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Crailsheim Merlins vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-103
15-25 22-23 30-29 24-26
Position#14
Record3-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game92.7
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#8
Record5-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game92.6
GermanyBBLRound 12
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Rostock
14 Sep 2024
CME79
ROS77
29 Sep 2023
CME85
ROS81
23 Dec 2022
CME91
ROS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#33
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
119-102
119
102
+17
111avg 76
H05/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
94-106
94
106
-12
84avg 76
A18/11
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
102-81
102
81
+21
no box
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
84avg 76
H26/11
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
A30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
69-95
69
95
-26
no box
H03/12
German Cup
Ulm
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 76
A10/12
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
83-99
83
99
-16
84avg 76
H17/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-5
21-25
17-23
27-11
34-20
33-26
23-30
29-26
19-36
23-25
22-24
30-21
25-23
28-15
20-20
29-23
22-17
31-16
27-27
12-24
21-21
29-15
25-21
18-22
21-29
14-25
8-25
26-16
19-19
20-25
24-16
17-31
19-17
22-21
16-26
32-20
12-32
24-19
19-27
28-21
180.1Avg total
91.6Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.592.7179.2-6.230%
Season at home (5)90.692.2182.8-1.640%
Season away (5)82.493.2175.6-10.820%
Last 10 (10)91.688.5180.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)82.889.6172.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.992.0166.9-17.10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.389.6180.9+1.770%
vs Weaker (11)84.380.1164.4+4.255%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
71avg 80
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
100avg 80
A12/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
110-95 OT
110
95
+15
no box
H18/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
97avg 80
A23/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
57avg 80
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 80
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 80
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 80
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 80
H18/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
24-22
22-23
21-21
24-32
28-32
22-12
28-19
19-24
17-18
29-17
21-27
26-18
23-28
20-27
26-19
18-26
18-20
16-25
18-33
13-24
36-23
20-25
17-25
27-23
17-29
24-17
19-28
18-20
23-23
23-20
20-28
29-31
19-30
21-16
21-22
20-19
20-23
19-18
23-16
181.7Avg total
89.1Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.192.6181.7-3.550%
Season at home (6)86.290.5176.7-4.350%
Season away (4)93.595.8189.2-2.250%
Last 10 (10)89.192.6181.7-3.550%
Last 5 (5)85.892.0177.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.695.0181.6-8.440%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.785.5172.2+1.269%
vs Weaker (12)93.483.0176.4+10.467%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
Crailsheim MerlinsRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#33
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H05/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A18/11
BBL
SCM Craiova
#25
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/11
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H03/12
German Cup
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A10/12
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H17/12
BBL
89.8Avg total
46.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.785.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.940.982.8+1.144%-
Last 30 away (12)41.247.889.0-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.189.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.684.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.649.085.6-12.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.145.391.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker (11)41.438.980.3+2.555%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A12/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A23/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A11/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H18/12
BBL
91.6Avg total
43.7Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.187.7+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.883.8+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)45.446.992.2-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)43.747.991.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.449.093.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.450.896.2-5.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.642.384.9+0.346%-
vs Weaker (12)46.640.787.2+5.967%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.1
56.4%
54.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.2%
75.8%14.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.6
53.3%
54.4%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.1
36.9%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.619.9
77.8%
75.8%19.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLLWWWLWW
Rostock
WLLLLLWWWW
#14
League position
#8
-7.9
Net rating
-6.3
113.3
Offensive rating
111.7
121.3
Defensive rating
118.0
55.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.42
36.6%
3-point %
36.9%
54.5%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 111.7Defence121.3 · 118.0Shooting55.8% · 54.2%3-point %36.6% · 36.9%Ball care16.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.8% · 26.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Rostock wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HBonn83-99
14/12/22HDen Bosch89-84
10/12/22AUlm80-91
03/12/22HLudwigsburg69-95
30/11/22AVoluntari93-79
26/11/22HHamburg92-84
23/11/22ASCM Craiova102-81
18/11/22AChemnitz94-106
05/11/22HSyntainics MBC119-102
02/11/22HNorrkoping95-64
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HHamburg82-76
11/12/22AOldenburg90-99
27/11/22HHeidelberg84-91
19/11/22AWurzburg87-97
06/11/22HBamberg86-97
30/10/22HAlba Berlin70-104
23/10/22AGottingen95-92
18/10/22HBasketball Braunschweig110-95 OT
12/10/22ALudwigsburg102-95
09/10/22HUlm85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game86.590.682.4
Allowed / game92.792.293.2
Point differential-6.2-1.6-10.8
Avg total179.2182.8175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game89.186.293.5
Allowed / game92.690.595.8
Point differential-3.5-4.3-2.2
Avg total181.7176.7189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn109190%90.075.0+15.0
2 Alba Berlin109190%93.282.2+11.0
3 Bayern119282%83.375.4+7.9
4 Ludwigsburg107370%90.485.7+4.7
5 Chemnitz96367%89.886.0+3.8
6 Oldenburg117464%84.980.8+4.1
7 Gottingen106460%87.587.0+0.5
8 Wurzburg105550%85.686.6-1.0
9 Rostock105550%89.192.6-3.5
10 Ulm104640%87.588.6-1.1
11 Hamburg104640%82.686.0-3.4
12 Syntainics MBC104640%88.893.1-4.3
13 Heidelberg104640%86.190.8-4.7
14 Bamberg103730%83.686.3-2.7
15 Crailsheim Merlins103730%86.592.7-6.2
16 Frankfurt102820%78.383.9-5.6
17 Basketball Braunschweig102820%77.686.4-8.8
18 Bayreuth112918%80.286.1-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1522302491
Rostock25232926103
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