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Dayton vs VCU Rams Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#307
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#155
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dayton v VCU Rams
22 Jan 2027
DAYT v VCU
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
DAYT62
VCU 68
07 Feb 2025
DAYT68
VCU 73
08 Mar 2024
DAYT91
VCU 86
13 Jan 2023
DAYT62
VCU 63
05 Jan 2022
DAYT52
VCU 53
09 Feb 2021
DAYT67
VCU 76
14 Jan 2020
DAYT79
VCU 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VCU Rams win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#178
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
72-95
72
95
-23
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
34-35
40-32
25-28
36-37
26-31
30-27
38-36
33-36
37-33
25-40
37-30
47-23
42-35
29-40
38-27
45-46
44-53
34-52
38-43
145.0Avg total
72.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Season at home (4)81.583.2164.8-1.825%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.172.9145.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.680.6158.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.583.1155.6-10.620%
vs Similar (15)74.167.3141.5+6.880%
vs Weaker (5)77.061.0138.0+16.080%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#47
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H14/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H15/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
A19/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A22/03
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H03/11
NCAA
Memphis
#172
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A07/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
36-32
37-36
31-26
39-29
32-37
44-21
33-43
40-25
30-37
28-39
47-36
28-35
27-41
37-33
45-39
48-44
40-45
43-28
44-21
143.3Avg total
75.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.770.0155.7+15.767%
Season at home (2)84.560.5145.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)88.089.0177.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)75.068.3143.3+6.780%
Last 5 (5)78.872.8151.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.078.3142.3-14.30%
vs Similar (5)79.877.0156.8+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.669.8152.4+12.895%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +0.8+0.8
DaytonVCU Rams
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A15/03
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#178
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H15/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.670.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.732.770.4+5.072%-
Last 30 away (12)32.837.470.2-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.471.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.276.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.541.274.7-7.710%-
vs Similar (15)36.931.468.3+5.587%-
vs Weaker (5)36.831.067.8+5.860%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#47
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H14/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H15/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A19/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A22/03
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H03/11
NCAA
Memphis
#172
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H12/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.933.072.9+6.983%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.832.773.6+8.189%-
Last 30 away (12)38.533.371.8+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.370.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.872.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.732.763.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (5)38.639.478.0-0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.531.573.0+9.995%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dayton wins
7
VCU Rams wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26VCU Rams v Dayton70-62
07/03/26Dayton v VCU Rams62-68
07/02/26VCU Rams v Dayton99-73
08/03/25VCU Rams v Dayton76-79
08/02/25Dayton v VCU Rams68-73
09/03/24Dayton v VCU Rams91-86 OT
10/02/24VCU Rams v Dayton49-47
12/03/23VCU Rams v Dayton68-56
08/02/23VCU Rams v Dayton58-62
14/01/23Dayton v VCU Rams62-63
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCincinnati72-95
11/11/26HSiena89-99
08/11/26HNorthern Illinois76-81 OT
03/11/26HNJIT89-58
15/03/26AVCU Rams62-70
14/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens70-69
13/03/26HSt. Bonaventure68-63
07/03/26HVCU Rams62-68
04/03/26ARichmond Spiders65-60
28/02/26AGeorge Washington68-66
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HNJIT87-49
07/11/26AMemphis88-89
03/11/26HUALR82-72
22/03/26AIllinois55-76
19/03/26ANorth Carolina82-78 OT
15/03/26HDayton70-62
14/03/26HSaint Josephs Hawks77-64
13/03/26HDuquesne71-66
07/03/26ADayton68-62
04/03/26HGeorge Mason70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %25%25%-
Points / game81.581.5-
Allowed / game83.283.2-
Point differential-1.8-1.8-
Avg total164.8164.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
VCU Rams
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.784.588.0
Allowed / game70.060.589.0
Point differential+15.7+24.0-1.0
Avg total155.7145.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
2 George Washington440100%80.051.8+28.2
3 Rhode Island440100%81.259.2+22.0
4 George Mason440100%72.058.5+13.5
5 Duquesne440100%72.264.5+7.8
6 Saint Josephs Hawks440100%78.871.8+7.0
7 Richmond Spiders43175%89.064.0+25.0
8 St. Bonaventure43175%82.062.5+19.5
9 Loyola Chicago43175%79.867.5+12.2
10 Davidson43175%71.061.5+9.5
11 Fordham43175%76.572.0+4.5
12 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
13 La Salle31233%67.384.7-17.3
14 Dayton41325%81.583.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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