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Melbourne Tigers vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 86-78
25-27 23-18 28-20 10-13
Position#18
Record4-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#12
Record9-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game81.7
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 15
Other2022
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat
26 Jul 2025
MELB89
BALL77
18 May 2024
MELB80
BALL78
04 Jun 2023
MELB106
BALL88
07 Aug 2022
MELB86
BALL78
27 Jun 2021
MELB77
BALL92
20 May 2017
MELB55
BALL86
08 May 2016
MELB82
BALL103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#13
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H19/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A25/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H03/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
54-83
54
83
-29
H10/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
64-92
64
92
-28
A17/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H24/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A30/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A06/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
20-24
21-16
11-18
16-21
28-23
17-15
17-23
27-19
14-9
15-26
21-21
30-21
22-21
24-22
7-20
19-26
10-19
11-14
14-24
16-23
17-28
19-23
12-18
18-36
18-22
17-23
22-16
15-24
22-16
23-13
15-24
3-17
19-11
34-12
11-15
16-22
22-19
16-16
6-13
149.3Avg total
70.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.180.7151.8-9.621%
Season at home (9)71.681.6153.1-10.022%
Season away (10)70.779.9150.6-9.220%
Last 10 (10)70.279.1149.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)68.278.2146.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.389.7163.0-16.47%
vs Similar (3)79.768.7148.3+11.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#8
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A04/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A19/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A02/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
68-88
68
88
-20
H09/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H16/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H24/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
79-101
79
101
-22
H06/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
20-13
26-11
20-22
22-16
17-20
19-26
17-20
18-19
25-13
16-15
13-23
13-22
20-17
21-24
21-22
14-14
15-28
19-18
14-21
15-19
18-19
17-24
18-26
24-21
24-21
21-27
15-18
35-25
21-18
21-19
20-27
30-23
19-23
20-26
9-17
23-23
20-34
17-23
19-21
160.3Avg total
76.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.981.7162.6-0.847%
Season at home (10)84.885.7170.5-0.940%
Season away (9)76.677.3153.9-0.856%
Last 10 (10)76.883.5160.3-6.730%
Last 5 (5)81.290.8172.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.281.5158.7-4.333%
vs Similar (17)80.081.9161.9-1.941%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.975.7162.6+11.186%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -5.1-5.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -5.1-5.1
Melbourne TigersBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A25/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H03/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H10/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A17/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H24/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A30/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A06/08
NBL1 South
78.8Avg total
36.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.044.981.9-8.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.147.085.1-8.913%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.978.7-7.033%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.978.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.676.8-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.045.382.3-8.322%-
vs Similar (3)36.741.778.3-5.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A04/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A19/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A02/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H09/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H16/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H24/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A30/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H06/08
NBL1 South
81.0Avg total
40.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.883.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.740.983.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.642.882.4-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.581.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.291.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.343.284.5-1.833%-
vs Similar (17)39.342.982.2-3.635%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.037.983.9+8.186%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
6
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/22ABendigo Braves60-70
31/07/22HDandenong67-55
30/07/22AKnox75-77
24/07/22HGeelong75-97
17/07/22AWaverley64-92
10/07/22HKeilor Thunder54-83
03/07/22HDiamond Valley83-84
29/06/22ARingwood77-75
25/06/22AKilsyth78-82
19/06/22HNW Tasmania69-76
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/22HDiamond Valley79-101
30/07/22ANunawading78-89
24/07/22HNW Tasmania97-89
16/07/22HFrankston84-87
09/07/22HKeilor Thunder68-88
02/07/22AKnox62-81
25/06/22HRingwood75-85
19/06/22ADandenong72-70
18/06/22HHobart Chargers75-82
04/06/22AGeelong78-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeLLLLW22%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%22%20%
Points / game71.171.670.7
Allowed / game80.781.679.9
Point differential-9.6-10.0-9.2
Avg total151.8153.1150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL47%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%40%56%
Points / game80.984.876.6
Allowed / game81.785.777.3
Point differential-0.8-0.9-0.8
Avg total162.6170.5153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hobart Chargers2116576%88.078.7+9.3
2 Mt Gambier2015575%94.284.5+9.7
3 Sandringham Sabres2115671%83.482.5+0.9
4 Kilsyth2014670%81.978.2+3.7
5 Bendigo Braves2013765%80.774.2+6.5
6 Frankston1912763%90.485.4+5.0
7 Geelong2112957%85.383.0+2.3
8 Diamond Valley21111052%83.084.0-1.0
9 Knox20101050%82.277.1+5.1
10 NW Tasmania21101148%76.079.4-3.4
11 Waverley1991047%82.382.9-0.6
12 Ballarat1991047%80.981.7-0.8
13 Ringwood2091145%80.082.4-2.5
14 Keilor Thunder2071335%76.878.5-1.8
15 Casey Cavaliers2071335%83.486.2-2.8
16 Nunawading2171433%77.482.1-4.7
17 Eltham2061430%75.080.7-5.7
18 Dandenong2051525%79.289.4-10.2
19 Melbourne Tigers1941521%71.180.7-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers2523281086
Ballarat2718201378
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