149.0+0.550%
vs Weaker (3)84.778.7163.3+6.067%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
GeelongKilsyth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H20/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H27/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H05/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/07
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A18/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/07
SEABL
BA CoE
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H02/08
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A07/08
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/08
SEABL
81.0Avg total
42.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)44.040.884.7+3.282%-
Last 30 at home (11)44.141.185.2+3.073%-
Last 30 away (11)43.840.584.3+3.491%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.881.0+3.490%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.544.077.5-10.550%-
vs Similar (10)44.541.285.7+3.380%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.539.785.2+5.890%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H13/06
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A20/06
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H27/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H05/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H11/07
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A18/07
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/07
SEABL
Bendigo
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H01/08
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#10
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A07/08
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A08/08
SEABL
74.3Avg total
36.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.738.576.2-0.945%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.537.275.7+1.455%-
Last 30 away (11)36.839.976.7-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.374.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.676.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.942.082.9-1.129%-
vs Similar (12)35.437.072.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker (3)39.336.776.0+2.767%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Geelong wins
0
Kilsyth wins
DateGameScore
02/05/15Kilsyth v Geelong81-90
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/15ABendigo81-93 OT
07/08/15AMt Gambier69-68
02/08/15HBA CoE89-72
25/07/15HDandenong78-80
18/07/15ABrisbane Spartans84-77
11/07/15HBendigo69-76
08/07/15ABallarat93-77
05/07/15HNW Tasmania86-76
27/06/15HNunawading94-63
20/06/15HMt Gambier73-94
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/15ANW Tasmania89-78
07/08/15AHobart Chargers63-53
01/08/15HBendigo76-79 OT
25/07/15ABrisbane Spartans71-89
18/07/15AAlbury78-84
11/07/15HBrisbane Spartans67-60
05/07/15HSouthern Sabres66-64
27/06/15HAlbury81-88
20/06/15ACanberra72-71
13/06/15HMt Gambier75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
SEABL 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game84.085.782.3
Allowed / game80.380.979.6
Point differential+3.7+4.8+2.6
Avg total164.3166.6161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Kilsyth
SEABL 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game77.478.676.2
Allowed / game77.477.077.8
Point differential+0.0+1.6-1.6
Avg total154.8155.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %14%18%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier2219386%88.073.4+14.6
2 Albury2316770%87.081.0+5.9
3 Bendigo2315865%83.381.5+1.8
4 Geelong2214864%84.080.3+3.7
5 Dandenong2213959%84.583.8+0.7
6 Ballarat23121152%87.385.4+1.9
7 NW Tasmania23121152%83.281.6+1.7
8 Nunawading23121152%86.886.8+0.0
9 Kilsyth22101245%77.477.4+0.0
10 BA CoE146843%83.787.5-3.8
11 Hobart Chargers2391439%68.871.9-3.0
12 Brisbane Spartans2281436%80.783.3-2.6
13 Southern Sabres2381535%81.383.6-2.3
14 Canberra2381535%77.285.8-8.6
15 Frankston2231914%76.587.7-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1521202783
Kilsyth221492065
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