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Danilovgrad vs Tivat Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game86.2
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 19· Sportski Centar Danilovgrad
Other2026-27
Meetings · Danilovgrad v Tivat
27 Mar 2027
DANI v TIVA
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
DANI105
TIVA94
01 Feb 2025
DANI74
TIVA89
02 Mar 2024
DANI94
TIVA104
03 Dec 2022
DANI68
TIVA73
04 Dec 2021
DANI73
TIVA74
03 Apr 2021
DANI79
TIVA67
23 Nov 2019
DANI59
TIVA63
04 Nov 2017
DANI73
TIVA68
25 Mar 2017
DANI65
TIVA99
12 Nov 2016
DANI79
TIVA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Danilovgrad win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tivat win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DanilovgradMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDanilovgrad
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
no box
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 58
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
60-84
60
84
-24
45avg 58
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
A25/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#9
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H09/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#8
L
63-91
63
91
-28
no box
A14/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
11-12
21-23
29-23
23-16
19-20
15-14
17-18
19-21
23-19
21-26
20-25
21-28
17-13
20-24
25-24
20-20
20-24
16-7
16-14
11-21
31-13
17-16
21-22
19-18
14-19
4-26
23-21
15-16
22-21
19-21
20-13
19-21
22-18
16-17
22-16
23-20
15-24
12-27
13-20
152.8Avg total
74.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.778.0150.7-5.367%
Season at home (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)69.581.0150.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)74.977.9152.8-3.060%
Last 5 (5)71.678.0149.6-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.387.1164.4-9.831%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.083.7164.7-2.740%
vs Weaker (4)74.273.2147.5+1.075%
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
118-95
118
95
+23
no box
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
99-108
99
108
-9
no box
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 79
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
91avg 79
A02/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H03/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H13/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
13-25
16-15
16-20
31-26
26-25
38-17
23-27
12-24
35-32
27-24
25-28
29-15
21-16
16-20
25-27
21-11
13-31
16-17
22-21
24-22
18-22
19-14
22-25
19-22
18-22
21-24
14-26
21-19
25-26
17-14
23-17
24-29
20-20
18-18
27-24
22-24
24-20
16-20
11-20
174.9Avg total
86.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.086.2166.2-6.225%
Season at home (2)79.580.0159.5-0.550%
Season away (2)80.592.5173.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)86.888.1174.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)83.087.6170.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.493.4176.9-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.891.9183.8-0.142%
vs Weaker (2)103.591.5195.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
DanilovgradTivat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/11
Prva A Liga
76.4Avg total
38.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.082.3-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.440.180.4+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.243.683.9-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.743.181.8-4.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.740.883.5+1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)40.840.581.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/11
Prva A Liga
89.7Avg total
44.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.347.191.4-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.644.790.3+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.049.592.5-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.389.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.948.689.4-7.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.644.592.1+3.158%-
vs Weaker (2)52.051.5103.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Danilovgrad: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.0
53.7%
58.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.68.8
27.0%
31.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.0
71.7%
69.7%17.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.4
58.9%
58.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
31.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
69.7%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Danilovgrad
LWWLWWLLWW
Tivat
LLWLWLWLWL
#6
League position
#10
-3.9
Net rating
+1.3
106.3
Offensive rating
116.9
110.1
Defensive rating
115.6
47.2%
Effective FG%
56.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
1.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.0%
3-point %
34.6%
56.3%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 116.9Defence110.1 · 115.6Shooting47.2% · 56.5%3-point %27.0% · 34.6%Ball care0.0% · 1.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Danilovgrad   ■ Tivat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Danilovgrad wins
7
Tivat wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Tivat v Danilovgrad72-80
27/12/25Danilovgrad v Tivat105-94
01/02/25Danilovgrad v Tivat74-89
19/10/24Tivat v Danilovgrad89-59
02/03/24Danilovgrad v Tivat94-104
02/12/23Tivat v Danilovgrad95-84
18/03/23Tivat v Danilovgrad90-86
03/12/22Danilovgrad v Tivat68-73
21/03/22Tivat v Danilovgrad83-84
04/12/21Danilovgrad v Tivat73-74
Danilovgradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVukovi Zeta63-91
09/11/26HJedinstvo79-72
25/10/26ADecic76-71
04/04/26HKotor60-84
29/03/26ATivat80-72
21/03/26HLovcen Cetinje72-65
15/03/26AVukovi Zeta83-89
11/03/26HMornar Bar83-91
07/03/26AIbar Rozaje74-68
14/02/26HJedinstvo79-76
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSutjeska73-84
06/11/26AMornar Bar89-91
03/11/26HStudentski Centar86-76
26/10/26AKotor72-94
02/04/26AStudentski Centar95-93 OT
29/03/26HDanilovgrad72-80
23/03/26HVukovi Zeta91-78
16/03/26AIbar Rozaje99-108
10/03/26HUlcinj118-95
07/03/26APodgorica73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Danilovgrad
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game72.779.069.5
Allowed / game78.072.081.0
Point differential-5.3+7.0-11.5
Avg total150.7151.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tivat
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.079.580.5
Allowed / game86.280.092.5
Point differential-6.2-0.5-12.0
Avg total166.2159.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Mornar Bar440100%93.074.2+18.8
3 Primorje220100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Kotor32167%83.774.7+9.0
5 Studentski Centar32167%87.780.7+7.0
6 Danilovgrad32167%72.778.0-5.3
7 Podgorica21150%108.073.0+35.0
8 Vukovi Zeta42250%84.271.0+13.2
9 Jedinstvo31233%69.788.3-18.7
10 Tivat41325%80.086.2-6.2
11 Lovcen Cetinje3030%78.791.7-13.0
12 Decic3030%67.085.3-18.3
13 Lim Berane4040%64.8106.2-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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