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Keilor Thunder vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 84-81
21-16 25-20 14-16 24-29
Position#16
Record5-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game93.1
vs
Position#18
Record3-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game91.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Dandenong
29 Jun 2024
KEIL72
DAND75
03 Jun 2023
KEIL84
DAND81
21 May 2022
KEIL77
DAND80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A29/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
66-102
66
102
-36
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
89-125
89
125
-36
A13/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H20/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H21/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
103-106
103
106
-3
A27/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A28/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
29-19
16-14
16-24
26-31
22-30
19-16
15-29
22-25
26-21
18-21
27-18
18-25
19-29
17-25
12-23
19-32
25-19
22-16
32-22
23-30
19-31
21-29
26-35
13-15
22-25
22-19
21-22
26-20
23-24
21-25
18-25
32-24
25-29
17-29
29-24
18-16
31-24
16-27
27-10
181.0Avg total
87.3Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.893.1179.8-6.342%
Season at home (6)86.086.0172.0+0.050%
Season away (6)87.5100.2187.7-12.733%
Last 10 (10)87.393.7181.0-6.440%
Last 5 (5)90.096.6186.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)83.491.1174.4-7.735%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.379.4157.8-1.133%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.2140.8+8.275%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H22/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A29/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
74-103
74
103
-29
H06/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A07/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A13/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A14/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H20/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H21/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
107-73
107
73
+34
H27/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
17-25
21-19
23-27
20-21
16-25
17-21
19-33
24-24
21-18
14-29
29-26
26-23
14-23
17-27
17-30
10-28
19-28
21-29
26-14
16-29
28-17
24-15
17-28
17-22
19-21
26-20
17-24
19-22
20-30
18-25
35-18
24-31
30-16
13-28
22-28
31-31
28-17
27-13
21-12
178.5Avg total
84.4Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.891.4178.2-4.621%
Season at home (8)92.189.4181.5+2.838%
Season away (6)79.794.2173.8-14.50%
Last 10 (10)84.494.1178.5-9.710%
Last 5 (5)90.489.4179.8+1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)82.494.1176.5-11.820%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.586.5165.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (1)97.072.0169.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
Keilor ThunderDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H15/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A29/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A30/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A13/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H20/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H21/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A27/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A28/05
NBL1 South
94.5Avg total
46.1Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.784.4-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.441.984.4+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.684.4-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)46.148.494.5-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.694.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)43.646.289.9-2.653%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.041.280.2-2.244%-
vs Weaker (4)39.031.270.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H22/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A29/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H06/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A07/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A13/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A14/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H20/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H21/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H27/05
NBL1 South
89.5Avg total
42.0Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.446.788.1-5.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.445.490.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)36.848.285.0-11.421%-
Last 10 (10)42.047.589.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.293.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)41.547.989.4-6.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.242.279.5-5.025%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder wins
1
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
21/05/22Keilor Thunder v Dandenong77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/23AWaverley92-77
27/05/23AFrankston103-106
21/05/23HRingwood88-94
20/05/23HHobart Chargers78-81
13/05/23ASandringham Sabres89-125
06/05/23HKilsyth98-89
30/04/23AEltham66-102
29/04/23ADiamond Valley93-85
22/04/23AMt Gambier82-106
15/04/23HMelbourne Tigers84-72
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23HKilsyth107-73
21/05/23HNunawading89-103
20/05/23HNW Tasmania92-95
14/05/23AWaverley79-87
13/05/23ABendigo Braves85-89
07/05/23AEltham76-99
06/05/23HSandringham Sabres74-103
29/04/23ABallarat88-97
24/04/23AFrankston72-100
22/04/23HMelbourne Tigers82-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game86.886.087.5
Allowed / game93.186.0100.2
Point differential-6.3+0.0-12.7
Avg total179.8172.0187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW21%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %21%38%0%
Points / game86.892.179.7
Allowed / game91.489.494.2
Point differential-4.6+2.8-14.5
Avg total178.2181.5173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston1310377%95.083.8+11.2
2 Eltham129375%91.381.3+10.0
3 Knox1410471%85.676.6+9.1
4 Sandringham Sabres1410471%92.586.7+5.8
5 Nunawading139469%92.182.1+10.0
6 Mt Gambier127558%93.587.8+5.8
7 Diamond Valley137654%87.387.8-0.5
8 Geelong126650%87.688.2-0.7
9 Hobart Chargers147750%82.884.7-1.9
10 Waverley126650%83.586.6-3.1
11 Ballarat136746%91.893.2-1.5
12 NW Tasmania136746%82.989.6-6.7
13 Keilor Thunder125742%86.893.1-6.3
14 Bendigo Braves125742%90.197.2-7.1
15 Kilsyth135838%86.991.0-4.1
16 Melbourne Tigers124833%80.886.7-5.8
17 Ringwood1441029%88.091.6-3.6
18 Casey Cavaliers123925%77.985.3-7.4
19 Dandenong1431121%86.891.4-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2125142484
Dandenong1620162981
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