PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Den Helder vs Belfius Mons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 84-90
17-18 29-29 22-26 16-17
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#16
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game93.0
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 2· Sporthal Sportlaan
Other2025-26
Meetings · Den Helder v Belfius Mons
04 Oct 2025
DEN 84
BMO90
01 Feb 2025
DEN 71
BMO68
11 Apr 2024
DEN 66
BMO78
02 May 2023
DEN 82
BMO98
02 Apr 2023
DEN 69
BMO89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Helder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belfius Mons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den HelderLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelder
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
L
72-97
72
97
-25
68avg 63
A06/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
67avg 63
A17/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 63
H20/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
67-93
67
93
-26
48avg 63
A26/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 63
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
56-83
56
83
-27
41avg 63
A04/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
67avg 63
H10/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 63
A13/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
56avg 63
H15/05
DBL
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 63
A28/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
19-29
21-18
20-29
28-20
9-15
13-21
28-17
18-11
28-17
13-18
22-14
21-23
17-21
11-20
18-29
10-24
27-12
24-17
20-14
14-26
19-18
14-17
9-22
15-27
23-21
24-21
11-13
25-31
17-15
19-17
14-22
22-27
21-14
21-16
8-21
7-25
29-25
19-18
15-22
153.3Avg total
72.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)72.580.8153.3-8.330%
Last 5 (5)69.283.6152.8-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)72.284.8157.0-12.527%
vs Similar (3)89.075.7164.7+13.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.282.2157.5-7.00%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 74
H05/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
74avg 74
H12/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
81-61
81
61
+20
77avg 74
H20/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
70-89
70
89
-19
66avg 74
A27/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
83-86
83
86
-3
79avg 74
H30/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
74avg 74
A04/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
96-71
96
71
+25
102avg 74
H10/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
67avg 74
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
43avg 74
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
87-93
87
93
-6
79avg 74
H27/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
26-20
15-27
20-15
20-25
22-20
17-14
12-18
14-20
19-16
31-12
17-13
15-22
20-22
17-22
18-23
22-15
19-23
21-17
21-31
24-24
21-16
19-20
19-20
26-9
25-17
23-21
22-24
17-15
24-17
17-28
22-25
22-20
13-24
17-15
15-33
22-19
18-21
32-28
15-25
162.4Avg total
80.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.581.9162.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)82.684.2166.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.279.3155.6-3.144%
vs Similar (9)78.980.2159.1-1.333%
vs Weaker (11)84.577.9162.4+6.573%
This opponent (Den Helder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -4.6-4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -4.6-4.6
Den HelderBelfius Mons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den HelderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A06/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A17/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A26/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A04/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H10/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A13/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H15/05
DBL
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A28/09
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
38.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.979.2-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.775.5+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)38.944.182.9-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.280.3-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.884.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.441.177.5-4.727%-
vs Similar (3)47.037.084.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.243.884.0-3.525%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H05/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A27/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A04/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H10/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Mechelen
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Donar Groningen
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/09
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
41.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.239.579.8+0.748%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.838.180.9+4.767%-
Last 30 away (14)37.541.078.5-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.880.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.478.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.940.075.9-4.133%-
vs Similar (9)39.142.381.4-3.233%-
vs Weaker (11)44.736.881.5+7.973%-
This opponent (Den Helder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Heldertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Helder: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.517.7
44.8%
54.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.0
32.3%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.99.1
65.5%
72.4%9.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.7
54.3%
54.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.2
32.0%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.417.1
79.9%
72.4%17.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Helder
LLLLLWLWWL
Belfius Mons
LLLWWLLWLW
#12
League position
#16
-11.0
Net rating
-0.9
92.8
Offensive rating
106.3
103.9
Defensive rating
107.2
46.3%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
32.0%
54.3%
Assist %
68.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 106.3Defence103.9 · 107.2Shooting46.3% · 52.0%3-point %32.3% · 32.0%Ball care19.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.1% · 22.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Den Helder   ■ Belfius Mons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Den Helder wins
6
Belfius Mons wins
Den Helderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25AAntwerp Giants70-90
15/05/25HDonar Groningen72-78
13/05/25ADonar Groningen75-85
10/05/25HOostende73-82
04/05/25ADen Bosch56-83
01/05/25HQSTA Utd81-67
26/04/25AMechelen67-93
20/04/25HFeyenoord81-60
17/04/25ADonar Groningen78-73
06/04/25ACircus Brussels72-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HDonar Groningen87-93
15/05/25HMechelen67-92
13/05/25AMechelen80-85
10/05/25HFeyenoord96-71
04/05/25AZwolle83-80
30/04/25HCircus Brussels83-86
27/04/25ADen Bosch70-89
20/04/25HMechelen81-61
12/04/25HLeiden71-77
05/04/25HQSTA Utd87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Helder
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-20.0--20.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-6.0-6.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants110100%90.070.0+20.0
2 Zwolle110100%88.068.0+20.0
3 Leiden110100%83.064.0+19.0
4 Spirou Charleroi110100%98.084.0+14.0
5 Oostende110100%97.085.0+12.0
6 Donar Groningen110100%93.087.0+6.0
7 Okapi Aalst110100%89.085.0+4.0
8 Kortrijk110100%71.069.0+2.0
9 Brussels Basketball21150%85.086.5-1.5
10 Leuven Bears1010%69.071.0-2.0
11 Belfius Mons1010%87.093.0-6.0
12 Limburg2020%84.591.0-6.5
13 LWD Basket1010%84.098.0-14.0
14 BAL Weert1010%64.083.0-19.0
15 Den Helder1010%70.090.0-20.0
16 Rotterdam1010%68.088.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Den Helder1729221684
Belfius Mons1829261790
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.