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Darussafaka vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 80-81
23-24 18-22 17-14 22-21
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game70.0
Darussafaka
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#16
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game97.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2
European cup2016
Meetings · Darussafaka v Olimpia Milano
15 Nov 2018
DAR92
MIL98
20 Oct 2016
DAR80
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#11
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H25/02
Euroleague
Cedevita
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A03/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#8
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H11/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A17/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H24/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#13
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A31/03
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H08/04
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A13/10
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
18-12
22-17
19-10
24-19
19-19
16-23
24-16
15-13
11-21
24-21
18-17
21-25
18-20
15-12
15-20
30-22
12-18
21-25
21-21
15-20
20-14
20-15
25-12
20-23
18-24
26-19
23-20
23-13
17-19
24-15
19-28
17-24
13-20
16-8
27-18
16-18
14-25
20-18
30-19
154.5Avg total
79.3Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.070.0143.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.070.0143.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.375.2154.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)82.277.0159.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.983.3157.2-9.48%
vs Similar (13)73.270.7143.9+2.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)77.570.8148.2+6.8100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A07/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A09/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H11/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A13/06
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
109-87
109
87
+22
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Avellino
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A02/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H09/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
99-97
99
97
+2
H13/10
Euroleague
Varese
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H16/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
15-21
18-15
21-23
22-21
17-20
16-18
21-22
29-8
23-23
22-29
23-13
21-19
8-19
16-12
29-20
29-28
21-24
27-9
32-26
23-19
21-15
23-17
23-21
11-20
22-21
20-12
18-12
24-21
16-17
26-16
21-27
25-24
19-20
28-21
27-32
22-16
22-17
18-19
17-19
163.2Avg total
85.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)99.097.0196.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)99.097.0196.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.477.8163.2+7.680%
Last 5 (5)85.277.2162.4+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)84.588.2172.8-3.850%
vs Weaker (25)77.573.0150.6+4.572%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
DarussafakaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H25/02
Euroleague
Cedevita
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A03/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#8
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H11/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A17/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A31/03
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/04
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A13/10
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
74.5Avg total
36.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.438.774.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.537.874.3-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)34.339.573.8-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.574.5-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.074.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.843.178.8-7.38%-
vs Similar (13)35.336.972.2-1.646%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.533.569.0+2.075%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A07/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H11/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A13/06
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Avellino
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A02/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/10
Euroleague
Varese
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H16/10
Lega A
80.3Avg total
40.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.179.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.238.582.7+5.665%-
Last 30 away (13)35.139.874.8-4.723%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.580.3+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)42.043.885.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker (25)39.637.877.4+1.852%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.0
57.5%
50.7%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.04.0
21.1%
37.3%12.0
🏀 Free throws14.013.0
92.9%
75.6%13.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.5
53.1%
50.7%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.0
40.0%
37.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.4%
75.6%13.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/4 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LWWWWLLLWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWWWLL
#9
League position
#16
+1.4
Net rating
+8.9
100.8
Offensive rating
115.4
99.4
Defensive rating
106.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
41.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
21.1%
3-point %
40.0%
44.4%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 115.4Defence99.4 · 106.5Shooting49.2% · 55.3%3-point %21.1% · 40.0%Ball care15.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds18.5% · 41.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darussafaka wins
0
Olimpia Milano wins
No previous meetings.
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/16ABanvit88-93 OT
13/10/16ACrvena zvezda73-70
08/10/16HTofas83-75
08/04/16HLokomotiv Kuban87-86
31/03/16ACrvena zvezda80-61
24/03/16HPanathinaikos84-86
17/03/16AFenerbahce69-77
11/03/16HAnadolu Efes68-72
03/03/16ACedevita83-77
25/02/16HUnicaja78-55
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/16HVarese79-71
13/10/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-97
09/10/16HAvellino87-81
02/10/16ACapo d'Orlando71-65
25/09/16AAvellino90-72
24/09/16HCremona109-87
13/06/16AReggiana74-70
11/06/16HReggiana97-73
09/06/16AReggiana76-81
07/06/16AReggiana72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total143.0-143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game99.099.0-
Allowed / game97.097.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total196.0196.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow110100%109.084.0+25.0
2 Real Madrid220100%86.073.5+12.5
3 Panathinaikos110100%84.076.0+8.0
4 Barcelona110100%69.063.0+6.0
5 Darussafaka110100%73.070.0+3.0
6 Olimpia Milano110100%99.097.0+2.0
7 Baskonia110100%85.084.0+1.0
8 Fenerbahce110100%67.066.0+1.0
9 Olympiacos21150%77.574.5+3.0
10 Bamberg21150%77.576.5+1.0
11 Crvena zvezda1010%70.073.0-3.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2020%89.594.0-4.5
13 Unics Kazan2020%74.579.0-4.5
14 Zalgiris Kaunas1010%76.084.0-8.0
15 Anadolu Efes2020%75.087.5-12.5
16 Galatasaray1010%84.0109.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2318172280
Olimpia Milano2422142181
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