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Crailsheim Merlins vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 106-87
26-9 22-30 22-26 36-22
Position#14
Record6-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Position#6
Record9-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game83.4
GermanyBBLRound 16
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg
10 Feb 2024
CME89
LUD100
21 Jan 2023
CME106
LUD87
03 Dec 2022
CME69
LUD95
11 Dec 2021
CME72
LUD61
02 Oct 2021
CME65
LUD63
14 Mar 2021
CME68
LUD58
09 Nov 2019
CME83
LUD92
27 Apr 2019
CME85
LUD94
09 Apr 2016
CME74
LUD75
02 Apr 2015
CME89
LUD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 77
A10/12
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
83-99
83
99
-16
84avg 77
H17/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
91-103
91
103
-12
83avg 77
H23/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
101-91
101
91
+10
93avg 77
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 77
H07/01
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 77
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-25
24-16
17-31
19-17
22-21
16-26
32-20
12-32
24-19
19-27
28-21
15-25
22-23
30-29
24-26
13-14
18-30
24-14
23-29
23-17
26-27
28-23
24-24
23-21
33-23
31-23
15-26
21-18
23-24
30-30
13-33
28-19
24-20
13-15
23-18
16-22
14-19
15-20
33-29
179.2Avg total
87.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.391.5179.9-3.240%
Season at home (7)92.393.9186.1-1.643%
Season away (8)84.989.5174.4-4.638%
Last 10 (10)87.791.5179.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)91.290.2181.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.795.5175.2-15.80%
vs Similar (15)90.989.9180.8+1.160%
vs Weaker (8)82.578.9161.4+3.650%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
H13/12
Champions League
Frankfurt
#17
L
80-92
80
92
-12
64avg 70
A17/12
BBL
Bakken Bears
#30
W
94-86
94
86
+8
82avg 70
A20/12
Champions League
Ulm
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
64avg 70
H27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
66-69
66
69
-3
52avg 70
A30/12
BBL
Limoges
#28
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 70
H03/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
L
80-89
80
89
-9
65avg 70
A08/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 70
A11/01
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
96-68
96
68
+28
95avg 70
H15/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
no box
H18/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
18-23
20-16
16-24
24-20
19-29
14-26
23-17
30-24
23-23
18-21
23-18
22-25
21-17
20-21
24-21
21-20
14-15
19-16
12-18
14-14
28-18
19-24
24-25
13-22
24-27
18-24
25-16
17-18
6-22
14-24
25-18
30-15
25-17
22-23
19-13
36-16
15-23
21-24
14-23
165.9Avg total
82.5Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.183.4171.4+4.764%
Season at home (7)92.482.9175.3+9.686%
Season away (7)83.783.9167.6-0.143%
Last 10 (10)82.583.4165.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)83.483.2166.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.084.8167.8-1.833%
vs Similar (11)87.079.9166.9+7.182%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.581.2166.7+4.350%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Crailsheim MerlinsLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A10/12
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H17/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H23/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H07/01
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
85.0Avg total
41.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.085.6-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.140.983.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)42.145.487.4-3.343%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.585.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.088.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.747.886.5-9.217%-
vs Similar (15)44.544.689.1-0.147%-
vs Weaker (8)42.237.079.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H13/12
Champions League
Frankfurt
#17
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A17/12
BBL
Bakken Bears
#30
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A20/12
Champions League
Ulm
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/12
BBL
Limoges
#28
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H03/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A11/01
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H15/01
BBL
Limoges
#28
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H18/01
Champions League
83.9Avg total
42.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.184.5+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.040.187.1+6.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.140.282.2+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.283.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.042.585.5+0.533%-
vs Similar (11)43.039.082.0+4.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.439.786.1+6.867%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.3
56.8%
54.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.6
40.4%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
75.8%14.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.5
48.6%
54.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.5
33.1%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.8
73.6%
75.8%14.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLWWLLLWL
Ludwigsburg
LWLLWLWWLL
#14
League position
#6
+0.3
Net rating
+1.2
118.3
Offensive rating
105.6
118.0
Defensive rating
104.5
58.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.4%
3-point %
33.1%
56.8%
Assist %
61.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 105.6Defence118.0 · 104.5Shooting58.5% · 49.1%3-point %40.4% · 33.1%Ball care15.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds27.0% · 33.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-90
15/01/23AFrankfurt88-72
11/01/23AGaziantep87-105
07/01/23HHeidelberg102-93
04/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig101-91
26/12/22AWurzburg78-87
23/12/22HRostock91-103
17/12/22HBonn83-99
14/12/22HDen Bosch89-84
10/12/22AUlm80-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HLimoges94-96 OT
15/01/23HBayern96-68
11/01/23ALimoges62-82
08/01/23AChemnitz80-89
03/01/23HLimoges85-81
30/12/22ASyntainics MBC66-69
27/12/22HUlm87-84
20/12/22ABakken Bears94-86
17/12/22AFrankfurt80-92
13/12/22HHapoel Jerusalem81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeWWLLW43%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game88.392.384.9
Allowed / game91.593.989.5
Point differential-3.2-1.6-4.6
Avg total179.9186.1174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game88.192.483.7
Allowed / game83.482.983.9
Point differential+4.7+9.6-0.1
Avg total171.4175.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1413193%91.379.4+11.9
2 Bonn1513287%89.775.5+14.1
3 Bayern1511473%81.976.9+5.0
4 Oldenburg1510567%86.681.5+5.1
5 Gottingen1510567%87.384.0+3.3
6 Ludwigsburg149564%88.183.4+4.7
7 Chemnitz149564%88.383.9+4.4
8 Wurzburg158753%85.385.7-0.5
9 Bamberg167944%84.984.7+0.2
10 Rostock167944%86.692.1-5.5
11 Ulm156940%87.387.8-0.5
12 Crailsheim Merlins156940%88.391.5-3.2
13 Syntainics MBC156940%82.789.7-7.0
14 Hamburg1661038%83.485.9-2.6
15 Heidelberg1551033%86.792.4-5.7
16 Frankfurt1641225%78.185.1-7.0
17 Basketball Braunschweig1741324%79.185.4-6.4
18 Bayreuth1631319%82.189.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins26222236106
Ludwigsburg930262287
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