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Dayton vs Georgetown Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 84-79 (OT)
40-31 29-38 15-10
Position#65
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game66.8
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#225
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgetown winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
68-73 OT
68
73
-5
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H19/03
NIT
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A22/03
NIT
Canisius
#327
W
88-48
88
48
+40
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-27
0-0
51-49
0-0
24-33
0-0
36-27
0-0
44-38
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-42
0-0
38-45
0-0
51-27
0-0
37-21
0-0
41-37
0-0
36-34
0-0
26-33
0-0
36-41
0-0
45-39
0-0
46-43
0-0
39-34
0-0
29-34
0-0
44-20
0-0
30-35
149.0Avg total
77.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.266.8145.0+11.383%
Season at home (4)82.564.0146.5+18.5100%
Season away (2)69.572.5142.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)77.471.6149.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)76.270.6146.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.076.8150.8-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.371.1141.4-0.856%
vs Weaker (9)79.967.4147.3+12.489%
This opponent (Georgetown) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeorgetownUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#63
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H02/03
NCAA
Villanova
#138
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H05/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A08/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A07/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-42
44-51
22-39
39-37
29-29
46-44
34-38
43-45
40-38
27-33
42-34
45-36
32-27
38-33
41-36
42-34
33-36
46-38
44-27
48-48
151.5Avg total
77.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.269.8152.0+12.4100%
Season at home (4)85.272.2157.5+13.0100%
Season away (1)70.060.0130.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.074.5151.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)82.269.8152.0+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.473.4136.9-10.014%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.671.9148.5+4.664%
vs Weaker (9)71.665.2136.8+6.367%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +1.9+1.9
DaytonGeorgetown
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/03
NIT
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/03
NIT
Canisius
#327
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
37.6Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.766.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.431.464.8+2.150%-
Last 30 away (12)34.834.769.5+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.070.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.671.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.834.267.0-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.832.963.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (9)39.231.070.2+8.267%-
This opponent (Georgetown) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeorgetownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#63
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/02
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
22-39
22
39
-17
H02/03
NCAA
Villanova
#138
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.868.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.833.668.4+1.259%-
Last 30 away (13)33.734.167.8-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.669.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.070.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.036.467.4-5.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.533.268.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker (9)35.032.767.7+2.367%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
Georgetown wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HN. Carolina Central74-55
20/11/25AMarquette77-71 OT
16/11/25HBethune-Cookman91-82
12/11/25ACincinnati62-74
08/11/25HUMBC Retrievers77-71
04/11/25HCanisius88-48
22/03/25AChattanooga Mocs72-87
19/03/25HFlorida Atlantic86-79
14/03/25HSaint Josephs Hawks68-73 OT
08/03/25AVCU Rams79-76
Georgetownlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HWagner92-75
15/11/25HClemson79-74
12/11/25HBinghamton83-70
07/11/25AMaryland70-60
03/11/25HMorgan State87-70
12/03/25HDePaul67-71
08/03/25ADePaul77-83
05/03/25HVillanova75-73
02/03/25HMarquette61-76
26/02/25AUconn79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game78.282.569.5
Allowed / game66.864.072.5
Point differential+11.3+18.5-3.0
Avg total145.0146.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%50%
Georgetown
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.285.270.0
Allowed / game69.872.260.0
Point differential+12.4+13.0+10.0
Avg total152.0157.5130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens660100%91.568.8+22.7
2 George Mason770100%79.761.9+17.9
3 St. Bonaventure76186%75.669.0+6.6
4 Richmond Spiders65183%87.068.0+19.0
5 Dayton65183%78.266.8+11.3
6 Davidson65183%75.769.5+6.2
7 George Washington86275%91.475.1+16.2
8 Rhode Island86275%78.667.6+11.0
9 Duquesne75271%88.380.3+8.0
10 Fordham64267%77.760.2+17.5
11 VCU Rams74357%84.373.3+11.0
12 La Salle63350%70.368.0+2.3
13 Saint Josephs Hawks63350%79.879.7+0.2
14 Loyola Chicago81712%65.076.4-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgetown550100%82.269.8+12.4
2 Seton Hall87188%75.861.4+14.4
3 Uconn65183%83.861.3+22.5
4 Butler65183%90.372.7+17.7
5 Villanova65183%83.368.7+14.7
6 DePaul64267%80.768.3+12.3
7 St. John's (N.Y.)74357%92.376.4+15.9
8 Marquette74357%83.474.4+9.0
9 Providence74357%91.785.6+6.1
10 Creighton74357%74.970.9+4.0
11 Xavier74357%74.973.4+1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Dayton40291584
Georgetown31381079
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