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Ballarat vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 91-78
22-23 17-17 23-12 29-26
Position#5
Record15-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#6
Record14-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game83.3
AustraliaNBL1 SouthNBL1 South - Quarter-finals
Other2024
Meetings · Ballarat v Dandenong
12 Jul 2025
BALL93
DAND73
27 Jul 2024
BALL91
DAND78
15 Jun 2024
BALL84
DAND86
29 Apr 2023
BALL97
DAND88
26 Aug 2017
BALL94
DAND102
16 Jul 2017
BALL100
DAND87
14 May 2016
BALL94
DAND92
23 May 2015
BALL90
DAND101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H15/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A16/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H22/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
108-99
108
99
+9
A23/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H29/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A13/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
58-97
58
97
-39
A20/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
26-21
21-21
16-22
25-25
28-29
28-15
17-22
19-22
22-19
26-22
12-31
26-29
30-25
25-25
27-20
21-29
22-14
21-26
23-12
15-24
15-25
23-21
16-24
26-19
20-16
29-25
24-25
27-20
34-14
23-24
10-17
23-32
20-23
17-17
15-21
17-28
10-22
17-33
14-14
174.6Avg total
85.1Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)89.486.3175.7+3.265%
Season at home (11)92.284.8177.0+7.473%
Season away (12)86.987.6174.5-0.758%
Last 10 (10)85.189.5174.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)79.088.8167.8-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.189.3173.4-5.256%
vs Similar ◀ (8)96.093.8189.8+2.262%
vs Weaker (13)93.284.8177.9+8.469%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H25/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A15/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
80-109
80
109
-29
H22/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H30/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A12/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H14/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H20/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
29-19
23-27
23-25
25-25
19-13
25-21
28-30
22-21
21-26
21-21
22-16
23-33
18-28
23-22
16-26
12-26
27-14
23-8
13-24
20-19
15-23
21-28
16-16
20-14
17-26
13-25
15-13
22-26
16-25
22-10
18-22
25-20
26-18
13-23
17-14
28-34
26-11
22-31
22-15
168.3Avg total
82.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.383.3167.7+1.061%
Season at home (12)86.086.2172.2-0.267%
Season away (11)82.580.2162.7+2.455%
Last 10 (10)82.885.5168.3-2.760%
Last 5 (5)78.882.6161.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.493.2175.7-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.784.6164.3-4.929%
vs Weaker (11)89.378.6167.9+10.691%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
BallaratDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H15/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A16/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A23/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A13/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A20/07
NBL1 South
90.5Avg total
44.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.190.3+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.741.287.9+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)45.747.092.7-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.890.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.686.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.145.786.8-4.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)48.945.194.0+3.862%-
vs Weaker (13)48.242.490.5+5.869%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H25/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
H22/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H30/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H14/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H20/07
NBL1 South
87.0Avg total
43.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.887.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.943.188.1+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.486.3-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.887.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.286.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.246.889.9-3.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.444.683.0-6.114%-
vs Weaker (11)46.940.086.9+6.982%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ballarat wins
4
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
15/06/24Ballarat v Dandenong84-86
29/04/23Ballarat v Dandenong97-88
19/06/22Dandenong v Ballarat70-72
13/04/19Dandenong v Ballarat73-80
26/08/17Ballarat v Dandenong94-102 OT
16/07/17Ballarat v Dandenong100-87
07/05/17Dandenong v Ballarat79-95
05/06/16Dandenong v Ballarat104-93 OT
14/05/16Ballarat v Dandenong94-92
22/08/15Dandenong v Ballarat91-85
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/24AFrankston58-97
13/07/24AEltham75-93
07/07/24HCasey Cavaliers94-75
05/07/24HSandringham Sabres99-85
30/06/24AFrankston69-94
29/06/24HMelbourne Tigers87-81
23/06/24ARingwood108-99
22/06/24HNunawading79-94
16/06/24AWaverley98-91
15/06/24HDandenong84-86
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/24HKnox98-91
14/07/24HNW Tasmania81-75
12/07/24ANunawading78-83
06/07/24AGeelong65-78
30/06/24HMt Gambier72-86
29/06/24AKeilor Thunder75-72
22/06/24HSandringham Sabres80-109
15/06/24ABallarat86-84
07/06/24HFrankston97-89
25/05/24HRingwood96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL65%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%73%58%
Points / game89.492.286.9
Allowed / game86.384.887.6
Point differential+3.2+7.4-0.7
Avg total175.7177.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW61%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%67%55%
Points / game84.386.082.5
Allowed / game83.386.280.2
Point differential+1.0-0.2+2.4
Avg total167.7172.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%8%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier2317674%89.180.2+9.0
2 Sandringham Sabres2316770%92.179.8+12.3
3 Frankston2316770%93.381.1+12.2
4 Eltham2315865%89.681.5+8.1
5 Ballarat2315865%89.486.3+3.2
6 Dandenong2314961%84.383.3+1.0
7 Knox23131057%94.082.4+11.6
8 Nunawading22121055%84.584.4+0.1
9 Hobart Chargers22121055%81.782.5-0.8
10 Keilor Thunder22121055%86.790.5-3.8
11 Geelong23121152%80.682.6-2.0
12 Waverley22111150%90.289.0+1.3
13 Melbourne Tigers22101245%76.681.6-5.0
14 NW Tasmania2291341%82.388.5-6.3
15 Bendigo Braves2271532%80.287.6-7.4
16 Kilsyth2271532%77.885.9-8.1
17 Ringwood2261627%83.791.5-7.8
18 Diamond Valley2261627%85.394.0-8.7
19 Casey Cavaliers2231914%78.890.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat2217232991
Dandenong2317122678
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