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Keilor Thunder vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 May 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 77-80
22-17 23-26 12-10 20-27
Position#14
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#19
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game83.4
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 5
Other2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Dandenong
29 Jun 2024
KEIL72
DAND75
03 Jun 2023
KEIL84
DAND81
21 May 2022
KEIL77
DAND80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A30/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-23
19-11
22-8
21-20
25-17
22-28
15-24
13-18
8-14
23-21
18-24
25-30
16-17
16-21
19-16
29-20
14-19
19-28
26-29
159.6Avg total
78.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.081.6159.6-3.620%
Season at home (2)84.579.0163.5+5.550%
Season away (3)73.783.3157.0-9.70%
Last 10 (5)78.081.6159.6-3.620%
Last 5 (5)78.081.6159.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.082.3166.3+1.733%
vs Similar (2)69.080.5149.5-11.50%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
105-86
105
86
+19
H22/05
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
84-99
84
99
-15
H03/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A09/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H10/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A31/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H23/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A30/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H08/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H14/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
28-23
21-24
31-16
22-21
16-23
17-24
29-31
22-28
20-15
19-11
20-16
20-22
11-19
22-20
18-16
13-25
30-20
17-15
11-23
15-21
21-20
19-21
19-19
25-19
31-21
26-21
20-25
21-13
16-20
21-32
17-16
20-29
20-16
30-19
19-35
15-18
12-26
20-7
12-19
164.3Avg total
81.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.883.4163.2-3.620%
Season at home (3)83.385.0168.3-1.733%
Season away (2)74.581.0155.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)81.183.2164.3-2.130%
Last 5 (5)79.883.4163.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.989.7171.6-7.913%
vs Similar (8)83.884.5168.2-0.838%
vs Weaker (7)103.392.3195.6+11.086%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
Keilor ThunderDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A30/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/05
NBL1 South
77.8Avg total
38.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)38.239.677.8-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (2)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
Last 30 away (3)36.038.774.7-2.733%-
Last 10 (5)38.239.677.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.677.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.039.782.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (2)31.039.570.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H22/05
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H03/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H10/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H23/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A30/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H14/05
NBL1 South
82.5Avg total
40.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.289.6-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.946.792.6-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)43.143.987.0-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.282.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.646.187.7-4.540%-
vs Similar (8)45.445.691.0-0.225%-
vs Weaker (7)49.442.792.1+6.771%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder wins
0
Dandenong wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/22HMt Gambier88-96
07/05/22AGeelong76-84
30/04/22ANW Tasmania62-77
29/04/22AHobart Chargers83-89
23/04/22HBendigo Braves81-62
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/22HNW Tasmania59-70
08/05/22HMt Gambier89-99
30/04/22ANunawading75-81
23/04/22HCasey Cavaliers102-86
22/04/22AFrankston74-81
31/07/21AKilsyth71-83
10/07/21HNW Tasmania71-77
09/07/21AEltham81-70
03/07/21HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits84-99
22/05/21HHobart Chargers105-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game78.084.573.7
Allowed / game81.679.083.3
Point differential-3.6+5.5-9.7
Avg total159.6163.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game79.883.374.5
Allowed / game83.485.081.0
Point differential-3.6-1.7-6.5
Avg total163.2168.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier76186%100.688.0+12.6
2 Geelong76186%87.776.0+11.7
3 Frankston65183%95.581.5+14.0
4 Nunawading64267%78.570.3+8.2
5 Ballarat64267%88.882.0+6.8
6 NW Tasmania64267%73.775.8-2.2
7 Waverley53260%86.283.6+2.6
8 Knox74357%83.976.1+7.7
9 Kilsyth74357%76.177.1-1.0
10 Ringwood74357%77.785.0-7.3
11 Hobart Chargers63350%84.080.7+3.3
12 Sandringham Sabres73443%76.384.3-8.0
13 Melbourne Tigers52340%75.883.4-7.6
14 Diamond Valley62433%83.789.2-5.5
15 Dandenong51420%79.883.4-3.6
16 Keilor Thunder51420%78.081.6-3.6
17 Bendigo Braves61517%74.380.5-6.2
18 Casey Cavaliers71614%78.191.0-12.9
19 Eltham5050%70.084.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2223122077
Dandenong1726102780
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