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Dayton vs VCU Rams Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 62-63
33-19 29-44
Position#85
Record12-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game58.4
vs
Position#26
Record12-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Dayton v VCU Rams
22 Jan 2027
DAYT v VCU
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
DAYT62
VCU 68
07 Feb 2025
DAYT68
VCU 73
08 Mar 2024
DAYT91
VCU 86
13 Jan 2023
DAYT62
VCU 63
05 Jan 2022
DAYT52
VCU 53
09 Feb 2021
DAYT67
VCU 76
14 Jan 2020
DAYT79
VCU 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VCU Rams winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#345
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H01/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
49-77
49
77
-28
A08/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H10/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A18/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H21/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H29/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H05/01
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
82-58
82
58
+24
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-24
30-23
37-38
43-36
21-42
28-35
34-19
45-37
35-21
31-28
44-24
44-22
37-32
32-25
44-33
25-22
38-30
38-26
33-18
49-40
130.0Avg total
72.5Scored
57.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.558.4126.9+10.271%
Season at home (10)74.157.4131.5+16.790%
Season away (7)60.659.7120.3+0.943%
Last 10 (10)72.557.5130.0+15.090%
Last 5 (5)76.854.4131.2+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.167.9136.0+0.244%
vs Weaker (20)69.557.1126.7+12.480%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#210
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A03/12
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H08/12
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H12/12
NCAA
Radford
#137
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H17/12
NCAA
Navy
#129
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H22/12
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
40-46
32-32
30-41
41-31
29-29
26-28
44-34
49-26
41-37
37-30
37-22
38-36
42-31
22-37
48-42
41-29
48-43
35-32
43-32
143.1Avg total
75.6Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.164.9136.0+6.271%
Season at home (13)72.462.7135.1+9.785%
Season away (4)67.072.0139.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)75.667.5143.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)78.266.8145.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.069.0134.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.065.3134.3+3.769%
vs Weaker (15)73.165.6138.7+7.573%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +4.5+4.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +4.5+4.5
DaytonVCU Rams
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#345
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H01/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A08/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H10/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A18/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H05/01
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
33-18
33
18
+15
A11/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
36.0Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.726.760.4+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.926.463.4+10.581%-
Last 30 away (14)30.027.157.1+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)36.028.164.1+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.227.466.6+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.029.161.1+2.956%-
vs Weaker (20)34.525.960.3+8.680%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#210
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H12/12
NCAA
Radford
#137
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H17/12
NCAA
Navy
#129
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/12
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A05/01
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
35.4Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.265.5+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (21)35.330.465.7+4.967%-
Last 30 away (9)31.833.265.0-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)35.431.867.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.867.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.041.065.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.131.763.8+0.446%-
vs Weaker (15)36.530.166.6+6.373%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dayton wins
4
VCU Rams wins
DateGameScore
03/02/22VCU Rams v Dayton52-82
06/01/22Dayton v VCU Rams52-53
05/03/21VCU Rams v Dayton73-68
09/02/21Dayton v VCU Rams67-76
23/01/21VCU Rams v Dayton66-43
19/02/20VCU Rams v Dayton61-66
15/01/20Dayton v VCU Rams79-65
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AFordham82-58
05/01/23HSaint Josephs Hawks76-56
31/12/22ADavidson69-55
29/12/22HDuquesne69-57
21/12/22HAlcorn State88-46
18/12/22AWyoming66-49
10/12/22HUNC Asheville79-56
08/12/22AVirginia Tech49-77
03/12/22HSE Louisiana80-74
01/12/22HWestern Michigan67-47
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23ALoyola Chicago78-64
07/01/23HDavidson89-72
05/01/23ADuquesne70-79
31/12/22HLa Salle80-67
22/12/22HNavy74-52
17/12/22HNorthern Illinois90-63
15/12/22HRadford70-62
12/12/22HHoward70-60
08/12/22HJacksonville62-73
03/12/22ATemple73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %71%90%43%
Points / game68.574.160.6
Allowed / game58.457.459.7
Point differential+10.2+16.7+0.9
Avg total126.9131.5120.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%70%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
VCU Rams
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %71%85%25%
Points / game71.172.467.0
Allowed / game64.962.772.0
Point differential+6.2+9.7-5.0
Avg total136.0135.1139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%54%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fordham1713476%72.567.9+4.6
2 Duquesne1813572%76.070.9+5.1
3 Dayton1712571%68.558.4+10.2
4 VCU Rams1712571%71.164.9+6.2
5 St. Louis Billikens1711665%76.371.1+5.2
6 Richmond Spiders1710759%69.664.6+5.0
7 George Mason1710759%71.167.0+4.1
8 Davidson179853%71.269.6+1.6
9 George Washington168850%75.572.3+3.2
10 La Salle168850%69.373.6-4.2
11 St. Bonaventure178947%67.667.2+0.5
12 Rhode Island1661038%67.469.5-2.1
13 Loyola Chicago1661038%68.472.0-3.6
14 Saint Josephs Hawks1761135%69.675.4-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton332962
VCU Rams194463
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