PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Melbourne Tigers vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 May 2021
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 85-93
28-23 14-24 19-28 24-18
Position#17
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game102.4
vs
Position#14
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game97.3
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Dandenong
13 Apr 2025
MELB89
DAND81
04 Apr 2024
MELB82
DAND88
31 Jul 2022
MELB67
DAND55
16 May 2021
MELB85
DAND93
04 Jun 2017
MELB67
DAND82
30 Jul 2016
MELB89
DAND111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#1
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A20/07
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H28/07
NBL 1
Sandringham Sabres
#18
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H17/04
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A24/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
85-108
85
108
-23
H02/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
62-100
62
100
-38
A08/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
95-123
95
123
-28
H09/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
25-24
16-17
18-23
25-16
17-16
16-13
24-25
21-15
23-22
17-29
15-20
16-23
22-27
25-19
31-28
26-26
21-31
32-24
28-21
14-20
16-29
25-19
18-29
25-30
20-25
14-25
26-28
18-26
16-20
12-27
16-27
19-35
27-33
19-37
30-18
22-30
15-18
15-28
14-14
177.7Avg total
82.6Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.1102.4185.6-19.314%
Season at home (3)91.3109.3200.7-18.00%
Season away (4)77.097.2174.2-20.225%
Last 10 (10)82.695.1177.7-12.530%
Last 5 (5)76.2103.6179.8-27.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.497.3180.7-13.930%
vs Similar (12)82.288.4170.6-6.233%
vs Weaker (8)94.481.5175.9+12.988%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
104-83
104
83
+21
A13/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A20/07
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
W
111-106 OT
111
106
+5
H21/07
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A27/07
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#12
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A17/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
76-110
76
110
-34
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A02/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H08/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A09/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
25-21
23-22
27-18
24-25
25-22
17-27
20-20
25-26
17-19
28-21
23-27
13-32
32-18
15-18
19-17
16-26
21-23
12-25
18-16
25-30
13-35
16-27
22-18
19-19
22-21
24-23
24-28
27-24
29-23
19-22
16-28
19-30
20-26
15-16
27-20
27-22
24-25
21-17
24-40
183.2Avg total
88.0Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.397.3180.7-14.00%
Season at home (2)93.5100.5194.0-7.00%
Season away (4)78.295.8174.0-17.50%
Last 10 (10)88.095.2183.2-7.220%
Last 5 (5)86.698.8185.4-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.595.3179.8-10.810%
vs Similar (9)88.782.3171.0+6.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)96.592.6189.1+3.864%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
Melbourne TigersDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#1
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A20/07
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H28/07
NBL 1
Sandringham Sabres
#18
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H17/04
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A24/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H02/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
46-68
46
68
-22
H09/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/05
NBL1 South
89.5Avg total
41.5Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.786.8-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.743.487.1+0.459%-
Last 30 away (13)40.246.486.5-6.223%-
Last 10 (10)41.548.089.5-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.453.291.6-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.049.591.5-7.520%-
vs Similar (12)39.144.483.5-5.325%-
vs Weaker (8)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A13/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A20/07
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/07
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A27/07
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A17/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
38-65
38
65
-27
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H08/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A09/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H15/05
NBL1 South
94.1Avg total
45.2Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.546.191.6-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.348.295.5-0.938%-
Last 30 away (17)44.144.588.6-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)45.248.994.1-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.051.096.0-6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.050.693.6-7.650%-
vs Similar (9)46.243.489.7+2.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.144.391.4+2.845%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
4
Dandenong wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21AGeelong66-90
09/05/21HMt Gambier95-123
08/05/21ABendigo Braves62-100
02/05/21HHobart Chargers85-108
01/05/21ADiamond Valley73-97
24/04/21AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits107-102
17/04/21HSandringham Sabres94-97
28/07/19HBendigo Braves76-86
21/07/19HEltham82-70
20/07/19ABallarat86-78
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21HFrankston96-104
09/05/21ANunawading81-92
08/05/21HMt Gambier91-97
02/05/21ABendigo Braves89-91
24/04/21AFrankston76-110
17/04/21ADiamond Valley67-90
27/07/19AGeelong79-85
21/07/19HRingwood111-106 OT
20/07/19AKilsyth86-94
13/07/19AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game83.191.377.0
Allowed / game102.4109.397.2
Point differential-19.3-18.0-20.2
Avg total185.6200.7174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game83.393.578.2
Allowed / game97.3100.595.8
Point differential-14.0-7.0-17.5
Avg total180.7194.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier65183%106.592.8+13.7
2 NW Tasmania65183%84.273.0+11.2
3 Bendigo Braves65183%89.380.8+8.5
4 Geelong65183%82.576.3+6.2
5 Kilsyth54180%77.669.2+8.4
6 Frankston64267%93.083.7+9.3
7 Hobart Chargers64267%87.383.7+3.7
8 Ringwood53260%89.285.6+3.6
9 Diamond Valley74357%87.384.0+3.3
10 Nunawading63350%79.572.8+6.7
11 Waverley63350%80.579.2+1.3
12 Knox52340%76.884.8-8.0
13 Ballarat62433%79.081.0-2.0
14 Eltham72529%80.383.6-3.3
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits61517%79.287.0-7.8
16 Sandringham Sabres61517%81.098.5-17.5
17 Melbourne Tigers71614%83.1102.4-19.3
18 Dandenong6060%83.397.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers2814192485
Dandenong2324281893
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.