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Den Bosch vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-102
27-33 20-27 20-20 30-22
Position#26
Record5-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#14
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#20
W
89-41
89
41
+48
no box
H06/12
BNXT League
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Gaziantep
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H21/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
H23/12
DBL Cup
Leiden
#4
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
A07/01
BNXT League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
L
50-72
50
72
-22
no box
A12/01
DBL Cup
Den Helder
#19
W
79-62
79
62
+17
no box
A15/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H18/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-8
19-5
24-15
21-13
17-19
21-22
26-16
20-32
17-23
22-23
15-15
9-21
11-14
20-19
17-11
18-20
28-20
12-26
19-16
20-12
22-14
12-19
11-11
25-13
20-18
25-14
21-20
20-20
12-21
9-18
10-18
19-15
16-7
16-13
19-22
28-20
26-21
22-14
26-18
17-18
144.1Avg total
75.7Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.272.6149.8+4.756%
Season at home (5)79.067.6146.6+11.480%
Season away (4)75.078.8153.8-3.825%
Last 10 (10)75.768.4144.1+7.370%
Last 5 (5)75.266.8142.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.089.3158.3-20.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.675.4152.0+1.355%
vs Weaker (13)87.562.4149.9+25.292%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#26
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
83-99
83
99
-16
84avg 77
H17/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
91-103
91
103
-12
83avg 77
H23/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
101-91
101
91
+10
93avg 77
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 77
H07/01
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 77
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
103avg 77
H21/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
22-21
16-26
32-20
12-32
24-19
19-27
28-21
15-25
22-23
30-29
24-26
13-14
18-30
24-14
23-29
23-17
26-27
28-23
24-24
23-21
33-23
31-23
15-26
21-18
23-24
30-30
13-33
28-19
24-20
13-15
23-18
16-22
14-19
15-20
33-29
26-9
22-30
22-26
36-22
181.4Avg total
90.3Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.281.1166.3+4.156%
Season at home (4)80.070.5150.5+9.575%
Season away (5)89.489.6179.0-0.240%
Last 10 (10)90.391.1181.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)92.289.4181.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.494.3177.7-10.914%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.390.6181.9+0.757%
vs Weaker (8)82.578.9161.4+3.650%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
Den BoschCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amsterdam
#20
W
44-13
44
13
+31
H06/12
BNXT League
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Gaziantep
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H21/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/12
DBL Cup
Leiden
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/01
BNXT League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A12/01
DBL Cup
Den Helder
#19
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A15/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/01
BNXT League
71.0Avg total
37.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.334.776.0+6.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.233.175.3+9.180%-
Last 30 away (15)40.436.476.8+4.047%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.871.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.031.867.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.743.781.3-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.437.374.6+0.145%-
vs Weaker (13)42.932.575.5+10.477%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#26
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H17/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H23/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H07/01
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/01
BBL
85.4Avg total
42.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.985.9+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.884.6+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)42.145.487.4-3.343%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.085.4-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.046.686.6-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.144.990.0+0.150%-
vs Weaker (8)42.237.079.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.5
47.1%
52.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.5
37.3%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws11.59.0
78.3%
73.2%9.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.2
56.2%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.5
40.2%
34.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.6
75.6%
73.2%13.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Bosch
WWLWWWWLLW
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWLWWLLLW
#26
League position
#14
-30.1
Net rating
+0.0
96.4
Offensive rating
116.0
126.5
Defensive rating
116.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
58.0%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
22.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.3%
3-point %
40.2%
69.2%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 116.0Defence126.5 · 116.0Shooting50.8% · 58.0%3-point %37.3% · 40.2%Ball care22.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 25.3%Free throws0.19 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Den Bosch   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Den Bosch wins
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
14/12/22Crailsheim Merlins v Den Bosch89-84
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HQSTA Utd91-71
15/01/23ADen Helder79-62
12/01/23ADonar Groningen50-72
10/01/23HBC Kalev/Cramo86-72
07/01/23AFeyenoord70-57
26/12/22HLeiden79-74
23/12/22HDonar Groningen66-64
21/12/22HGaziantep63-82
14/12/22ACrailsheim Merlins84-89
06/12/22HAmsterdam89-41
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HLudwigsburg106-87
18/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-90
15/01/23AFrankfurt88-72
11/01/23AGaziantep87-105
07/01/23HHeidelberg102-93
04/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig101-91
26/12/22AWurzburg78-87
23/12/22HRostock91-103
17/12/22HBonn83-99
14/12/22HDen Bosch89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Bosch
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game77.279.075.0
Allowed / game72.667.678.8
Point differential+4.7+11.4-3.8
Avg total149.8146.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game85.280.089.4
Allowed / game81.170.589.6
Point differential+4.1+9.5-0.2
Avg total166.3150.5179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket109190%86.975.1+11.8
2 Cholet129375%83.573.2+10.2
3 Hapoel Haifa129375%72.569.2+3.2
4 Anwil Wloclawek107370%87.974.9+13.0
5 Gaziantep107370%82.072.8+9.2
6 CSM Oradea107370%85.677.3+8.3
7 FC Porto107370%83.176.2+6.9
8 BC Kalev/Cramo139469%81.273.2+7.9
9 Sporting CP85362%89.191.6-2.5
10 Bamberg106460%83.180.7+2.4
11 Budivelnyk106460%76.176.1+0.0
12 Den Bosch95456%77.272.6+4.7
13 Crailsheim Merlins95456%85.281.1+4.1
14 SCM Craiova137654%71.974.2-2.2
15 Chemnitz105550%87.276.2+11.0
16 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
17 Brindisi63350%80.274.7+5.5
18 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
19 Mechelen63350%85.083.0+2.0
20 Fribourg Olympic63350%79.579.3+0.2
21 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
22 Opava63350%77.279.2-2.0
23 Balkan63350%74.576.8-2.3
24 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
25 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
26 Galil Elyon63350%83.287.7-4.5
27 Keravnos104640%77.079.1-2.1
28 Antwerp Giants83538%76.178.0-1.9
29 Swans Gmunden62433%77.080.0-3.0
30 Voluntari62433%68.873.8-5.0
31 Parnu62433%74.584.2-9.7
32 Levice103730%76.783.1-6.4
33 Norrkoping61517%71.583.5-12.0
34 Golden Eagle Ylli61517%70.387.2-16.8
35 Rilski Sportist81712%69.690.1-20.5
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
40 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
41 Kormend6060%76.389.5-13.2
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
45 Donar Groningen6060%61.782.8-21.2
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Bosch2720203097
Crailsheim Merlins33272022102
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