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Dandenong vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 97-101
23-22 28-21 18-26 28-32
Position#6
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#10
Record5-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game100.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Dandenong v Keilor Thunder
11 Apr 2025
DAND111
KEIL103
11 May 2024
DAND97
KEIL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A04/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-65
94
65
+29
A06/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H10/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
101-71
101
71
+30
A13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H20/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A24/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H27/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H04/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
30-19
24-19
18-20
21-15
27-18
22-19
24-13
18-19
20-19
22-25
15-22
12-17
7-23
26-17
28-28
24-15
27-27
32-16
18-13
23-26
19-24
23-12
14-12
26-29
26-23
12-17
14-26
16-11
21-19
20-23
21-21
14-30
29-15
22-21
17-24
27-27
24-16
22-16
27-31
165.9Avg total
84.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.881.1165.9+3.760%
Season at home (4)83.080.8163.8+2.275%
Season away (6)86.081.3167.3+4.750%
Last 10 (10)84.881.1165.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)83.484.6168.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)83.792.9176.6-9.218%
vs Similar (8)83.688.8172.4-5.112%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)93.276.0169.2+17.2100%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
63-98
63
98
-35
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
98-115
98
115
-17
A05/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
A09/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
81-108
81
108
-27
A11/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H21/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
107-101
107
101
+6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
83-113
83
113
-30
H04/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
21-29
11-22
13-23
21-38
34-23
18-32
25-22
26-20
23-25
36-28
25-33
28-28
19-22
16-27
18-31
28-25
16-25
33-19
26-28
20-17
18-24
15-27
16-19
32-30
24-22
28-23
21-21
27-24
26-26
25-10
18-23
35-23
19-25
32-32
21-21
21-33
15-22
20-28
27-30
191.9Avg total
91.5Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.7100.7195.3-6.056%
Season at home (5)93.498.8192.2-5.460%
Season away (4)96.2103.0199.2-6.850%
Last 10 (10)91.5100.4191.9-8.950%
Last 5 (5)92.096.0188.0-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)89.598.0187.5-8.438%
vs Similar (6)89.289.7178.8-0.567%
vs Weaker (3)86.7100.3187.0-13.733%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
DandenongKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A06/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H20/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H27/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/05
NBL1 South
84.3Avg total
42.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.044.987.9-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.344.489.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)41.145.486.4-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.684.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.089.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)43.545.689.1-2.135%-
vs Similar (8)38.545.984.4-7.412%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)48.641.089.6+7.6100%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A09/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A11/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H14/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H21/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H04/05
NBL1 South
97.6Avg total
47.1Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.849.296.1-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.346.092.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)47.352.599.8-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)47.150.597.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.449.296.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)47.350.798.0-3.443%-
vs Similar (6)46.246.092.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)44.745.390.0-0.733%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dandenong wins
1
Keilor Thunder wins
DateGameScore
03/06/23Keilor Thunder v Dandenong84-81
21/05/22Keilor Thunder v Dandenong77-80
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HKilsyth100-90
30/04/24AWaverley82-90
27/04/24HGeelong78-74
24/04/24AFrankston78-95
20/04/24HKnox79-74
13/04/24ANW Tasmania101-71
12/04/24AHobart Chargers73-85
10/04/24HEltham75-85
06/04/24ACasey Cavaliers94-65
04/04/24AMelbourne Tigers88-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HBallarat83-113
28/04/24HWaverley107-101
26/04/24AMt Gambier96-83
21/04/24HNW Tasmania105-96
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers69-87
14/04/24HGeelong103-97
11/04/24AKilsyth81-108
09/04/24ADiamond Valley110-106
05/04/24AFrankston98-115
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers63-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game84.883.086.0
Allowed / game81.180.881.3
Point differential+3.7+2.2+4.7
Avg total165.9163.8167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game94.793.496.2
Allowed / game100.798.8103.0
Point differential-6.0-5.4-6.8
Avg total195.3192.2199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier97278%89.383.1+6.2
2 Ballarat86275%98.085.5+12.5
3 Knox75271%98.081.1+16.9
4 Hobart Chargers96367%81.378.6+2.8
5 Dandenong106460%84.881.1+3.7
6 Ringwood106460%87.287.6-0.4
7 Sandringham Sabres95456%91.981.7+10.2
8 Frankston95456%90.883.9+6.9
9 Waverley95456%90.684.4+6.1
10 Nunawading95456%84.783.9+0.8
11 Keilor Thunder95456%94.7100.7-6.0
12 Eltham84450%90.082.0+8.0
13 Melbourne Tigers104640%77.583.7-6.2
14 Bendigo Braves104640%80.189.0-8.9
15 NW Tasmania93633%82.890.9-8.1
16 Kilsyth93633%80.291.9-11.7
17 Geelong82625%78.084.1-6.1
18 Casey Cavaliers92722%80.387.2-6.9
19 Diamond Valley71614%82.199.0-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong2328182897
Keilor Thunder22212632101
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