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Davidson vs Dayton Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#124
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game61.5
vs
Position#307
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Davidson v Dayton
02 Jan 2027
DAVI v DAYT
upcoming
03 Jan 2024
DAVI59
DAYT72
31 Dec 2022
DAVI55
DAYT69
08 Jan 2021
DAVI78
DAYT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Davidson win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A26/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H05/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
64-59 OT
64
59
+5
H12/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A13/03
NCAA
Washington State
#302
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A03/11
NCAA
Mercer
#259
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Bradley
#252
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H11/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-21
32-35
33-27
38-37
35-37
32-33
36-33
32-30
19-24
37-32
29-33
29-37
34-22
42-39
34-33
54-43
30-20
32-25
30-36
28-28
130.7Avg total
67.9Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.061.5132.5+9.575%
Season at home (3)69.361.7131.0+7.767%
Season away (1)76.061.0137.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.962.8130.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)68.463.2131.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.078.8152.8-4.825%
vs Similar (16)64.865.8130.5-1.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.561.3138.8+16.290%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#178
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
72-95
72
95
-23
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
34-35
40-32
25-28
36-37
26-31
30-27
38-36
33-36
37-33
25-40
37-30
47-23
42-35
29-40
38-27
45-46
44-53
34-52
38-43
145.0Avg total
72.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Season at home (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.172.9145.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.680.6158.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.583.1155.6-10.620%
vs Similar (15)74.167.3141.5+6.880%
vs Weaker (5)77.061.0138.0+16.080%
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +0.8+0.8
DavidsonDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A26/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H05/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H12/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A13/03
NCAA
Washington State
#302
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A03/11
NCAA
Mercer
#259
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/11
NCAA
Bradley
#252
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H15/11
NCAA
60.1Avg total
31.5Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.762.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.829.562.3+3.356%-
Last 30 away (12)31.829.961.7+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)31.528.660.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)31.428.860.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.233.267.5+1.050%-
vs Similar (16)29.830.260.1-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)35.827.363.1+8.580%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#178
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H15/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.670.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.732.770.4+5.072%-
Last 30 away (12)32.837.470.2-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.471.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.276.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.541.274.7-7.710%-
vs Similar (15)36.931.468.3+5.587%-
vs Weaker (5)36.831.067.8+5.860%-
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Davidson wins
9
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Dayton v Davidson70-59
05/02/25Dayton v Davidson69-63
28/02/24Dayton v Davidson80-66
04/01/24Davidson v Dayton59-72
18/01/23Dayton v Davidson68-61
31/12/22Davidson v Dayton55-69
05/03/22Dayton v Davidson82-76
09/01/21Davidson v Dayton78-89 OT
29/02/20Dayton v Davidson82-67
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HHoward58-64
11/11/26HBradley62-45
08/11/26HMercer88-76
03/11/26AWashington State76-61
13/03/26ASaint Josephs Hawks58-70
12/03/26HLoyola Chicago64-59 OT
07/03/26ASt. Bonaventure68-63
05/03/26HSaint Josephs Hawks67-70
01/03/26HLa Salle71-64
26/02/26ADuquesne67-56
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCincinnati72-95
11/11/26HSiena89-99
08/11/26HNorthern Illinois76-81 OT
03/11/26HNJIT89-58
15/03/26AVCU Rams62-70
14/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens70-69
13/03/26HSt. Bonaventure68-63
07/03/26HVCU Rams62-68
04/03/26ARichmond Spiders65-60
28/02/26AGeorge Washington68-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Davidson
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game71.069.376.0
Allowed / game61.561.761.0
Point differential+9.5+7.7+15.0
Avg total132.5131.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %25%25%-
Points / game81.581.5-
Allowed / game83.283.2-
Point differential-1.8-1.8-
Avg total164.8164.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
2 George Washington440100%80.051.8+28.2
3 Rhode Island440100%81.259.2+22.0
4 George Mason440100%72.058.5+13.5
5 Duquesne440100%72.264.5+7.8
6 Saint Josephs Hawks440100%78.871.8+7.0
7 Richmond Spiders43175%89.064.0+25.0
8 St. Bonaventure43175%82.062.5+19.5
9 Loyola Chicago43175%79.867.5+12.2
10 Davidson43175%71.061.5+9.5
11 Fordham43175%76.572.0+4.5
12 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
13 La Salle31233%67.384.7-17.3
14 Dayton41325%81.583.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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