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Dayton vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-62
29-24 45-38
Position#85
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game46.0
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#327
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Dayton v SMU Mustangs
11 Nov 2022
DAYT74
SMU 62
05 Dec 2020
DAYT64
SMU 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A19/02
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H24/02
NCAA
La Salle
#285
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H05/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
L
68-70 OT
68
70
-2
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-30
0-0
36-32
0-0
46-23
0-0
36-38
0-0
30-19
0-0
30-43
0-0
32-29
0-0
23-24
0-0
34-35
0-0
48-41
0-0
34-36
0-0
41-36
0-0
33-25
0-0
31-43
0-0
34-23
0-0
40-32
0-0
26-25
0-0
37-38
0-0
35-21
0-0
38-25
133.2Avg total
70.7Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.046.0119.0+27.0100%
Season at home (1)73.046.0119.0+27.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.762.5133.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)70.862.2133.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)67.663.4131.0+4.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)70.157.6127.7+12.575%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#78
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H20/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H24/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A27/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#174
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Tulane
#213
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H12/03
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#22
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H17/03
NIT
Washington State
#3
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H20/03
NIT
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-32
0-0
36-25
0-0
30-27
0-0
45-34
0-0
22-37
0-0
39-38
0-0
28-34
0-0
48-37
0-0
38-45
0-0
36-23
0-0
40-29
0-0
43-29
0-0
26-32
0-0
37-38
0-0
35-26
0-0
33-32
0-0
20-39
0-0
43-36
0-0
31-27
0-0
46-33
136.6Avg total
71.3Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.365.3136.6+6.070%
Last 5 (5)70.864.2135.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.777.7147.3-8.033%
vs Similar (9)72.766.2138.9+6.478%
vs Weaker (17)74.166.5140.6+7.676%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +8.1+8.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +8.1+8.1
DaytonSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A19/02
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H24/02
NCAA
La Salle
#285
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H08/11
NCAA
60.8Avg total
34.2Scored
26.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.426.259.6+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.225.160.4+10.181%-
Last 30 away (14)31.227.558.7+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)34.226.660.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)32.426.058.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)31.328.659.9+2.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)34.225.459.6+8.980%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#78
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A27/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#174
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H04/03
NCAA
Tulane
#213
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#22
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H17/03
NIT
Washington State
#3
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H20/03
NIT
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H08/11
NCAA
63.5Avg total
30.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.965.5+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.432.566.8+1.963%-
Last 30 away (11)32.330.963.2+1.464%-
Last 10 (10)30.732.863.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.430.661.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)27.342.369.7-15.00%-
vs Similar (9)34.129.663.7+4.667%-
vs Weaker (17)34.431.666.0+2.771%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
2
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
09/12/21SMU Mustangs v Dayton77-69
05/12/20Dayton v SMU Mustangs64-66
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/22HLindenwood73-46
20/03/22AVanderbilt68-70 OT
16/03/22AToledo74-55
12/03/22HRichmond Spiders64-68
11/03/22HUMass75-72
05/03/22HDavidson82-76
01/03/22ARichmond Spiders55-53
26/02/22ALa Salle60-62
24/02/22HUMass82-61
19/02/22ASaint Josephs Hawks74-62
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/22HTX A&M Commerce77-60
20/03/22HWashington State63-75
17/03/22HNicholls State68-58
12/03/22HMemphis63-70
12/03/22HTulsa83-58
06/03/22HTulane74-68
04/03/22HCincinnati76-71
27/02/22AHouston61-75
24/02/22HTulsa75-61
20/02/22HMemphis73-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game46.046.0-
Point differential+27.0+27.0-
Avg total119.0119.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+17.0+17.0-
Avg total137.0137.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duquesne110100%91.063.0+28.0
2 Dayton110100%73.046.0+27.0
3 St. Louis Billikens110100%91.068.0+23.0
4 Richmond Spiders110100%69.048.0+21.0
5 George Washington220100%85.066.5+18.5
6 VCU Rams110100%73.056.0+17.0
7 Davidson220100%94.580.5+14.0
8 Fordham110100%88.074.0+14.0
9 St. Bonaventure110100%71.058.0+13.0
10 Loyola Chicago110100%88.082.0+6.0
11 Rhode Island1010%62.067.0-5.0
12 La Salle1010%68.081.0-13.0
13 George Mason1010%52.070.0-18.0
14 Saint Josephs Hawks1010%55.081.0-26.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State110100%99.050.0+49.0
2 Duke220100%77.541.0+36.5
3 Virginia Tech220100%86.554.5+32.0
4 Georgia Tech110100%93.063.0+30.0
5 Pittsburgh110100%80.058.0+22.0
6 Syracuse110100%90.072.0+18.0
7 SMU Mustangs110100%77.060.0+17.0
8 North Carolina110100%69.056.0+13.0
9 Virginia110100%73.061.0+12.0
10 Wake Forest110100%71.059.0+12.0
11 Clemson110100%80.069.0+11.0
12 Stanford110100%88.078.0+10.0
13 Boston College220100%74.571.5+3.0
14 Notre Dame110100%79.076.0+3.0
15 Miami (FL)21150%70.566.0+4.5
16 Louisville1010%66.067.0-1.0
17 Florida State1010%74.083.0-9.0
18 California1010%65.075.0-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton294574
SMU Mustangs243862
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