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Dayton vs Davidson Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-61
29-32 39-29
Position#85
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game58.6
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#208
Record9-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Dayton v Davidson
15 Feb 2026
DAYT70
DAVI59
04 Feb 2025
DAYT69
DAVI63
27 Feb 2024
DAYT80
DAVI66
17 Jan 2023
DAYT68
DAVI61
05 Mar 2022
DAYT82
DAVI76
28 Feb 2020
DAYT82
DAVI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Davidson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
49-77
49
77
-28
A08/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H10/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A18/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H21/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H29/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H05/01
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
82-58
82
58
+24
A11/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
43-36
21-42
28-35
34-19
45-37
35-21
31-28
44-24
44-22
37-32
32-25
44-33
25-22
38-30
38-26
33-18
49-40
33-19
29-44
131.1Avg total
72.0Scored
59.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.258.6126.8+9.667%
Season at home (11)73.057.9130.9+15.182%
Season away (7)60.659.7120.3+0.943%
Last 10 (10)72.059.1131.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)71.657.8129.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)68.266.9135.1+1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)69.557.1126.7+12.480%
This opponent (Davidson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#201
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H08/12
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A17/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A29/12
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H05/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A07/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H12/01
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-34
44-35
32-28
40-36
27-28
34-41
32-42
38-31
29-14
28-29
33-44
22-25
33-30
47-27
29-41
43-48
30-33
27-28
36-31
29-36
131.7Avg total
65.6Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.969.5140.4+1.450%
Season at home (11)71.566.2137.6+5.364%
Season away (7)70.074.7144.7-4.729%
Last 10 (10)65.666.1131.7-0.530%
Last 5 (5)65.868.6134.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.282.6153.8-11.420%
vs Similar (11)70.765.6136.4+5.155%
vs Weaker (13)71.262.5133.7+8.869%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
DaytonDavidson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A08/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H10/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A18/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H05/01
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
33-18
33
18
+15
A11/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H14/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
35.6Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.026.260.2+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.726.062.7+10.782%-
Last 30 away (13)30.426.556.9+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)35.627.663.2+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)37.026.463.4+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)32.927.460.3+5.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)34.525.960.3+8.680%-
This opponent (Davidson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#201
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A03/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H21/12
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
29-14
29
14
+15
A29/12
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H05/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H12/01
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A14/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
30.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.831.764.5+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.629.963.5+3.763%-
Last 30 away (11)31.534.866.4-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.562.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.868.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.041.872.8-10.80%-
vs Similar (11)33.529.262.6+4.364%-
vs Weaker (13)32.830.563.2+2.362%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dayton wins
0
Davidson wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22Davidson v Dayton55-69
05/03/22Dayton v Davidson82-76
09/01/21Davidson v Dayton78-89 OT
29/02/20Dayton v Davidson82-67
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HVCU Rams62-63
11/01/23AFordham82-58
05/01/23HSaint Josephs Hawks76-56
31/12/22ADavidson69-55
29/12/22HDuquesne69-57
21/12/22HAlcorn State88-46
18/12/22AWyoming66-49
10/12/22HUNC Asheville79-56
08/12/22AVirginia Tech49-77
03/12/22HSE Louisiana80-74
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AGeorge Mason65-67
12/01/23HRichmond Spiders57-61
07/01/23AVCU Rams72-89
05/01/23HLoyola Chicago80-57
31/12/22HDayton55-69
29/12/22AFordham57-43
21/12/22HNortheastern70-73
17/12/22APurdue61-69
08/12/22HWestern Carolina72-64
03/12/22ADelaware67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %67%82%43%
Points / game68.273.060.6
Allowed / game58.657.959.7
Point differential+9.6+15.1+0.9
Avg total126.8130.9120.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Davidson
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %50%64%29%
Points / game70.971.570.0
Allowed / game69.566.274.7
Point differential+1.4+5.3-4.7
Avg total140.4137.6144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%9%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fordham1814478%72.167.7+4.4
2 VCU Rams1813572%70.764.7+5.9
3 Duquesne1813572%76.070.9+5.1
4 Dayton1812667%68.258.6+9.6
5 St. Louis Billikens1812667%76.671.2+5.3
6 George Mason1911858%71.167.5+3.6
7 Richmond Spiders1810856%69.264.9+4.3
8 George Washington189950%75.672.9+2.6
9 Davidson189950%70.969.5+1.4
10 St. Bonaventure189950%67.866.9+0.9
11 La Salle1881044%68.473.0-4.6
12 Saint Josephs Hawks1981142%70.573.4-2.9
13 Rhode Island1761135%67.269.8-2.6
14 Loyola Chicago1761135%67.672.8-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton293968
Davidson322961
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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