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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-83
25-15 10-11 21-35 24-22
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game81.5
Zalgiris Kaunas
vs
Darussafaka 🏆
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5
European cup2016
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Darussafaka
22 Mar 2019
ZAL94
DAR67
04 Nov 2016
ZAL80
DAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Skycop
#6
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A05/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
A08/10
LKL
Panathinaikos
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
102avg 103
A14/10
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H17/10
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
109avg 103
H21/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
H23/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
93avg 103
A26/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
74-87
74
87
-13
108avg 103
H28/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A30/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
19-19
26-14
15-19
27-29
22-16
15-19
22-18
15-19
19-19
22-8
18-20
15-20
15-17
22-14
24-33
17-15
23-12
21-14
18-23
20-23
14-17
27-21
17-12
20-14
21-12
17-22
19-19
24-28
13-16
19-19
12-19
16-21
16-22
25-21
17-23
27-10
17-17
9-18
28-23
151.1Avg total
77.2Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.081.5155.5-7.525%
Season at home (2)76.080.0156.0-4.050%
Season away (2)72.083.0155.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)77.273.9151.1+3.370%
Last 5 (5)75.675.4151.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.574.0137.5-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (2)77.078.5155.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (26)84.371.7156.0+12.785%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#13
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
A31/03
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
87-86
87
86
+1
no box
H08/04
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
95avg 105
A13/10
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
103avg 105
H20/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
81-56
81
56
+25
no box
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unics Kazan
#15
W
94-87
94
87
+7
114avg 105
A25/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
108avg 105
H27/10
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
A30/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
20-14
20-15
25-12
20-23
18-24
26-19
23-20
23-13
17-19
24-15
19-28
17-24
13-20
16-8
27-18
16-18
14-25
20-18
30-19
23-24
18-22
17-14
22-21
19-9
19-10
26-16
17-21
28-29
18-18
19-12
29-28
20-13
26-22
19-23
14-26
24-16
25-17
17-24
17-14
159.2Avg total
82.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.580.5162.0+1.050%
Season at home (2)79.582.5162.0-3.00%
Season away (2)83.578.5162.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.876.4159.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)83.475.8159.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.683.4157.0-9.810%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.270.9146.1+4.457%
vs Weaker (5)78.072.2150.2+5.880%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Zalgiris KaunasDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A05/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/10
LKL
Panathinaikos
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/10
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H17/10
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H23/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A30/10
LKL
73.9Avg total
37.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.177.6+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.234.577.7+8.674%-
Last 30 away (11)38.538.877.4-0.345%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.073.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.536.071.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)32.038.570.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker (26)42.735.978.6+6.769%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A31/03
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/04
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A13/10
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H20/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unics Kazan
#15
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A25/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A30/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.3Avg total
39.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.174.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.436.874.1+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)36.339.675.9-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.077.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.080.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.943.379.2-7.410%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.835.672.4+1.257%-
vs Weaker (5)40.036.476.4+3.660%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.0
50.6%
50.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.2
27.4%
37.3%21.8
🏀 Free throws14.511.2
77.6%
75.6%11.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.7
57.2%
50.7%43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
37.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.811.5
83.6%
75.6%11.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWWWLWWW
Darussafaka
WLWWLLWWWW
#10
League position
#9
-10.4
Net rating
+0.7
100.9
Offensive rating
109.4
111.3
Defensive rating
108.7
46.8%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.4%
3-point %
35.4%
61.5%
Assist %
52.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 109.4Defence111.3 · 108.7Shooting46.8% · 55.6%3-point %27.4% · 35.4%Ball care19.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds41.7% · 25.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Darussafaka wins
No previous meetings.
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16ANevezis81-68
28/10/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
26/10/16AFenerbahce68-82
23/10/16HNeptunas77-67
21/10/16HBaskonia78-73
17/10/16HAlytaus Dzukija79-64
14/10/16APanathinaikos76-84
08/10/16ARytas74-66
05/10/16APieno Zvaigzdes86-82
02/10/16HSkycop79-66
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16ATrabzonspor83-71
27/10/16HAnadolu Efes79-84
25/10/16AUnics Kazan94-87
22/10/16HGaziantep81-56
20/10/16HOlimpia Milano80-81
16/10/16ABanvit88-93 OT
13/10/16ACrvena zvezda73-70
08/10/16HTofas83-75
08/04/16HLokomotiv Kuban87-86
31/03/16ACrvena zvezda80-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game74.076.072.0
Allowed / game81.580.083.0
Point differential-7.5-4.0-11.0
Avg total155.5156.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game81.579.583.5
Allowed / game80.582.578.5
Point differential+1.0-3.0+5.0
Avg total162.0162.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow550100%92.480.6+11.8
2 Real Madrid54180%90.081.8+8.2
3 Fenerbahce54180%79.674.8+4.8
4 Panathinaikos43175%78.874.8+4.0
5 Olympiacos53260%83.280.2+3.0
6 Barcelona53260%72.671.0+1.6
7 Darussafaka42250%81.580.5+1.0
8 Crvena zvezda42250%72.572.8-0.2
9 Baskonia42250%84.886.0-1.2
10 Bamberg52340%83.683.4+0.2
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%86.686.6+0.0
12 Olimpia Milano52340%90.695.0-4.4
13 Anadolu Efes41325%80.286.8-6.5
14 Zalgiris Kaunas41325%74.081.5-7.5
15 Unics Kazan51420%79.484.6-5.2
16 Galatasaray5050%85.497.0-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2510212480
Darussafaka1511352283
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