PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dayton vs St. Bonaventure Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-70
41-30 31-40
Position#65
Record14-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game70.8
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#207
Record13-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dayton v St. Bonaventure
13 Mar 2026
DAYT68
ST. 63
03 Feb 2026
DAYT72
ST. 70
02 Feb 2024
DAYT76
ST. 71
18 Jan 2022
DAYT68
ST. 50
22 Jan 2020
DAYT86
ST. 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Bonaventure winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H28/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
71-102
71
102
-31
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
28-35
30-24
33-32
31-39
39-29
30-35
49-37
33-24
38-41
31-30
47-21
29-40
35-27
36-38
38-43
39-31
25-33
29-46
42-56
141.4Avg total
70.7Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.470.8147.2+5.664%
Season at home (14)79.967.4147.3+12.679%
Season away (8)70.276.8147.0-6.538%
Last 10 (10)70.770.7141.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)72.676.4149.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.484.4158.8-10.040%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.672.5148.1+3.153%
vs Weaker (9)77.863.0140.8+14.889%
This opponent (St. Bonaventure) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. BonaventureUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H20/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A31/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A15/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H21/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
62-97
62
97
-35
H23/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A29/01
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-47
50-34
45-46
37-43
37-40
43-49
34-39
43-42
28-35
36-33
37-38
37-40
30-42
54-28
26-58
36-39
35-39
52-40
39-31
34-46
158.4Avg total
77.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.474.3151.6+3.159%
Season at home (13)79.173.5152.5+5.669%
Season away (9)74.975.4150.3-0.644%
Last 10 (10)77.580.9158.4-3.430%
Last 5 (5)76.080.2156.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.286.8155.0-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.272.3147.5+2.867%
vs Weaker (6)76.767.8144.5+8.883%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.8+2.8
DaytonSt. Bonaventure
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A31/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
32.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.968.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.431.368.7+6.278%-
Last 30 away (12)31.835.367.2-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.665.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.069.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.037.870.8-4.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.832.165.9+1.760%-
vs Weaker (9)37.830.968.7+6.967%-
This opponent (St. Bonaventure) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. BonaventureLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A31/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/01
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H10/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A15/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H21/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
26-58
26
58
-32
H23/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/01
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/01
NCAA
76.8Avg total
35.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.570.6-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.936.172.0-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)34.234.768.8-0.523%-
Last 10 (10)35.341.576.8-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)33.441.675.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.543.876.2-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.935.270.2-0.344%-
vs Weaker (6)37.034.871.8+2.233%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dayton wins
2
St. Bonaventure wins
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ASt. Louis Billikens71-102
28/01/26HRhode Island76-81 OT
24/01/26ASaint Josephs Hawks74-81
21/01/26ALa Salle64-67
17/01/26HLoyola Chicago78-51
14/01/26ADuquesne71-65
07/01/26HGeorge Washington79-72
03/01/26ALoyola Chicago70-68
31/12/25HFordham63-56
20/12/25HLiberty61-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HGeorge Mason73-77
29/01/26ADuquesne87-79
23/01/26HSt. Louis Billikens62-97
21/01/26HLoyola Chicago84-70
17/01/26ALa Salle74-78
15/01/26ASaint Josephs Hawks64-68
10/01/26HFordham77-81
08/01/26HRichmond Spiders80-89
31/12/25AVCU Rams82-89
20/12/25HLe Moyne92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL64%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %64%79%38%
Points / game76.479.970.2
Allowed / game70.867.476.8
Point differential+5.6+12.6-6.5
Avg total147.2147.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %14%14%12%
St. Bonaventure
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL59%
HomeLLWLL69%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %59%69%44%
Points / game77.479.174.9
Allowed / game74.373.575.4
Point differential+3.1+5.6-0.6
Avg total151.6152.5150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens2221195%91.467.5+23.9
2 George Mason2220291%76.866.9+9.9
3 VCU Rams2216673%84.373.5+10.7
4 Dayton2214864%76.470.8+5.6
5 Saint Josephs Hawks2214864%74.972.0+2.9
6 Davidson2113862%71.968.5+3.3
7 George Washington2213959%84.473.3+11.1
8 Rhode Island2213959%72.167.7+4.4
9 St. Bonaventure2213959%77.474.3+3.1
10 Richmond Spiders23131057%78.173.4+4.7
11 Fordham22121055%71.665.0+6.6
12 Duquesne22121055%82.976.7+6.2
13 La Salle2271532%66.272.1-5.9
14 Loyola Chicago2351822%67.678.0-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton413172
St. Bonaventure304070
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.