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Dayton vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-70
Position#30
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game64.1
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#98
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#37
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H11/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
42-35
36-30
20-38
27-24
36-23
25-35
41-36
30-32
40-35
38-40
50-41
28-36
27-33
37-35
40-34
35-37
30-26
40-16
36-30
134.3Avg total
69.4Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.064.1134.1+5.975%
Season at home (4)76.060.8136.8+15.2100%
Season away (4)64.067.5131.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)69.464.9134.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)72.265.6137.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.764.8134.4+4.967%
vs Weaker (17)71.960.1132.0+11.876%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#278
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H02/03
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Fort Lauderdale
#601
W
92-47
92
47
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Reinhardt
#651
W
111-46
111
46
+65
H15/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
H21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A28/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
33-25
35-40
37-35
38-18
54-29
28-43
42-45
32-32
29-29
58-20
53-26
42-33
36-45
36-34
44-33
34-40
42-37
41-31
42-29
150.1Avg total
81.3Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.869.2154.0+15.550%
Season at home (5)90.461.6152.0+28.880%
Season away (3)75.382.0157.3-6.70%
Last 10 (10)81.368.8150.1+12.550%
Last 5 (5)87.267.6154.8+19.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)62.269.4131.6-7.125%
vs Weaker (18)77.166.2143.3+10.978%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +7.9+7.9
DaytonTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#37
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H02/12
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.063.7+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.728.764.4+7.081%-
Last 30 away (14)31.431.662.9-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.865.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.868.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.932.267.1+2.867%-
vs Weaker (17)33.128.261.3+4.965%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#278
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H02/03
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Fort Lauderdale
#601
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H06/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/11
NCAA
Reinhardt
#651
W
58-20
58
20
+38
H15/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H02/12
NCAA
69.9Avg total
37.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.164.9+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.130.467.4+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)28.134.062.1-5.914%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.569.9+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.231.673.8+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)24.133.958.0-9.80%-
vs Weaker (18)36.031.167.1+4.961%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HGrambling St.76-46
30/11/23ASMU Mustangs65-63
25/11/23HYoungstown State77-69
20/11/23AHouston55-69
17/11/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)88-81
16/11/23ALSU70-67
11/11/23ANorthwestern66-71
07/11/23HSiu Edwardsville63-47
12/03/23AVCU Rams56-68
11/03/23HFordham78-68
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HSiu Edwardsville83-60
28/11/23AEastern Kentucky76-77
24/11/23HGrambling St.80-67
21/11/23HSam Houston St.86-88 OT
15/11/23HReinhardt111-46
11/11/23AOregon State80-81 OT
09/11/23AOhio70-88
06/11/23HFort Lauderdale92-47
04/03/23AJames Madison72-75
02/03/23HArkansas State63-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game70.076.064.0
Allowed / game64.160.867.5
Point differential+5.9+15.2-3.5
Avg total134.1136.8131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game84.890.475.3
Allowed / game69.261.682.0
Point differential+15.5+28.8-6.7
Avg total154.0152.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %25%20%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saint Josephs Hawks97278%75.263.1+12.1
2 Duquesne97278%77.369.1+8.2
3 George Mason97278%74.467.2+7.2
4 George Washington97278%82.175.6+6.6
5 La Salle97278%77.276.2+1.0
6 St. Bonaventure86275%74.665.8+8.9
7 Dayton86275%70.064.1+5.9
8 Davidson96367%70.766.7+4.0
9 Richmond Spiders95456%78.267.6+10.7
10 Rhode Island95456%74.170.6+3.6
11 Loyola Chicago95456%71.270.2+1.0
12 St. Louis Billikens105550%74.675.7-1.1
13 Fordham94544%74.069.6+4.4
14 VCU Rams94544%69.366.9+2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison880100%95.476.0+19.4
2 Appalachian State97278%79.961.3+18.6
3 Louisiana Lafayette85362%80.672.5+8.1
4 Louisiana Monroe74357%73.171.1+2.0
5 Troy84450%84.869.2+15.5
6 Georgia State84450%79.075.8+3.2
7 Southern Miss84450%69.466.4+3.0
8 South Alabama105550%71.975.4-3.5
9 Coastal Carolina83538%80.577.1+3.4
10 Old Dominion83538%69.573.2-3.8
11 Texas State83538%64.170.9-6.8
12 Marshall82625%73.881.4-7.6
13 Arkansas State92722%73.281.1-7.9
14 Georgia Southern8080%69.584.6-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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