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Davidson vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 55-69
33-44 22-25
Position#208
Record8-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#85
Record9-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game58.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Davidson v Dayton
02 Jan 2027
DAVI v DAYT
upcoming
03 Jan 2024
DAVI59
DAYT72
31 Dec 2022
DAVI55
DAYT69
08 Jan 2021
DAVI78
DAYT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Davidson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#8
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A18/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H20/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
66-68 OT
66
68
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H08/12
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A17/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-44
36-45
25-29
44-31
32-23
34-38
36-40
53-40
30-32
29-27
23-34
44-35
32-28
40-36
27-28
34-41
32-42
38-31
29-14
28-29
135.9Avg total
68.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.869.8142.7+3.062%
Season at home (8)74.267.6141.9+6.675%
Season away (5)70.673.4144.0-2.840%
Last 10 (10)68.367.6135.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)65.463.6129.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.385.0161.3-8.733%
vs Similar (9)72.966.0138.9+6.967%
vs Weaker (17)71.765.2136.9+6.571%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#158
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A23/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H01/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
49-77
49
77
-28
A08/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H10/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A18/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H21/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
14-23
28-20
32-36
32-40
40-24
24-40
37-24
30-23
37-38
43-36
21-42
28-35
34-19
45-37
35-21
31-28
44-24
44-22
37-32
32-25
128.3Avg total
67.9Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.058.8125.8+8.264%
Season at home (9)73.957.6131.4+16.389%
Season away (5)54.661.0115.6-6.420%
Last 10 (10)67.960.4128.3+7.560%
Last 5 (5)70.257.0127.2+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)68.167.2135.3+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)68.357.1125.5+11.280%
This opponent (Davidson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
DavidsonDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A18/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H19/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H20/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A03/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H21/12
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
29-14
29
14
+15
A29/12
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.464.1+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.829.363.1+4.467%-
Last 30 away (12)31.234.465.6-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)29.631.461.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)28.629.257.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.041.372.3-10.30%-
vs Similar (9)33.628.662.1+5.067%-
vs Weaker (17)32.431.563.9+0.953%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#158
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A23/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H01/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A08/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H10/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A18/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/12
NCAA
61.4Avg total
33.1Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.526.660.1+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.426.162.5+10.482%-
Last 30 away (13)29.727.457.1+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)33.128.361.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.227.661.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)33.130.263.3+2.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)33.625.258.8+8.480%-
This opponent (Davidson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Davidson wins
3
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
05/03/22Dayton v Davidson82-76
09/01/21Davidson v Dayton78-89 OT
29/02/20Dayton v Davidson82-67
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22AFordham57-43
21/12/22HNortheastern70-73
17/12/22APurdue61-69
08/12/22HWestern Carolina72-64
03/12/22ADelaware67-69
30/11/22HCharlotte66-68 OT
25/11/22HSan Francisco89-80
20/11/22HOld Dominion66-61
19/11/22HSouth Carolina69-60
18/11/22ACharleston66-89
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HDuquesne69-57
21/12/22HAlcorn State88-46
18/12/22AWyoming66-49
10/12/22HUNC Asheville79-56
08/12/22AVirginia Tech49-77
03/12/22HSE Louisiana80-74
01/12/22HWestern Michigan67-47
25/11/22HBrigham Young75-79 OT
24/11/22ANC State64-76
23/11/22AWisconsin42-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Davidson
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game72.874.270.6
Allowed / game69.867.673.4
Point differential+3.0+6.6-2.8
Avg total142.7141.9144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %15%12%20%
Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %64%89%20%
Points / game67.073.954.6
Allowed / game58.857.661.0
Point differential+8.2+16.3-6.4
Avg total125.8131.4115.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fordham1412286%73.566.9+6.6
2 Duquesne1511473%74.970.1+4.9
3 VCU Rams139469%68.663.2+5.5
4 Dayton149564%67.058.8+8.2
5 St. Louis Billikens149564%76.871.5+5.3
6 George Mason138562%71.566.9+4.6
7 Davidson138562%72.869.8+3.0
8 Richmond Spiders137654%70.564.8+5.6
9 Loyola Chicago126650%67.667.6+0.0
10 George Washington136746%74.471.1+3.3
11 St. Bonaventure136746%67.166.4+0.7
12 La Salle136746%68.272.7-4.5
13 Saint Josephs Hawks146843%70.974.8-3.9
14 Rhode Island134931%65.668.4-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Davidson332255
Dayton442569
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